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Predictable with Stu Burguiere

Predictable with Stu Burguiere

Predictable Media

Predictable with Stu Burguiere is a smarter, more useful way to follow the news, using prediction markets to break down what’s happening, why it’s happening and where it’s likely going next.

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1552 - The Republican FREAK OUT Index
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  • 1552 - The Republican FREAK OUT Index

    On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the states whose Republican Party should be freaking out the most about the upcoming midterm elections and outlines the criteria that will ultimately affect voter opinion the most. Then, David “Scottilicious” Bensoussan returns to the program to give an expert prediction market trader’s view on what to expect in November.

    Thu, 08 Oct 2026 - 45min
  • 1551 - What the Polls and Prediction Markets Tell Us About the (Near) Future (Midterms)

    On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the most recent Senate and Gubernatorial polling for the upcoming midterms while comparing and contrasting how the data lines up with what the prediction market world is saying. Then, BlazeTV’s Steve Deace joins for an on-the-ground look at Iowa’s political situation and a more general conversation on November’s big election. Plus, today’s “Candidate Countdown” segment heads down south to Mississippi.

    Wed, 07 Oct 2026 - 45min
  • 1550 - Does Abdul El-Sayad REALLY Have a Shot in Michigan Senate Race?

    On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere tallies up the most recent polls, prediction market data and breaking news to make a determination on whether or not Abdul El-Sayad REALLY has a shot at becoming the United States Senator from Michigan. Then, an extremely unique edition of “Candidate Countdown!” should make a few waves with the audience. Plus, an in-depth look at the biases that can exist in the prediction market space and why they don’t really make an impact on the effectiveness of using market data to determine future probability.

    Tue, 06 Oct 2026 - 44min
  • 1549 - There MIGHT Be Some Hope Left for GOP in the Midterms

    On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere looks into a few brand-new polls that might suggest Republicans have a few silver linings left in the black cloud that has become the 2026 midterms. Then, Stu examines an interesting new media strategy coming from Angela and Ken Paxton in Texas. Plus, today’s “Candidate Countdown” ventures into the bayou for a race out of Louisiana! And, Stu hedges his life (and increases his portfolio) in the wake of back-to-back losses for the Philadelphia Eagles.

    Mon, 05 Oct 2026 - 45min
  • 1548 - The UNDERCOVER Election: Party ID Goes ROGUE for the Midterms

    On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere examines our unintentional theme from our shows this week: Republicans and Democrats seem to be running in record numbers as the opposite party or as straight-up independents. What could this mean for the integrity of our elections and what effect is it having on the prediction markets? Then, new economic polling could mean more trouble for the GOP and some leaked audio from Ken Paxton could be having a disastrous impact on the Texas Senate race. Plus, Stu tries to conjure the “Candidate Countdown!” curse for a midterms race in Florida.

    Thu, 01 Oct 2026 - 44min
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