Capitalmind with Deepak & Shray

You may have no debt yourself, but that doesn't mean you're protected from the risks of leverage. Someone else's borrowing decisions can affect your investments, your home, and even the broader economy.

In this episode of the Capitalmind Podcast, Shray Chandra, Co-Founder & Director, Capitalmind Financial Services, speaks with Deepak Shenoy, Founder & Chairperson, Capitalmind Financial Services, about how leverage creates risks for investors, including those who have never borrowed money.

They discuss:

Housing loans: Why borrowing to buy under-construction property carries risks that investors often underestimate.

Stock market leverage: How margin calls, leveraged hedge funds, and forced selling can drive down stock prices.

Promoter pledging: How debt taken by company promoters can hurt shareholders, even when the underlying business has little or no debt.

Government debt: How rising sovereign debt, interest rates, and Japan's carry trade can affect global financial markets.

Personal borrowing: The risks of margin trading funding (MTF), credit card debt, and no-cost EMIs, and when taking on debt can make financial sense.

Through real-world examples, from Zee Entertainment and the LTCM crisis to leveraged AI stock investments, the conversation examines how debt-related risks spread through financial markets and what investors can do to identify them.

The central takeaway: Understanding leverage in your portfolio means looking beyond what you owe to what others have borrowed against the assets you own.

If you enjoy thoughtful conversations on investing, mutual funds, markets and personal finance, subscribe to the Capitalmind Podcast for new episodes every week

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Disclaimer: This podcast is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, tax or financial advice. Investment products are subject to market risks. Regulations and tax treatment may change. Please consult an appropriate professional before making investment decisions.

The way stock prices are determined at the end of the trading day has changed. The new Closing Auction Session (CAS) is designed to improve price discovery, but its early days have raised questions around liquidity, execution, transparency and what it means for investors.

In this episode of the Capitalmind Podcast, Shray Chandra, Co-Founder & Director, Capitalmind Financial Services, speaks with Deepak Shenoy, Founder & Chairperson, Capitalmind Financial Services, about how the Closing Auction Session works and why closing prices matter so much to Indian markets.

They discuss:

Why the NSE introduced the Closing Auction Session and how it differs from the earlier closing-price mechanism

Why closing prices matter for mutual fund NAVs, index funds and market indices

How CAS affects liquidity, price discovery and order execution

Why certain stocks have seen significant differences between their intraday prices and closing auction prices

What happens when investors place limit or market orders during the closing auction

The implications for mutual funds, PMS portfolios and index funds

Whether the new system can reduce opportunities for price manipulation and arbitrage

Why greater participation and transparency could be important for the system to mature

What investors and market participants should watch as the Closing Auction Session evolves

The discussion also looks at some of the unintended consequences of a new market mechanism, including the information gap faced by investors when the indicative price and order-book information do not provide a complete picture of what is happening during the auction.

This is a technical discussion, but the underlying question is straightforward: when closing prices determine so much across India's investment ecosystem, how should those prices be discovered?

Speakers: Shray Chandra, Co-Founder & Director, Capitalmind Financial Services Deepak Shenoy, Founder & Chairperson, Capitalmind Financial Services

If you enjoy thoughtful conversations on investing, mutual funds, markets and personal finance, subscribe to the Capitalmind Podcast for new episodes every week.

📌 Subscribe for more data-driven investing content every week.

🔗 Follow us:

🌐 Website: https://www.capitalmind.in

🐦 X (Twitter): https://x.com/Capitalmind_in

📸 Instagram: / capitalmindHQ

💼 LinkedIn: / capitalmindwealth-pms

Disclaimer: This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be relied upon as the basis for investment decisions. Clients of Capitalmind may maintain positions in securities discussed in this podcast.

Is India really becoming uninvestable, or are investors missing the bigger picture? In this episode of the Capitalmind Podcast, Shray Chandra, Co-founder at Capitalmind Financial Services, speaks with Deepak Shenoy, Founder and CEO, Capitalmind Mutual Fund, about the current pessimism around Indian markets and whether we may be approaching a point of peak pessimism. The discussion covers: • Why investors are bearish on India right now • The bear case around the rupee, crude oil, gold imports, FPI outflows and AI disruption • Lessons from previous market crises in 2002, 2009, 2013, 2020 and 2022 • Whether today's negative narrative is worse than the underlying data • India's earnings recovery, industrial growth and the return of the CapEx cycle • How AI could impact Indian IT companies and the broader economy • Why foreign investing matters, but why going completely global may not be the answer • How investors should think about equity allocation, flexi cap funds, multi-asset funds and phased investing Deepak shares his perspective on why market narratives often become most negative near turning points, and why long-term investors should focus on data, earnings and portfolio construction rather than short-term sentiment. If you are tracking the Indian stock market outlook, mutual funds, equity investing, portfolio allocation, global investing, or wealth creation, this episode offers a detailed perspective on where markets could head next. Speakers • Deepak Shenoy - Founder & CEO, Capitalmind Mutual Fund • Shray Chandra - Co-founder, Capitalmind Financial Services Subscribe to the Capitalmind Podcast for conversations on investing, markets, personal finance and wealth management. Chapters: 00:00:00 - Introduction & Episode Overview 00:02:02 - Steel-manning the Bear Case for India 00:05:42 - Why the Bear Case Isn't the Whole Story 00:06:47 - Historical Parallels: 2002, 2009, 2013, 2020 00:17:40 - Are We at Peak Pessimism Right Now? (May 2026 Data Check) 00:21:51 - What Do We Do About Crude 00:24:52 - Gold Imports & Potential Fixes 00:26:51 - Indian Corporate Earnings & Profit Growth 00:30:10 - CapEx Revival & Credit Growth 00:35:44 - AI: Threat or Opportunity for India? 00:38:35 - FPI & FDI Outflows — Will They Reverse? 00:43:29 - Should You Invest Abroad? The Case for Diversification 00:48:43 - Practical Advice: How to Deploy Cash Now 00:53:10 - Large Cap vs. Small Cap & Which Funds to Consider 00:54:55 - Closing Remarks & Capital Mind Offerings 📌 Subscribe for more data-driven investing content every week. 🔗 Follow us: 🌐 Website: https://www.capitalmindmf.com 🐦 X (Twitter): https://x.com/CapitalmindMF 📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/capitalmindmf 💼 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/capitalmindmf Disclaimer: This podcast is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice, recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Investors should evaluate their own financial goals, risk profile and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

What's the deal with AI? Can it manage your money? Can it make you rich? Artificial Intelligence is changing much more than how we invest. It could fundamentally reshape careers, incomes, financial advice and the way we build wealth. In this episode of the Capitalmind Podcast, Shray Chandra, Co-founder at Capitalmind Financial Services, speaks with Deepak Shenoy, Founder & CEO of Capitalmind Mutual Fund, and Vashistha Iyer, Executive Director, Capitalmind Mutual Fund, about one of the biggest questions facing investors today: Can AI optimize your investments - and what happens if it also changes your ability to earn? The conversation explores: • Can AI replace financial advisors and portfolio managers? • Where AI is genuinely useful for investors today • Why judgment and accountability still matter in investing • How to use AI to research mutual funds, portfolios and financial decisions • Why AI may impact your income more than your investments • How much emergency fund you may need in an AI-driven world • Should you rethink savings, investing and career planning? • Why human capital could become your most important asset • How AI changes portfolio construction and financial decision-making • The opportunities-and risks-of using AI for investing Rather than asking whether AI can beat the market, this episode asks a more important question: How should investors prepare for a future where AI changes both wealth creation and income generation? Whether you're an investor, professional, entrepreneur or simply curious about AI's impact on personal finance, this conversation offers practical frameworks instead of predictions. Speakers • Deepak Shenoy - Founder & CEO, Capitalmind Mutual Fund • Vashistha Iyer - Executive Director, Capitalmind Mutual Fund • Shray Chandra - Co-founder, Capitalmind Financial Services Chapters 00:00 Everyone Is Asking the Wrong AI Question 01:52 Can AI Really Optimize Your Investments? 05:11 Context Beats Algorithms in Investing 09:22 Where AI Can Actually Help Investors 15:22 Why Human Judgment Still Matters in Investing 19:43 Could AI Replace Financial Advisors? 22:48 Why Accountability Still Matters 26:00 How We Use AI at Capitalmind 29:44 Will AI Give Big Investors an Edge? 41:24 The Bigger AI Risk: Your Income 43:25 Should You Increase Your Emergency Fund? 49:44 Invest in Yourself Before Anything Else 1:00:39 The Next Battle: AI Optimization 1:05:25 Could the AI Bubble Burst? 1:06:50 Final Advice for Investors 1:08:42 Closing Thoughts If you enjoy thoughtful conversations on investing, mutual funds, markets and personal finance, subscribe to the Capitalmind Podcast for new episodes every week. 📌 Subscribe for more data-driven investing content every week. 🔗 Follow us: 🌐 Website: https://www.capitalmindmf.com 🐦 X (Twitter): https://x.com/CapitalmindMF 📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/capitalmindmf 💼 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/capitalmindmf Disclaimer: This podcast is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. Nothing discussed should be construed as investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or financial product. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Most investors obsess over finding the best mutual fund to invest in. But what if avoiding the worst fund matters far more than picking the absolute best? In this episode, host Shrey Chandra sits down with Deepak Shenoy (Founder & CEO, Capitalmind Mutual Fund) and Anoop Vijaykumar (Head of Equity & Fund Manager, Capitalmind Mutual Fund) to tackle one of the most searched questions in personal finance: how to pick mutual funds that actually deliver long-term returns — without constantly second-guessing your choices. Using 10 years of FlexiCap fund data across 18 funds, they reveal why even top-performing funds underperform 30–50% of the time — and why that's completely normal. They also run a "reactive investor" experiment that shows exactly how timing the market destroys returns, and what a disciplined mutual fund portfolio strategy looks like instead. What you'll learn: • The core vs. satellite portfolio framework and how to allocate across funds smartly • Why mutual fund underperformance doesn't always mean you should exit — and when it does • How fund size and AUM can quietly cap your returns — and the red flags to watch • Corporate governance issues and fund manager changes as early warning signs • The hidden tax impact of switching mutual funds that most investors never calculate • When multi-asset mutual funds make sense as a simplified core holding • How many mutual funds you should hold — and why more isn't always better • 3 questions to ask before picking any fund — covering philosophy, size, and hygiene checks Chapters: 0:00 – Intro 1:50 – Introduction to the topic: What's the best mutual fund? 2:22 – Anoop begins: How to think about picking a mutual fund 3:26 – Analysis of FlexiCap funds over 10 years (18 funds compared) 5:15 – Avoiding the worst funds vs. picking the best 5:35 – Rolling underperformance data - what it reveals 7:07 – Even good funds underperform 1/3 to 1/2 of the time 8:09 – Should you sell an underperforming fund? 8:28 – The "reactive investor" experiment - timing the market backfires 9:51 – What to do before and after investing in a fund 12:07 – Argument for style diversification across funds 13:50 – Two types of successful investors 15:39 – Do multi-asset funds simplify everything? 17:45 – Deepak joins: How many mutual funds should you hold? 20:00 – Core vs. satellite portfolio framework 24:44 – Multi-asset funds as a core holding 28:45 – Can you predict the worst funds? (Size, AUM issues) 31:35 – Corporate governance & fund manager changes as red flags 33:59 – Tax impact of switching funds - often overlooked 39:41 – Three questions to pick the right fund for you 49:46 – Expense ratios: are they really that important? 55:13 – Final framework: philosophy, size, hygiene checks 59:48 – Closing thoughts If you've ever wondered why your mutual fund is underperforming or made the common mutual fund mistakes of chasing last year's top fund or switching too frequently — this conversation will reframe how you think about investing entirely. Whether you're a first-time investor or managing a mature portfolio, this is the clearest framework we've put out on mutual fund selection in India. 📌 Subscribe for more data-driven investing content every week. 🔗 Follow us: 🌐 Website: https://www.capitalmindmf.com 🐦 X (Twitter): https://x.com/CapitalmindMF 📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/capitalmindmf 💼 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/capitalmindmf

Shray sits down with Deepak Shenoy from Capitalmind to unpack the real playbook for NRIs thinking about investing in India — the taxes, the paperwork, the returns, and the traps nobody warns you about. What we uncover: The 3 types of NRIs who should invest in India — and the ones who absolutely shouldn't. Why patriotism and FOMO are the worst investment strategies. The real return math: 12% in rupees, ~8% in dollars after currency depreciation — and why falling inflation could change this equation entirely. Stocks vs. mutual funds vs. real estate: Why your passport decides your investment vehicle. UAE and Singapore NRIs get tax-free mutual fund gains; US and UK residents face PFIC nightmares. The paperwork horror: Why 5% of your portfolio in India creates more admin than the other 95% abroad — and why Deepak respects any NRI who's actually opened a Demat account. The "famous stocks" trap: Why buying Indigo, Swiggy, or Jubilant from abroad without local context is a recipe for pain. Great brands ≠ great investments. Moving back math: ₹2L/month puts you in India's top 1%. $500K in fixed income could fund your entire re-entry. And why you still shouldn't bring everything back. Deepak breaks down the Doordash minimum wage vs. Indian purchasing power, why small caps hold India's real growth story, and why NRI investing success is measured in rupees — not dollars. Chapters: 0:00 - Not every NRI should invest in India 1:36 - Who is this conversation really for? 3:54 - The 3 types of people who SHOULD invest in India 6:34 - You have family & money sitting idle in India 7:19 - You know you're coming back someday 11:44 - The worst reason to invest in India 18:16 - Stocks, mutual funds, real estate — where to put your money? 22:07 - Your 12% return is actually 8% (here's why) 29:43 - Is Indian real estate worth it for NRIs? 36:57 - The paperwork nightmare no one warns you about 37:26 - Where you live changes everything 38:09 - UAE & Singapore NRIs — this is your tax cheat code 40:07 - Why US & UK NRIs should avoid Indian mutual funds 45:25 - Why buying Indian stocks from abroad is risky 51:44 - Great company. Terrible investment. Here's the difference 1:03:15 - Should you move more money to India as you plan to return? 1:09:26 - What does winning actually look like? 1:16:29 - Invest with your head, not your passport

India is reporting 8%+ GDP growth and cooling inflation, yet stock market returns are muted, the rupee continues to weaken, and everyday expenses feel anything but stable. So which reality should we trust? In this episode, Deepak and Shray unpack the contradictions shaping India's economy today. From headline vs core inflation to GDP data quality, rupee depreciation, and why markets aren't rewarding growth, they connect macro numbers to lived experience. A nuanced, data-driven conversation on what truly lies beneath the headlines and what it means for investors, policy watchers, and India's economic trajectory heading into 2026 and beyond. Chapters: 00:00 - Introduction 01:15 - GDP growth 8.2% but contradictions everywhere 02:32 - Are we booming or fizzling out? 02:55 - Let's start with inflation 08:09 - Headline inflation 0.71% vs core inflation 4.1% 10:07 - Why people don't believe 0.7% inflation 12:08 - Bangalore rent example - 28k to 60k 15:10 - Supply will moderate rent prices 17:37 - Inflation expectations matter 21:05 - Uncertainty makes planning difficult 22:07 - What's happening with the rupee? 22:36 - Economics standing on its head 24:08 - Gold making current account look worse 28:31 - RBI needs to decide - control or not? 31:37 - GDP - 8.2% real growth 35:29 - Base year problem - still using 2011-12 40:37 - Discrepancies in GDP calculation 43:11 - What's driving growth? 43:16 - Manufacturing doing well at 9% 47:43 - Financial services growth worrying 48:05 - Is 8% growth here to stay? 51:42 - China grew 10% for 15 years 56:22 - Stock market - just a bad year? 59:16 - Small players will benefit more 1:05:38 - SEBI new rules on TER and BER 1:06:04 - What are the changes? 1:17:47 - TER vs BER explained 1:23:23 - Who benefits from new rules? 1:30:18 - Brokerage reduction impact 1:34:16 - Impact on sell-side research 1:36:17 - BER is more comparable going forward

Shray sits down with Deepak Shenoy from Capitalmind to expose how proxy advisors, index manufacturers, credit rating agencies, and one costly habit are secretly making decisions about your investments.

What we uncover:

Proxy Advisors: How Glass Lewis and ISS voted against Elon Musk's $1 trillion Tesla package—and why their word has become gospel for fund managers managing your money

Index Manufacturers: Why NSE and BSE make subjective calls in supposedly "objective" indices. The HDFC-HDFC Bank merger and Reliance-Jio demerger reveal they're acting more like fund managers than neutral rule-followers

Current Account Waste: ₹21 lakh crores sitting idle in corporate accounts earning zero interest—₹40,000 crores in lost profits annually

Deepak breaks down why passive investing isn't truly passive, how the NBFC rule hurts startups, and why transparency matters as index funds take over the market.

Timestamps: 0:00 - Three institutions controlling your money

1:44 - Proxy Advisors - Fighting Elon Musk

6:28 - Proxy advisors have their own agendas

13:30 - Proxy advisors becoming gospel

17:16 - Index Manufacturers - Second institution

18:24 - 35 lakh crores active vs 12 lakh crores passive

20:22 - Index no longer objective function

26:45 - Index manufacturers becoming fund managers

32:01 - Credit Rating Agencies - Third institution

35:21 - Big names get triple A ratings easily

37:52 - Market knew ILFS wasn't triple A

41:37 - Don't link things strictly to ratings

46:25 - Why so much money in current accounts?

49:00 - Could add 40,000 crores to profits

49:36 - Startup NBFC rule problem

56:37 - Reduce need for inefficient buffers

For 17 years, Deepak Shenoy has made annual Diwali predictions about markets, crashes, interest rates, and more. But how many were actually right? Shray sits down with Deepak Shenoy from Capitalmind to examine his prediction history from 2007 to 2024. He correctly called the 2008 crash and Trump's 2024 victory. But real estate and gold? Wrong almost every year. We break down why most predictions fail and what makes the rare successful ones different. Deepak explains the three elements of valid predictions (direction, magnitude, timeframe), why cash on sidelines signals crashes, how AI bubbles mirror 2000, and why interest rates are easy to predict but impossible to profit from. This episode breaks down crashes, bubbles, and market timing, offering honest takes that you can actually use. Don't forget to like, share, and subscribe for more real insights on building wealth in Indian markets! Follow Capitalmind on Social Media: 📝

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Chapters:

00:00 Introduction & 2024 Predictions Recap 01:00 Will There Be a Market Crash in 2025? 03:40 How AI Could Trigger the Next Crash 06:15 Why This Time Is Different from 2008 09:40 US Recession + Inflation = Stagflation? 12:10 Why Indian Markets May Keep Rising 15:00 The Real Estate Prediction Trap 20:20 Gold, Inflation & Interest Rate Outlook 28:20 Japan's 30-Year Debt Problem Explained 33:40 Can the Rupee Go Global? 40:20 Why Predictions Usually Fail 46:00 Don't Predict, Respond Instead 50:10 Deepak's 2025 Predictions Recap 58:00 Closing Thoughts

When Indian Equity Markets Go Sideways: Are Alternative Assets Worth It? Indian equities have been flat for over a year. So where should you actually put your money? Shray sits down with Deepak Shenoy from Capital Mind to break it all down. Silver just hit $50 for the first time in 45 years. Deepak explains the Hunt Brothers saga, the Thailand import drama, and why silver might only deserve 2% of your portfolio. Gold – it's outperformed. But should you buy now? Only 30% of the time has gold beaten Nifty over 10 years. We also discuss foreign stocks, why debt funds aren't just parking lots, and whether India at 21-22x earnings is still expensive. If you're confused about where to deploy capital right now, this episode is for you. Don't forget to like, share, and subscribe for more insights on building real wealth in Indian markets! #investing #stockmarket #alternativeassets #gold #bitcoin #portfoliomanagement Follow Capitalmind on Social Media: Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/capitalmindwealth-pms/posts/?feedView=all Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/capitalmindhq?igsh=ZG9zYmVtbnBwemZr Twitter: https://x.com/capitalmind_in?s=21 Chapters:

0:00 - Intro 2:11 - Silver: What's Happening Right Now? 7:19 - Hunt Brothers: The Biggest Silver Bet Ever 11:58 - Should You Own Silver? 15:49 - Why Diamonds Are a Terrible Investment 17:38 - Gold: Why Deepak Was Wrong 21:14 - Gold as an Inflation Hedge 23:03 - When Gold Could Crash 40% 27:05 - Why We Treat Gold Differently Than Stocks 30:00 - Land Deals: How to Make 400% Returns 32:20 - Why Luxury Watches Beat Stocks 34:45 - Bitcoin: The Leverage Problem 41:32 - Bitcoin's Altcoin Curse 44:08 - Quantum Computing Could Kill Bitcoin 47:32 - How Much Bitcoin Should You Own? 50:22 - When Big Winners Become Too Big 52:01 - Foreign Stocks: The Smart Diversification 56:46 - Debt Funds: Beyond Just Parking Money 1:01:47 - Debt Market: Hidden Inefficiencies 1:04:06 - Why Debt Funds Deserve Your Money 1:06:07 - Why Bank FDs Are Ripping You Off 1:08:27 - Is India Still Too Expensive to Invest? 1:11:06 - Why 20x PE Actually Makes Sense 1:13:54 - Final Thoughts

What do DreamFolks, Dream11, JSW Steel, and Donald Trump's H-1B visa policy all have in common? Each shows how unexpected risks can reshape markets and investments overnight. Deepak Shenoy and Shray Chandra break down 5 types of risk you never saw coming from business model collapse and legal shocks to regulation, policy changes, and passive investing illusions. Chapters: 00:00 - Intro 01:53 - DreamFolks 16:19 - JSW Steel and Bhushan Steel & Power 30:41 - Dream11 & Crypto currency 41:56 - H1B Visa situation 52:10 - When money moves markets

ESOPs (Employee Stock Options) are one of the least understood parts of compensation in India. Are they wealth creators or just glorified lottery tickets? We break down everything you need to know, the trade-off between salary and ESOPs, the risks of taxation and dilution, and how exits, IPOs, and secondary markets really work. From early employee bets to Flipkart's game-changing Walmart deal, we explore stories that show both the pitfalls and life-changing rewards. If you've ever been offered ESOPs or are considering them. This podcast will help you make informed decisions about your financial future. Chapters: 00:00 - Intro 02:57 - Salary vs ESOP: the real trade-off 15:02 - ESOPs ≠ Shares? 28:35 - Should companies help you exit? 37:41 - Black-Scholes for expense 40:39 - Why not just give shares? 45:59 - Promoters/Directors rules in India 50:11 - What every employee must check in their ESOP package! 57:20 - After the payout: diversify & spend

What if money wasn't the goal… but the tool? Deepak Shenoy and Shray Chandra dive deep into how money can enable experiences, freedom, and meaning, instead of becoming an end in itself.

00:00 Intro 02:33 GDP, Good Life, and Getting Real About Returns 15:14 The Real Cost of Wealth (and the Price of a Good Life) 31:20 Planning for Joy, Not Just Returns 43:34 Compartmentalize to Live Fully 01:04:04 I have enough money, what do I do now? 01:13:23 Is winning in life all about money?

In this episode, Deepak and Shray unpack the SEBI allegations against global trading giant Jane Street and explore whether this is a case of shrewd arbitrage or market manipulation in India's underregulated options landscape.

In doing so, they reveal deeper structural issues. An outsized derivatives market, regulatory blind spots, tax inequities, and unchecked index power that favour global giants over domestic traders all act as leading factors to the outsized profits made by the firm. The episode ends with a call for reform: position limits, STT rationalisation, index oversight, and a level playing field to restore market integrity.

Indian retirement planning for long has been centered on your children being successful and them supporting you in your golden years. But, times are changing, with the rise of nuclear single child households, new pension options and easier access to capital markets, retirement planning also has to change.

In this conversation, Deepak and Shray discuss the various options you have to set up a retirement corpus. Be it investing in a pension scheme or managing your own investments, they provide the pros and cons as well as the steps you need to take to do so. They also suggest policies that if implemented, could make retirement planning simpler.

The earlier the better is the mantra for retirement planning and this conversation will help you get started.

00:00 - Intro 01:18 - Choosing Your Retirement: NPS or UPS? 15:36 - The real math behind the Unified Pension Scheme 22:33 - Can private sector employees build their own pension? 28:54 - Forced Savings: A behavioral take on long-term wealth 35:43 - Guarantees, gradually: structuring safer payouts as you age 39:33 - Tax efficiency and corpus optimization 44:17 - Managing Volatility: Behavior & long-term thinking 51:27 - The structural risk behind public pension guarantees 57:55 - Belief in the System: Will pensions and markets survive? 01:03:13 - Where do I even start? 01:14:52 - Why India needs its own 401(k) 01:19:36 - The roadblocks to retirement reform 01:23:44 - Will Equity Returns Moderate?

In this wide-ranging chat, Shray plays devil's advocate while Deepak unpacks why conflict often jump-starts economies, how India's defence binge could spill over into everything from lithium mining to 10-minute groceries, and why a 70-hour work-week isn't the villain Twitter thinks it is.

Returns—not patriotism—ultimately determine whether CapEx endures, a reality visible in the economics of fracking, rare-earth extraction, and the three types of "crazy" investors who fund long-shot bets: governments, bondholders, and VCs. India's manufacturing ambitions have long been stifled by outdated labour laws and missed opportunities, but we may now be staring at a rare, once-in-a-generation window of opportunity. While defence and industrial stocks might seem richly valued, there's still plenty of runway—especially if order books start to triple. That said, the journey is fraught with risks: a sluggish judicial system, bureaucratic inertia, and our national knack for fumbling promising leads. For investors, the challenge is knowing when to play defence and when to swing for the fences in a market that increasingly rewards conviction.

-- 00:00 - Intro 01:09 - Wars & the Economy 12:56 - Return on Investment - Driver of returns 25:28 - Does CapEx without justification work? 35:30 - Why don't we manufacture in India anyway? 47:33 - Labor laws - Why do they exist? 55:20 - Is the rally already priced in? 01:11:18 - What's the downside risk? 01:15:49 - Where do you invest now? 01:19:03 - Trump, 70 Hours & Self-Reliance! -- More about us: https://cm.social/pms Connect with us : https://cm.social/pms-connect Deepak's Twitter: @deepakshenoy Shray's Twitter: @shraychandra Capitalmind Twitter: @capitalmind_in

Mutual Funds are often seen as the McDonalds of the investment world. They are ubiquitous and convenient, and yet, they are seen to lack the prestige of a fine dining experience aka Private Equity et al.

In this episode, we take on the big question: Are mutual funds only for the salaried middle class, or is there a bigger story here? Deepak and Shray dive deep into the history and perception of mutual funds, from their once-exclusive status to becoming the go-to vehicle for SIPs and forced savings.

But why don't you hear family offices or the ultra-wealthy proudly boasting about their mutual fund holdings? We explore this through the lens of economic class distinctions (India A, B, and C) and unpack how perceptions of exclusivity and quality affect investment choices.

Whether you're planning for retirement, your child's education, or just wondering if your portfolio is too "plain vanilla," this is a conversation that will make you rethink how you view mutual funds.

-- 0:00 – Intro 3:29 – Choosing Exclusivity Over Simplicity 7:34 – Volatility Laundering 20:32 – Liquidity in University Endowment Funds 31:49 – Alternative Investments 38:58 – Mutual Funds vs Other Investments 44:12 – Why not hire a personal fund manager? 48:04 – Advantages and Disadvantages of Mutual Funds 1:12:26 – Use cases for Mutual Funds 1:22:41 – Who are Mutual Funds not for?

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More about us: https://cm.social/pms Connect with us : https://cm.social/pms-connect Deepak's Twitter: @deepakshenoy Shray's Twitter: @shraychandra Capitalmind Twitter: @capitalmind_in

In this episode, Deepak and Shray unpack the ins and outs of international investing—why it matters, when it makes sense, and who it's really for. From rupee depreciation to political and geographical risks, they explore the key reasons to diversify your portfolio beyond India's borders.

They also discuss a crucial question: At what level of capital does it become meaningful to place your money outside? The conversation weaves in perspectives from investing greats—Peter Lynch, who believed in the power of consumer insight, and Devina Mehra, whose latest book "Money Myths and Mantras" emphasizes global allocation as a must-have strategy.

With fresh data on market returns (both in INR and local currency terms), the duo breaks down how different regions have performed—why Europe and China have struggled, and how the US tech boom, largely driven by the Nasdaq, has outshone the rest. But can the US continue to dominate, especially in light of Fed Chairman Powell's recent remarks on tariffs?

They also touch upon an important side of global investing: taxation. From the complexities of capital gains to the lesser-known estate tax, and how investment vehicles like UCITS can help navigate these issues.

Tune in for a comprehensive, no-fluff guide to international investing—what works, what to watch out for, and how to do it right.

0:00 - 2:10 Introduction 2:11 - 8:27 Why should you invest abroad? 8:28 - 10:53 Economic growth ≠ Shareholder returns 10:54 - 19:35 How to select international investments? 19:36 - 27:31 Regular international investments 27:32 - 32:17 Commodity Diversification 32:18 - 40:50 Managed International Investment Solutions 40:51 - 43:37 Good time to global? 43:38 - 47:17 Domestic vs. International Brokers 47:18 - 50:34 Tax on Foreign Equity 50:35 - 54:17 Tax Collected at Source 54:18 - 56:38 U.S. Estate Taxes 56:39 - 59:50 UCITS

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More about us: https://cm.social/pms

Connect with us : https://cm.social/pms-connect

Deepak's Twitter: @deepakshenoy

Shray's Twitter: @shraychandra

Capitalmind Twitter: @capitalmind_in

At this point, you've probably read enough about tariffs to last a lifetime. But what if we told you the real story isn't just about import duties or Donald Trump's next announcement; it's about a slow unraveling of the world order we've all taken for granted

In this episode, Deepak and Shray dig into how the US once helped shape a global economic contract — one where it bought the goods, paid in dollars, protected the rest of the world, and in return, the world kept buying US debt. It worked until it didn't. Countries like China started playing a smarter game. They stitched shoes, then built the factories, then made their own brands, and finally started exporting those to the US. Somewhere along the way, the US realized it wasn't in control anymore.

Tariffs are now the blunt tool being used to push back.

We break down what's really happening, what's likely to happen next, and how portfolios, both in India and abroad, need to adjust. If the world is becoming more inward-looking, where should your money go?

The world is changing. Listen in to make sure your portfolio is not caught off guard.

0:00 - 1:05 Introduction 1:06 - 3:17 What went wrong with the existing world order? 3:18 - 7:41 "The Unwritten Contract" 7:42 - 10:15 What a dollar can get you 10:16 - 15:22 Origins of Chinese Manufacturing 15:23 - 19:54 How the apprentice became the master 19:55 - 25:01 What's ailing Trump despite American glory? 25:02 - 26:00 The Multiplier Effect of Manufacturing 26:01 - 28:37 Why they resorted to Tariffs 28:38 - 30:41 Repercussions of Tariffs 30:41 - 33:33 De minimis Shipping 33:34 - 40:18 Shift toward an Isolated World (non-Tariff Barriers) 40:19 - 45:51 Global trade without the US 45:52 - 51:42 Investing themes during trade wars

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More about us: https://cm.social/pms Connect with us : https://cm.social/pms-connect Deepak's Twitter: @deepakshenoy Shray's Twitter: @shraychandra Capitalmind Twitter: @capitalmind_in

ETFs have taken over the world, or at least that's what you'd believe if you spent any time reading financial media in the US. Passive investing! Low costs! No fund manager egos! And of course, that looming prediction: "ETFs will destroy price discovery!"

But in India? Crickets. While ETFs have become mainstream in the US, with trillions of dollars flowing into passive investing strategies, India's ETF story is still unfolding. Why haven't ETFs exploded in India despite our obsession with stocks? And more importantly, should you be investing in ETFs or mutual funds?

In this episode, Deepak and Shray get into the weeds on all things Exchange Traded Funds — what they are, how they work, where they don't work, and why, despite sounding like the next great revolution in investing, they haven't quite clicked here yet.

00:00:00 - Introduction 00:02:01 - How big are ETFs? 00:07:30 - Why are ETFs so successful in the US 00:09:42 - How do ETFs work? 00:13:52 - Isn't it better to move into ETFs then? 00:16:01 - Who are you buying the ETF from? 00:20:08 - Are there any advantages in ETFs over MFs in India? 00:25:10 - What role do Market Makers play in ETFs? 00:30:12 - When and why do ETF prices trade above their NAV? 00:39:14 - Role of liquidity in ETF prices 00:42:06 - Why don't people do SIPs into ETFs and Stocks? 00:48:44 - How are ETFs useful for investors? 00:53:17 - What about Commodity ETFs? 00:55:47 - What about Liquid ETFs? 00:59:52 - How do regulations like stock-lending and free-float impact ETF returns? 01:04:53 - What are Deepak's thoughts about Active ETFs? 01:07:06 - Will ETFs gain market share from Mutual Funds?

Deepak and Shray discuss the unexpected quirks and consequences of investing in mutual funds and pooled vehicles in general. The discussion covers how your returns and experiences can be impacted by other investors' actions, including issues with inflows, outflows, cutoff timings, and NAV calculations. Specific cases like DHFL, Yes Bank, and Zee promoter bonds are examined to highlight how complexities in pooled vehicles can affect investment decisions. Additionally, the episode provides insights on how to navigate these challenges and the importance of understanding the nature of pooled investments.

00:00 Introduction

00:43 Understanding Mutual Funds and Pooled Vehicles

02:43 Complexities of Pooled Vehicles

07:43 Impact of Inflows on Fund Composition

13:18 Challenges with Outflows and Debt Funds

20:00 Timing Issues and NAV Calculations

29:04 ETFs vs Mutual Funds: Arbitrage and Market Behavior

33:01 Case Studies: Yes Bank, DHFL, and Zee Promoter Bonds

37:50 Side Pocketing and Arbitrage

49:12 Investor Strategies and Market Timing Challenges

55:43 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

In today's episode, we break down profit shares and performance fees, one of the most debated topics in the asset management industry. Are they a fair way to align incentives, or just another way for fund managers to charge more?

We get into the nitty-gritty of who can charge performance fees in India and how it works, the meaning of terms like management fee, hurdle rate, catch-up, and high watermark, and whether performance fees actually create skin in the game for fund managers. We also discuss why losses and performance fees don't go well together, whether investors should care about profit shares or just post-fee returns, and whether paying a performance fee is ever worth it.

We also explore some of the murky areas of the industry, including hidden fees, commission structures, and the psychology behind why investors accept certain charges without question.

At Capitalmind PMS, we don't charge a performance fee, and we explain why we chose this model. If you've ever wondered how fee structures impact your long-term returns, this episode is a must-listen.

00:00 Introduction and Disclaimer 00:42 Overview of Performance Fees 02:35 Understanding Management Fees 05:32 Performance Fees and Hurdle Rates 07:34 Catch Up and High Watermark Concepts 11:04 Complexities in Fee Structures 14:31 Skin in the Game and Incentives 29:34 Management Fee Only Model 31:17 Incentives and Performance in Fund Management 32:43 Principles of Charging Profit Share 33:14 Small Funds and Profit Share Justification 34:41 Mutual Funds and Profit Share Dilemma 35:49 Historical Examples and Active Management 37:37 Challenges in Asset Management 45:20 Regulatory Perspectives on Fees 51:09 Evaluating Investment Options 56:52 Final Thoughts on Profit Shares

Deepak and Shray analyze the implications of this budget on consumption, manufacturing, investments, and its impact on your wallet.

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More about us: https://cm.social/pms

Connect with us : https://cm.social/pms-connect

Deepak's Twitter: @deepakshenoy

Shray's Twitter: @shraychandra

Capitalmind Twitter: @capitalmind_in

In this episode, Deepak and Shray dive deep into the dynamics of the Dollar-Rupee equation. With the rupee at 85 to the dollar, what does this mean for us as investors and consumers? Are we losing 3-4% in dollar terms every year without realizing it? And if so, does investing in global assets provide a better hedge? Join us as we break down historical trends in the exchange rate, the RBI's role as the on the same and why inflation differentials drive the long-term trajectory of currencies (or why they may not in this case). Along the way, we explore everything from dosa economics to the peculiarities of India's remittance-driven current account. Packed with insights and a dash of irreverence, this episode is a must-listen for anyone trying to make sense of exchange rates and their impact on real wealth.

Timestamps

00:00 Introduction 00:31 Historical Context to the Rupee Dollar Equation 03:12 The Role of RBI in Currency Valuation 03:55 Dosa Economics 05:06 Inflation and Exchange Rates 09:29 Impact of RBI's Market Participation and Forex Reserves 17:49 Current Account and Financial Account Dynamics 23:14 Foreign Investments and Market Freedom 30:02 Tariffs, Exports, and Currency Manipulation 36:13 The Impact of Dollar Inflows on the Indian Economy 37:00 RBI's Role in Managing Rupee and Inflation 39:19 Government Bonds and Interest Payments 40:43 RBI's Forex Market Participation 43:04 Rupee Appreciation and FEMA 58:16 Investment Strategies and Global Opportunities 01:03:29 Speculation and the Non-Deliverable Forward Market 01:11:46 Concluding Thoughts and Future Outlook

Ever wondered if the Indian stock market still needs Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) now that domestic investors are stepping up? Shray and Deepak chew over this hot topic in our latest episode.

They examine questions like whether foreign investors are responsible for recent market declines, who the primary owners of Indian companies are, and why foreign ownership is decreasing. They discuss the impact of regulatory changes, such as increased KYC requirements and the end of tax benefits for investments through Mauritius, Singapore, and Cyprus. The episode also delves into the differences between Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) and Foreign Direct Investors (FDIs), as well as the significance of retail and domestic investors in the market. The hosts conclude by discussing the future of foreign ownership and whether retail investors should continue their systematic investment plans (SIPs).

With retail investment soaring, the influence of foreign money seems to be waning—or is it? They also discuss the consequences of significant foreign withdrawals during global crises and compare the patterns of FII with Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), highlighting the intricate details of market shifts. They also take a look at global capital flows through the case studies of Hyundai's, Holcim and British American Tobacco among others. Tune in to understand why studying both FII and FDI activity is crucial for grasping the bigger picture of market behavior.

More about us: https://cm.social/pms

Schedule a call with us: https://cm.social/pms-connect

Deepak's Twitter: @deepakshenoy

Shray's Twitter: @shraychandra

Capitalmind Twitter: @capitalmind_in

Deepak's first book: http://amzn.to/3CgkGea

In this episode of the Capitalmind podcast, Deepak and Shray dive into SEBI's recent report analyzing the profits and losses of F&O traders. The report reveals a staggering statistic, showing that over 90% of individual traders have lost money in F&O trading in the past few years. They explore the reasons behind these losses, the demographic impacts, and whether F&O trading is more akin to gambling than investment. They also discuss SEBI's new rules aimed at curbing losses and what these changes mean for both novice and seasoned traders. Tune in to understand the full implications of SEBI's analysis and what it means for the future of F&O trading in India.

00:00 Introduction 00:42 SEBI's Report on F&O Traders 01:41 Deep Dive into SEBI's Findings 02:32 Analyzing the Losses 06:00 Demographics of Losing Traders 07:57 Potential Misinterpretations of Data 18:06 The Appeal of F&O Trading 29:30 Speculation vs. Investment 30:39 The Role of Speculators in the Market 40:44 Comparing Trading to Performance Sports 43:11 The Discipline of Trading 43:42 Challenges of Undercapitalization 44:28 Intrinsic Value of Activities 45:10 Learning from Trading 49:08 Capital Requirements and Market Dynamics 52:18 Sophistication and Risk Management 57:20 Regulatory Impact and Market Participation 01:15:25 The Role of Speculation and Regulation 01:20:38 SEBI's New Rules and Their Impact 01:25:35 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

In this episode, recorded in early October 2024, we're diving into a topic that's on everyone's mind: Is holding cash a smart move in these unpredictable markets?

We're in what some are calling one of the most "unloved" bull markets—stocks keep rising, but investors (ourselves included) are uneasy, waiting for the other shoe to drop. To help us unpack whether cash can actually give your portfolio an edge during uncertain times, we brought in none other than Deepak Shenoy.

Together, we explore whether holding cash can protect you from potential downturns or even help you outperform the benchmarks. We also dig into the challenges fund managers face with cash calls, why getting back into the market can be harder than it seems, and how strategies like STPs (Systematic Transfer Plans) play out in real life.

Deepak shares some great insights, comparing today's market to historical events like the 2020 Crash, Russia-Ukraine war, Brexit, and the 2008 financial crisis. Plus, we look at what Warren Buffett has done with cash during past downturns—and why even he hasn't always gotten it right.

This episode is packed with practical takeaways including:

1) When holding cash makes sense—and when it doesn't

2) Why fund managers sometimes get cash calls wrong

3) The emotional side of staying invested vs. going to cash

4) How IPOs and market liquidity can impact your cash strategy

If you've ever felt that itch to "do something" with your portfolio when markets are shaky, this conversation is for you. We break down the mental tug-of-war between holding cash and riding out the market, with Deepak sharing actionable advice that will help you stay prepared, no matter what happens next.

In this episode of the Capitalmind Podcast, we take a deep dive into the world of unlisted and private securities. We'll cover key topics such as:

Don't miss out! Send your ideas for future episodes to podcast@capitalmind.in, and if you're ready to invest with us, visit capitalmind.in to learn more about our PMS service.

In this episode of the Capitalmind Podcast, Deepak and Shray dissect the surge in New Fund Offerings (NFOs) by mutual funds, dissecting why fund houses are launching new schemes and who truly benefits from them—whether it's the AMC, the customer, or intermediaries like distributors. We also discuss the economics of fund distribution, the role of intermediaries, and how to identify the best options for your investments.

The episode also ventures into the often not talked about side of financial advisory, the unrealistic expectations of managing wealth independently, and the vital role of professional advisors. Additionally, they explore the cyclic nature of NFOs, investor hype in bull markets, and the risks of market oversaturation, concluding with advice on navigating financial products during booming market conditions.

Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, this episode is packed with insights that can help you make informed decisions.

Timestamps

00:00 Introduction to the Capitalmind Podcast and disclaimer

00:43 Overview of New Fund Offerings (NFOs)

02:29 Historical Context and SEBI Regulations

03:24 Fund Categories and Flexibility

05:00 The Role of Fund Managers and Themes

08:50 Marketing and Distribution Economics

12:04 Impact on Customers and Fund Houses

29:47 Advertising and Expense Management

33:33 The Role of SEBI in Fund Innovation

34:29 The Impact of Fund Variety on Investors

35:30 The Importance of Innovation in the Mutual Fund Industry

36:59 Challenges of Fund Categorization

42:43 The Role of Financial Advisors and RIAs

49:55 Mutual Fund Distributors vs. Bank RMs

55:27 When to Go Direct with Your Investments

01:05:50 The Cycle of NFOs in Bull Markets

01:09:01 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

Picture this: You're at your favourite bakery, and you overhear that a celebrity is about to place a massive order for your favourite pastries. You rush to buy them all up before the celeb can, hoping to sell them back at a premium. That, in essence, is front running in the financial world.

We discuss how people pull off this trick and, more importantly, how they get caught.

(Spoiler alert: it's not as glamorous as a Hollywood heist)

Axis Mutual Fund had their share of front running drama not too long ago. Traders making big bucks, splurging on luxury pads and flashy cars—sounds like a plot from "The Wolf of Wall Street". We'll break down the fallout and the lessons learned.

Currently, Quant Mutual Fund is going through allegations about front running.

How do you, as an investor, make sense of these allegations and decide on your next move?

Should you hold onto your Quant Mutual Fund investments or start thinking about an exit strategy?

We talk about all this and more in our latest episode of Capitalmind Podcast.

Recently, the mere hint of an inheritance tax proposal sparked a mini-political crisis? Thanks to a quick government rebuttal, it's off the table—at least for now. But that's not where the story ends.

As always, Deepak and Shray go head-to-head, weighing the merits and pitfalls of this hot-button issue.

We're not just looking at the problem from 30,000 feet; we're getting into the weeds, examining real-life scenarios and potential solutions that could impact you and your future.

Government Finances: Can an inheritance tax significantly boost government coffers? Or is it just another drop in the ocean of fiscal needs?

Societal Impact: Will taxing inheritances create a more industrious society, or will it just penalise those who've worked hard to create wealth for their children?

Implementation: What if we set the bar high, say at 100 crores or even 1000 crores? Would this make the tax more palatable and targeted?

Practical Hurdles: Imagine inheriting a house or a business. Sounds dreamy until you hit the wall of unrealised gains and logistical nightmares. We're peeling back the layers on these challenges.

Future Planning: If you're expecting a windfall 5 or 10 years down the road, how should you plan your finances today? Spoiler alert: It's not as straightforward as you might think.

So, grab your headphones and tune in. Whether you're a financial novice or a seasoned investor, this episode promises to challenge your thinking and maybe even make you laugh along the way.

Timestamps:

00:00 Introduction and Disclaimer

01:25 Should we have an inheritance tax?

07:36 What if inheritance tax is imposed solely on the wealthy?

15:42 Creating a Trust to offset tax

25:04 Are there significant practical difficulties associated with inheritance tax?

35:08 Doesn't implementing an inheritance or wealth tax help reduce asset prices or control inflation?

42:58 How should one prepare for potential inheritance taxes in the future?

In this comprehensive discussion, Fund Manager and Head of Research Anoop Vijaykumar and Shray Chandra distil the key lessons from over five years of managing the Capitalmind Adaptive Momentum portfolio.

Get a concise overview of the principles of momentum investing driving the portfolio's success.

Learn from our real-world lessons on why momentum investing works for long-term wealth creation

00:36 Introduction

01:54 Momentum strategy in the last 5 years

03:30 Difference between the fundamental and quantitive styles

08:00 Random correlations when backtesting a quantitive strategy

10:30 Capitalmind Adaptive Momentum strategy

15:05 Why does momentum investing work?

18:54 Lessons learned from 5 years of managing momentum strategy

26:00 Will momentum stop working

29:30 How can we get more out of the momentum strategy?

Have you ever wondered why finance seems to have a forgiving nature?

From the sins of the past being easily forgotten to the belief in second chances, we'll explore the nuances of forgiveness in the financial realm.

We'll dissect the tactics some "for education purposes only" players use to enrich themselves at the expense of their students. It's a sobering reminder to always question the motives behind the message.

We uncover the darker side of startup culture, where founders blur the lines between innovation and exploitation. It's a cautionary tale for aspiring entrepreneurs and investors alike.

Deepak & Shray, in their quintessential style, discuss nuances of investing and finance in this latest episode of Capitalmind Podcast.

Show Notes & References

The idea that finance companies want to do everything from payments to lending to broking to investments is strange - why not just be good at one thing?

It's a simple explanation, it turns out. Find out more about the business of money in a language you can easily understand, through the words of Deepak Shenoy and Shray Chandra.

Capitalmind manages Rs. 1700+ cr. as a SEBI-registered PMS, and has quantitative investing strategies that use extensively tested factor data to invest into stocks. Our flagship Adaptive Momentum strategy has outperformed the market indices over 5+ years.

References:

00:00 Introduction

00:17 Why does every company do everything in financial services?

12:41 Why aren't banks more aggressive in growing and pricing things lower?

26:40 Discussion on the success of Bajaj Finance and arbitrage between Banks and NBFCs

36:46 Why aren't banks aggressive on lending ? What's the issue with lending?

56:49 Deepak explains the Indian Bankruptcy code

01:07:13 What can we do to fix this?

More about us: https://cm.social/pms

Schedule a call with us: https://cm.social/pms-connect

Deepak's Twitter: @deepakshenoy

Shray's Twitter: @shraychandra

Capitalmind Twitter: @capitalmind_in

Deepak's first book: http://amzn.to/3CgkGea

Ever wondered why circuits are in place?

It all started on Black Monday in 1987, where a 25% market correction prompted the introduction of market-wide circuit breakers in the US. These limits aimed to ensure market maker solvency and prevent panic-induced trading.

Fast forward to 2001, and India also introduced circuits to handle intraday market volatility. From the Nifty's inception to the imposition of index-level circuit filters, the Indian market landscape has witnessed a steady evolution in its approach to market regulation.

In this episode, we delve deeper into the concept of circuits, with real life stories and understand how they help the market.

We also discuss, should circuits continue to exist in their current form? or is it time to explore alternatives that foster greater transparency and resilience?

Show Notes & References

00:00 Introduction and Disclaimer

01:24 Background on limits or circuit breakers.

06:38 When did India implement the circuit breaker?

09:20 What are the current rules for circuits in India?

15:58 Why are circuits interesting in the first place?

19:07 What would happen if circuits weren't there?

24:38 Some interesting stories on circuits in the stock market

36:34 What is a better way to manage circuits?

40:47 Will circuits continue to exit?

In today's episode, we delve deep into the recent actions taken by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) towards the end of 2023 and the ensuing ripple effects they've set off.

The RBI, often the silent architect of our financial landscape, has made strategic manoeuvres that reshape the terrain for banks, non-banking financial companies (NBFCs), and borrowers.

Discover how these regulatory shifts could impact financial decisions and the broader economic landscape. From the nuances of risk weights to the implications for personal loan growth, this episode promises to demystify the complex world of financial regulations in a digestible and engaging format.

Here is a quick overview of what we talk about:

00:00 Introduction and Disclaimer 01:34 Deepak demystifies the two new regulations by RBI on Banks and NBFC 05:37 What's the impact of these new regulations? Why should we care? 16:05 Why is RBI more concerned about personal loans? 24:54 Why aren't you positive about the RBI action here? What's wrong with the slowing loan growth? 32:20 If Startups are ready to take the risk, why is RBI stopping them? 45:14 Even after this bull run, why isn't there lending against securities? 52:11 RBI has a new rule prohibiting Banks and NBFCs from evergreening loans through AIFs. 01:03:51 Is this a warning, a sign that the economy is over-heating?

Join us on Capitalmind Podcast, where we demystify the world of finance without the jargon. In today's episode, talk about the asset management industry in India and what's in store for the future.

Now get this - Mutual Funds own only 8% of Indian companies, while retail investors own 9%.

Let's rewind. In 2005, despite impressive returns, MFs didn't gain much attention due to high fees and the lack of tax advantages. Fast forward to 2018, capital gains and dividend tax changes sparked a surge in MF investments, increasing their ownership to 8%.

Explore the shift in India's financial landscape – changing disposable incomes and tax adjustments have made MFs more attractive. The "MF Sahi Hai" mantra and the success of Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) further contribute to their rise.

Regulatory improvements play a role, but we also discuss other investment vehicles – MFs, Portfolio Management Services (PMS), Alternative Investment Funds (AIFs), and more. Understand the evolving dynamics and where your money might fit best.

We dive into comparing investment vehicles and their equivalents in the US. Spoiler alert: India's investment culture is rising, embracing the expertise needed to manage money with relatively low costs and instant liquidity.

Is passive investing becoming the norm? Not quite yet. We need more institutional capital for that shift.

We end the episode trying to connect the dots and see what the future of this industry may look like.

References

00:00 Introduction and Disclaimer 01:15 How is the money divided among different vehicles in the asset management industry? 06:36 Why do Mutual Funds have a lower ownership in Indian companies (8%) compared to retail investors who own 9%? 20:21 What are the downsides of investing in Gold and Real Estate? 27:40 Are we just one crash away from everyone turning away from equity? 34:38 Given that we have a savings culture, will investing grow faster in the future? 40:42 Which type of investment is good for whom? 44:53 Mutual Fund Vs Direct Stock Investing: How are things different in India and the US? 01:02:46 The future of the Asset Management industry in India.

Ever wondered about the whole money thing – how it's made, where it comes from? Well, in this podcast episode, we're breaking it all down, and without using any jargons.

We also promise that this podcast will not remind you about an economics class. Because, it's not a lecture on economic theories. Nope. It's more like your friend explaining things in a way that just clicks. You'll walk away with a bunch of useful insights to help understand the concept of money a little better.

Make sense of those tricky concepts you read about in newspapers or on business channels. You know, the stuff that usually leaves you feeling a bit puzzled.

Write to us at podcast@capitalmind.in if you have feedback or ideas. We read and reply to all emails.

References

If you are even a little active on social media, especially Twitter, you would have witnessed the exponential increase in tweets related to options trading. Today, we are are going to talk about that - Indian's going gaga over options trading.

Deepak & Shray, take a detailed look at this fascinating phenomenon and tell you all that you need to know - except telling you about an options strategy that always makes money no matter where the market goes.

In this episode, we delve into the history of options, the factors driving their growth, and the potential risks and rewards.

From the earlier days of Badla to the scaling of options trading post-2006, we witness a significant shift in the landscape. What was once a predominantly institutional activity has evolved into a market dominated by retail and proprietary investors.

Several factors contribute to the surge in options trading, including simplified Securities Transaction Tax (STT) structures, technological advancements, flat-rate brokerages, and increased retail participation. The introduction of weekly options has especially transformed the game, turning it into a more accessible yet speculative arena.

But, all this is not without risks of ruin. Deepak raises valid concerns about the potential downsides of increased options trading. He shares real stories and lessons, through real-life examples, about the impact of options trading on individuals.

We realise that this is the time when the fine line between responsible investing and excessive risk-taking becomes apparent, emphasising the need for education and awareness.

While options trading has its drawbacks, Deepak acknowledges its positive aspects, such as providing liquidity and offering potential returns for those well-versed in risk management. He emphasises the importance of using options wisely and understanding the odds.

_________________

Timestamps

00:00 Introduction and Disclaimer

01:26 History and growth of Options trading in India

07:55 What has contributed to this massive growth in Options trading?

27:17 Is there a problem with increasing Options volume? Will the government come in and do what it did to all those gaming firms?

35:16 How do people lose money in options?

48:33 Isn't SEBI systematically reducing leverage?

50:30 How to not get suckered while trading Options in India?

1:02:11 What are the good uses of Options?

1:14:15 Where do you think Options trading will go from here?

Welcome back to the Capitalmind Podcast – a place where we dissect the nuances of finance and investing, in a world that never stops changing. Your hosts, Deepak & Shray, are here to de-clutter yet another topic in their lucid and candid style.

In today's episode, we're zooming in on Portfolio Management Services (PMSes), a vehicle for your long-term wealth management. Here's a glimpse of what's on our financial canvas today:

PMS Demystified: We're going to peel back the layers on Portfolio Management Services – both the legalese and the real-world implications – to answer the quintessential question: "Does it make sense for you to invest?" The Art of Timing: We'll delve into the art and science of choosing the right time horizon for your investments and why it's the secret sauce behind successful wealth building. The 50 Lakh Question: At point of your investment journey should you consider investing in a PMS? What's the PMS magic?: What can it do that traditional investment avenues can't? Specifically, does it offer any edge against Mutual Funds? (Spoiler alert: It does) The Ideal PMS Investor: We'll introduce you to different archetypes of investors who stand to gain the most from embracing PMS offerings from our experience of managing 1200+ crores.

Time Stamps:

00:00 Introduction and Disclaimer

01:30 What is a Portfolio Management Service and what's it good for or what's the point?

05:05 Who should invest in a PMS? And what should be the tenure of your investment?

08:53 Where to invest for short term needs?

13:27 The issues with investing in a mutual fund.

27:53 What does a PMS offer? What are the benefits of a PMS?

36:23 Once you cross a 50 Lakh mark, should you move from MFs to PMS?

42:36 What can a PMS do differently?

46:51 What about the returns of PMS and is it worth it vs Nifty?

52:15 Who shouldn't invest in a PMS?

58:27 Who should invest in a PMS?

If what you hear today intrigues you, head over to Capitalmind Wealth to explore how our PMS services might align seamlessly with your financial aspirations. Our fee structure, ranging from 0.25% to 1%, keeps it straightforward, with no hidden performance fees.

Schedule a call

Alternatively, shoot us an email at connect@capitalmindwealth.com, and we'll be more than happy to provide you with additional insights about our PMS offerings.

You've tuned in to another episode of The Capitalmind Podcast, where we tackle a question that's been on your mind: "There's a lumpsum in hand, what's your next move?"

In a world where SIPs are all the rage, we're steering the ship towards understanding how to strategically deploy a substantial lumpsum amount.

Deepak & Shray walk you through these aspects of managing, deploying and even spending that lumpsum gain. They discuss:

Lastly, for those who've experienced an ESOP exit or find themselves grappling with a lump sum, our website capitalmindwealth.com offers tailored services designed to cater to portfolios exceeding 50 lakhs. For feedback and podcast ideas, write to us at podcast@capitalmind.in.

00:00 Introduction

01:30 ESOPs taxation and Whats the right way to allocate large lumpsum amount?

18:43 Which option is more preferable: Paying off housing loans sooner or investing in the market.

29:50 How to plan for your kids education?

34:57 Whats the simple rule of thumb for retirement planning?

40:21 If you have a large sum to invest should invest it via SIP or Lumpsum?

49:45 Don't fall for the products that assures you low risk and high returns.

59:36 Say no to angel investing

01:04:04 Consumption - all the things you wanted to do, make that list and do these

01:12:24 Types of windfalls: End year bonus vs exit from some ESOPs or synthetic ESOPs

01:20:43 Charity and Philanthropy

Liked the episode? Just tweet to us at @capitalmind_in and let us know. That's all we need to keep going!

Our latest podcast episode is here, and it's all about exploring the different ways investors make money in the market.

From thrilling arbitrage strategies to the art of short-term trading, we'll cover it all in a language that even your neighbour's fish could understand (well, almost!).

But that's not all—our experts will take you on a journey through long-term fundamental investing and quantitative approaches too.

Expect some fascinating stories, like the infamous LTCM blow-up, and how best investors (& trades) made their fortunes. We'll also unravel the logic behind the elusive VC's hunt for 50x returns and how even "value stocks" need a dash of momentum.

So, whether you're an investing enthusiast or just curious about the market's mysterious ways, you won't want to miss this one.

00:38 What do you think about the new all-time high? How do you view different types of investing strategies in the market and how to make money from these strategies?

24:27 The problem with peoples expectations: When I say stock markets do 12%, people expect this to be linear.

27:00 Concept of Expectancy

33:29 Problem in arbitrage is competition, so you need to lever yourself up

38:21 Option volatility trading - sell options expiring in 2 days and make the decay

46:32 When VC wins they need to win huge

49:50 Nifty monthly returns - how do quant strategies do?

56:52 We have just hit all time high. Based on the past data, how long can this good time potentially last? Which one is your favourite investing strategy?

Liked the episode?

Just tweet to us at @capitalmind_in and let us know. That's all we need to keep going!

Welcome back to another episode of our podcast, where we dive deep into the world of finance and investment. In today's episode, we will be exploring the fascinating realm of mutual fund costs and SEBI's recent proposals to bring them down.

As the saying goes, "The devil is in the details," and when it comes to investing, understanding the various expenses involved is crucial for making informed decisions.

In this captivating episode, we will dissect SEBI's latest discussion paper on Mutual Fund TER (Total Expense Ratio), which shed light on the inner workings of mutual fund costs and the need for change. We'll embark on a journey led by our expert hosts, Deepak & Shray, who will unravel the complexities of the system and explore the potential implications of SEBI's proposals.

Get ready to gain valuable insights and answers to burning questions.

What is the Total Expense Ratio (TER) of a mutual fund, and what does it include and exclude? Why does SEBI propose changes in TER, and how will it affect mutual fund investors? How do large distributors exploit the system, and what measures can be taken to address this issue? Can tweaking TERs alone make the mutual fund industry 10x bigger, or are there other critical factors to consider? What innovative avenues could mutual funds explore to earn higher TER while providing value to investors?

Tell us on twitter @capitalmind_in on how did you like this episode. Your feedback means the world to us!

02:00 Thoughts on the recent discussion paper by SEBI on Mutual Fund TERs

10:30 SEBI is saying "You are making too much money", reduce fees

19:25 Largest India equity scheme is charging the maximum fees possible

31:30 Limited Purpose Trading membership for AMCs to trade directly on the exchange

43:00 Why should a big fund house have the ability to charge more on a new scheme?

48:00 Performance based AUM through sandbox

53:00 How do you make the mutual fund industry 10X bigger?

"If it looks like a duck, swims like a duck, and quacks like a duck, then it probably is a duck", goes the saying. Arbitrage mutual funds are actually taxed as equity funds but they actually behave as debt funds.

And this tax arbitrage of arbitrage funds is what the regulators may be looking to fix.

In light of this, we have our latest episode of the Capitalmind Podcast, where we dive into the intriguing world of arbitrage mutual funds, also known as arb funds.

In this shorter episode, our hosts, Deepak and Shray, explores the role these funds play in your investment portfolio and delves into the impact of recent changes in debt mutual fund taxation on arbitrage funds.

Here's a sneak peek of what you can expect from this episode

Here are five key questions that will be answered in this episode

Join us as we unravel the complexities of arbitrage mutual funds and gain a deeper understanding of their implications for your investment strategy.

01:00 What do arbitrage funds (arb funds) do and where they fit in your investment portfolio?

08:30 Why didn't arb funds become the FD replacement?

12:30 How big are arbitrage funds and what does that mean as a percentage of total volumes/positions on the stock market?

18:45 Arbitrage Funds are a huge part of our market and it's a problem. Why?

21:30 First and Second order effects of taxing arb funds like debt

34:00 What are the advice or takeaways?

If you have any feedback, ideas for future topics, or questions, we'd love to hear from you. Send us an email at podcast[at]capitalmind[dot]in.

For those seeking professional wealth management services for portfolios exceeding 50 lakh, visit Capitalmind Wealth.

"Taxation is the price we pay for civilisation," as the saying goes. But what happens when the price tag keeps going up?

You may have thought you understood the friendly taxation system, until a new rule comes up that leaves you feeling like you've been sucker-punched. That's what recently happened when the government took away the tax efficiency of debt mutual funds and increased taxation. Suddenly, investors were left wondering how this would impact their investments and whether they needed to change their strategies.

In this episode of our podcast, Deepak and Shray delve into the conversation around the new taxation rules for debt funds. They ask the tough questions that many investors are likely asking themselves such as:

But it's not all doom and gloom. They also explore other investment options such as MLDs, Gold, Real Estate, Startups, AIFs, and ETFs.

Taxes are indeed taxing. But who knows, maybe someday Pink Floyd will come up with a new hit single titled "We don't need no TAXES." Until then, tune in to our podcast to stay informed and keep your investing game strong.

Don't miss out on the show notes and references for this episode, where you'll find timestamps for each topic covered. So grab a drink, relax, and join us as we explore the fascinating and ever-changing world of investing and taxation.

Click here for the Google Sheet

8:50 Now all debt instruments are taxed similarly, isn't it now a fair system?

18:45 What should I do with my existing debt funds?

27:00 Should taxation be a factor while investing in equities?

33:00 In stocks, should you sell underperforming stocks and move to other stocks?

36:00 What about MLDs, Gold & Real Estate.

53:00 How investments in startups are taxed?

56:00 What about AIFs and ETFs?

1:05:30 Is foreign investing still exciting after all the taxes?

1:09:00 Final thoughts

"A market without bears would be like a nation without a free press. There would be no one to criticize and restrain the false optimism that always leads to disaster"

- Bernard Baruch

Short selling is mostly misunderstood and often demonized. Quite understandable, it's difficult to put your head around a concept that involves selling something that you don't already own. But, it's not as sinister as it is made out to be. Markets have enough checks and balances to accommodate short sellers and maintain their balance.

Recently, we saw Adani group stocks come under attack by a US-based short seller which resulted in the marketcap of the group falling more than 50% within a month.

This sparked a discussion on the concept of short selling. We're not going to talk about the specifics of this short by Hindebug. Instead, in this episode, we will talk about the nuances of short selling, their impact on the market, and dive deeper into how the whole thing works.

Join, Deepak & Shray, as they talk about:

1:10 What is short selling

5:15 Why people would do short selling?

11:30 Are HFTs also market makers? Or speculators?

13:30 Paul Tudor Jones and the 80s crash

19:30 How do Indians short a stock?

23:00 How do US traders generally short a stock?

33:00 NSEL fiasco

42:00 Do arbitrage mutual funds also short sells stocks?

45:00 How does a foreign fund short an Indian stock?

47:00 Should short selling be illegal?

49:00 Can a PMS (like us) go short and benefit from such trades?

54:30 The thing called "short squeeze" and stories from far & recent past

Things escalate and hit the fan very quickly in banking. It's fascinating to see how banks go belly-up for the same fundamental reasons but in an entirely unique way each time.

It's like being served the same romantic comedy story again and again with different actors, locations, and songs. But, these banking crisis stories are not as enjoyable and they hurt real people financially and emotionally.

In this episode, we discuss the crisis at Silicon Valley Bank.

How this seemingly robust, conservative, bank with $180 billion in deposits tumbled down in just a couple of days. All was good with the Silicon Valley Bank until, one day, it wasn't.

NO, there was no accounting scam. This isn't like Enron.

NO, there wasn't any irresponsible speculative betting. This isn't like Lehman.

This time it's a different story. But, with the same result.

Listen in as Deepak and Shray tell you everything you need to know about the Silicon Valley Bank crisis:

If you enjoy Capitalmind Podcast, tweet to us @capitalmind_in and let us know. It doesn't take more than 2 minutes and is the fuel that keeps us going.

Anyone who thinks financial accounting is boring hasn't seen the creativity in some of the financial statements. Not just in India but across the world.

In this podcast, Deepak and Shray discuss the shenanigans of financial accounting while referencing various case studies from the business world. This discussion is important because "new age" businesses in India have started reporting "adjusted" accounting statements along with standard reports.

While we do understand the need for "adjusted" metrics to gauge the health of a business. Especially when the nature of business is unconventional and may not be represented well by the existing reporting system. But more often than not, such adjustments are used for misguiding investors.

Listen in to figure out:

Show notes and time stamps

1:50 - What's the big issue with showing adjusted revenues?

10:20 - Shenanigans of adjusting revenues go back to the days of AOL (1990s)

13:45 - Argument of using the contribution margin

23:00 - How do "adjusted" numbers mislead stakeholders?

27:30 - Examples of creatively using metrics to manipulate numbers?

52:40 - VCs & Investors want "adjusted" metrics to understand business performance

1:00:00 - How to recognize if adjustments are real or not?

Stockbroking is a unique business enabling millions of people to trade billions of dollars of stocks with unknown counterparties. All trades, in this highly regulated ecosystem, are executed seamlessly, settled correctly, and recorded meticulously.

It's fascinating to see how far India has come in making this ecosystem world-class and in some cases, the best in the world.

In this podcast, Deepak and Shray discuss the nuances of stock broking and how proposed regulations will impact the stock broking industry. They discuss, in detail, the role of stock brokers, regulators (SEBI), clearing corporations, exchanges, and investors.

As an investor, how brokers are regulated doesn't impact you directly. Yet, it is important to figure out what happens to your money when you click that buy/sell button on your app.

Listen in as we talk about:

Timestamps:

02:10 - How trades are settled by your broker and exchange? Earlier and Now?

14:15 - Moving from t+2 to t+1 in settling share transactions

16:20 - Now clearing corporation holds the transactions before settlement. Is it safe?

21:15 - The practice of commingling (shares & money) and regulations around it

40:00 - Drying up float income and the new role of a broker?

44:00 - How much does "no float income" hurt the broker?

52:30 - Will these regulations, meant to protect investors, actually lead to an increase in brokerage charges?

55:10 - Can these regulations prove to be counterproductive?

1:03:00 - Closing remarks

Forecasting is a very difficult business, like selecting lottery tickets. No one could have predicted 2022 as a year in which there was geopolitical war, worldwide inflation, a massive hike in interest rates worldwide, and the US S&P 500 down about 20%, and yet, the Indian markets ended up 4%. If anyone got this spot on, they could still be terribly wrong for 2023.

That's why we don't predict, we react.

So, what's going to happen in 2023?

We can almost hear this question, despite all the data that says prediction is a waste of time. But then, much about the markets is an entertainment business, which means it's great to see people make crazy zany predictions, and maybe some of them will win. So we'll participate mildly in what should purely be entertainment, even if at some point it appears to have deep investing insights.

Show Notes and References

1:55 Where should we invest in 2023 and some random predictions

3:00 Four ways this decade will be different from the last one

8:30 Return of Volatility in the markets

14:00 The peril of high interest rates

Podcast: Investing in a world with high interest rates

17:00 Return of inflation and higher yields

23:00 Putting Indian inflation in perspective

34:20 Geopolitical turmoil & the return of asset-heavy

39:40 ChatGPT, role of AI & Predicting how humans will react

47:00 Tactically where do I invest my money now?

51:00 Sectors that are positioned well for the current macroeconomic scenario

59:45 Will emerging markets outshine US markets?

How did you like the podcast? – Tweet to use at @capitalmind_in

In this conversation with Shray, Deepak shares why he feels now is the time for India's concept of a Retirement Account - he calls it the MERA account. This account should help improve investment opportunities for retail customers, create a longer-term investment horizon and push people to save for their retirements.

Listen in as we discuss:

Show notes and references

2:00 - Seven consecutive years of positive market returns for India

4:00 Seize the opportunity of India story with retirement accounts

Read: My Empowered Retirement Account (MERA)

8:30 Where do LIC and EPFO invest retirement money

"We're giving asset managers our retirement money and asking them to do great things for the next 20 - 30 years... But, they're not doing great things... They are conservative.. not letting me realize my larger risk appetite."

14:30 ELSS equity funds hold money for a longer period of time. Can't they act as retirement funds?

17:00 The peril of investing for retirement with post-tax money

25:00 Deepak introduces his idea of MERA - My Empowered Retirement Account (MERA)

33:00 Why does this matter so much at the national policy level?

41:20 Who are the people who would feel this is not a good idea?

Of late, we have been discussing macro trends that affect the stock markets, the economy, and as an extension, the world. We have been zooming out to capture the big picture painted by investors, regulators, and the invisible hand of Mr. Market.

In this episode, Deepak & Shray break from the trend and do something different. Rather than zooming out, we zoom in. We discuss two companies that are going through fascinating developments and make for an interesting discussion.

LIC is a recently listed insurer that has a gigantic balance sheet and is a household name in our country of 1.4 billion. It operates in a market that is expanding wider as well as penetrating deeper. Yet, the company seems to be valued poorly by the markets. What's happening here?

HDFC and HDFC Bank announced that they will merge at the start of this financial year. The merger is progressing rapidly, getting through from one regulatory approval to another, without much drama. But, this merger is causing drama at unrelated places that have nothing to do with the business or the merger (well, not directly at least). Will this merger make index funds do crazy rebalances?

Listen In.

2:00 - LIC has fallen 30% from its IPO. What's going on?

4:25 - Cultural shift to maximize shareholder value

5:00 - Participating and Non-Participating Policy

".. This quarter, LIC said, you know what we have 15000 crores of profit.. which we didn't know we can take.. it turns out that they can and they did.. "

11:15 - 100% of the profit from the Non-Participating Pool should have come to shareholders

19:30 - What happens to LIC, due to its high equity holdings, what happens if markets don't do anything for the next 10 years?

25:30 - Why isn't the market not enthusiastic about LIC if this is such a fantastic opportunity to buy?

30:15 - HDFC merger and the opportunity with Index Constitution

41:30 - The worrying thing about Index funds

As we slowly settle into the post-pandemic era, one of the hallmarks of this period has been higher inflation than we have seen in the recent past. In response to rising inflation, central banks across the world have responded with a fierce interest rate hiking excursion.

As a consequence, neither of the asset classes–stocks, or bonds, have performed well recently. It raises an essential question: how should we look at allocating our savings?

That's precisely what Deepak and Shray are here to talk about, among intriguing followup questions one may have when it comes to Investing in a world with high interest rates, including which pockets to consider in financial and real assets. Listen in.

01:30 — To an average investor, is debt coming back as a relevant asset class?

"If you have multiple periods of high and low interest rates, you might actually get very good returns on certain corporate, or even government bonds."

"[…] It's coming to a point where debt might actually start to become an interesting investment, simply because interest rates across the world have gone up. This is not the time to look backward, but to look forward and say going forward, returns might actually be quite good from here."

09:40 — Looking forward, how should one look at asset allocation? And, when is the right time to look at the debt markets?

"You might actually want to position yourself at the outer end of the spectrum in government bonds when the RBI switches its stance. But, until then, I think it's a waste of time because you may see interest rates go up substantially. And we don't even know how long they'll go up."

"Debt is a very boring instrument. What happens in equity markets in ten days, happens in six months in the bond market. It happens slowly over time, it's excruciatingly painful, and people rejoice over 1% returns. […] But, I think the value in looking at a bond market as an equity-esque investment, only happens when interest rates start to come down."

25:09 — Will high interest rates emanate an opportunity in gold?

"It is not inflation that drives gold prices, it's the fear of inflation that drives it."

26:49 — What about opportunities in equity markets?

"If in a low interest rate environment, the biggest beneficiaries happen to be zero debt service companies, then from an intuitive perspective, the beneficiaries in a high interest rate environment are companies with very high levels of debt, but whose competitors need the same levels of debt, but can't acquire it because they don't have the same standing in debt markets."

40:03 — Are there repercussions on the startup ecosystem?

"The unfortunate problem of startups is that they come from the concept of needing capital to burn."

50:05 — How long do interest rate regimes last?

"We have had a very long period of very low rates. Can that mean that we will have a longer period of high rates? The answer will come from how much damage there will be to the economy before the central banks blink."

52:10 — How would we know when there's a pivot?

"Interest rate cycles don't change overnight, they take a long time. Watching an interest rate cycle change is like watching paint dry. Six to eight months, something will happen, and suddenly the cycle would have changed."

57:30 — What makes Deepak optimistic about investing in the current landscape?

"If you don't deploy in an uncertain world, when do you deploy?"

RBI released a discussion paper that said: We've let you good people live all this time with "free" payment systems, so should we allow banks to start charging now? Specifically for UPI, which has reached volumes of 10 lakh crore rupees per month? And should we charge merchants?

Deepak's answer is a big NO. He firmly believes that the payments ecosystem (and the economy as a whole) will gain much more than any fees on UPI transactions will. As always, Deepak has a context to his argument and covers a wide range of nuances.

Listen to this podcast to understand his view on different aspects of the UPI payments system, its evolution, and the ways in which it can drive innovation. Also, this podcast covers many different aspects than Deepak's earlier post on the same topic.

Show Quotes & Time stamps

02:00 - Deepak and Shray trade fascinating stories about payment systems before UPI.

07:00 - The interoperability of UPI is a game changer

10:30 - How much do we pay for other payment systems?

"RBI spends 4,824 crores per year printing cash. None of that cost is borne by anybody except the government itself"

14:30 - The evolution of ATMs, Cheques, NEFT, RTGS, and the big role that RBI played in making these systems affordable for users.

21:30 - Has UPI always been free? Or has it also evolved over time to be free?

"The government went to parliament and passed a resolution to make UPI free… That's the extent we went to keep this payment mechanism free"

"1,00,000 Crore is now available to banks to make money by parking it RBI and earning interest…. This is because people want to keep money with banks to make UPI payments"

31:00 - How much does it actually cost to run the UPI payments system?

"NPCI spends just ~680 crores per year maintaining the UPI infrastructure. Compare that against the float income that banks make on the additional 1 lac crore float"

34:00 - The argument that UPI is a toll road so you should charge for this "public infra"

"Credit cards transact about 100k crore a month, debit cards 60k crore per month, ATM withdrawals are at 300k crore per month…. So even now, after all these years, credit + debit card transactions are not more than cash"

41:00 - If you don't let players charge for UPI, who will fund innovation?

"Internet protocols were free and they disrupted the world through innovation"

"Interestingly, in the payments ecosystem, all innovation has come from the regulator and not private players"

43:40 - Counter arguments from Deepak's Twitter on why UPI shouldn't be free.

44:00 - Google and PhonePe did all the handwork to make UPI popular. Now you're telling me I can't make money on it?

"You're building a road and they tell you... you can never charge a toll. But you still keep building that road… that's the payment apps for you"

50:00 - Let's say that the biggest private players leave because you won't let them make a profit. The top 2 guys control ~75% of all transactions. What happens to the ecosystem now?

1:02:00 - Why regulators have enforced limits on incentives and fees?

"Financial regulation is not like tech where if you're too big, rules change for you. Here, if you are too big, and you disturb the system, the regulator first makes you small and then beats you"

1:05:30 - Government responses to the UPI monetization paper were very harsh. Why so?

"Hoarding cash is ok. Spending that cash on the economy creates a whole new economic system that's outside the view of the government. That's not ok"

"From Jan 2020 to now, the total ATM withdrawals are flat. UPI has gone from 120k crore to 1000k crore. The fact that UPI transactions are free has reduced cash transactions"

1:09:30 - The number of UPI transactions has drastically increased. But, is that all? The UPI tech reached its full maturity? What do we have to look forward to wrt UPI?

1:14:00 - UPI as a credit check for lenders and a game-changer for quick small loans

There's a lot more interesting stuff ahead with UPI. We're just getting started!

Recently, as of 7th September 2022, total Demat accounts in India touched the 10 crore mark. This is a staggering increase from 4 crore Demat accounts in Mach 2020. This alone is a testimony of increased participation and inclusion of individuals in Indian markets.

More and more Indians, especially youngsters, are taking to investing in equities enabled by their smartphones - digital broking, increased information access, and social media influence.

The whole securities (stock) market ecosystem has evolved immensely over the past decade and deserves a lot of credit for the recent growth in the participation of new investors. At the helm of the ecosystem sits our regulators who are responsible to enable, guide, protect and watch the market participants to ensure that we have a fair and thriving market.

In this episode, Deepak and Shray talk about the role SEBI can play in shaping the future of the markets. They talk about data warehousing, data accessibility, regulatory enhancements, bond markets, disclosures & reporting, and a lot more that would make our markets more accessible.

02:00 - As low as only 3% of household income is directed towards stock markets. Why are people so scared of investing in stocks?

04:00 - Game changers - Digital public goods in our financial system

09:00 - Data warehousing framework at RBI and its US counterpart

16:00 - Does an average investor even use the granular data that we're expecting the regulators to build for?

24:00 - What company data should a centralized database ideally have?

32:00 - The way Indian companies play with stock tickers

34:30 - How will this organized information make things better for all participants?

39:30 - Better information access makes our markets more accessible to FIIs

43:00 - Crazy things that mutual funds & companies do with disclosures

48:00 - PMS & AIF returns should be cross-verified and shouldn't be based on self disclosures

"The more developed you are, the more signages you see on the road"

55:00 - SEBI is a far better regulator than many western counterparts. What do you still wish they should improve

59:00 - Would information disclosures will be a hassle for smaller companies?

1:03:30 - AMFI - the Self Regulatory Organization (SRO) recognized by SEBI

1:11:00 - What can SEBI do less to make space for things you wish it should do?

1:15:00 - How much impact can SEBI have on increasing household participation in the markets?

Markets are slaves of earnings and liquidity. Liquidity has taken prominence after the coronavirus outbreak. At first, central banks across the world increased liquidity by cutting rates and helping their populace to live through the pandemic. Then the after effects of increasing liquidity hit – increased inflation.

Now, the same banks are sucking out liquidity by increasing interest rates to counter inflation. The looming after effect of increasing rates is the "r" word that is too pious to speak loudly.

In this podcast, Deepak & Shray discuss the two central banks that impact us the most – RBI and Fed (Federal Reserve System, USA). What makes this podcast interesting is that we are looking at everything from the lens of who does better – Fed or RBI?

Refer to the show notes to see the wide range of things discussed and start listening.

.

Show notes & references:

02:00 - Why RBI will buy dollars to keep the rupee from appreciating?!

Refer: What the Fed's Big Balance Sheet Unwind Means for Markets

05:00 - What happens when RBI sells dollars?

07:00 - How does it control the liquidity of the markets?

14:00 - How have banks run out of liquidity?

17:30 - If banks need money, why don't they increase their FD rates?

"Government is now a better bank than all banks. It's also safer"

19:30 - RBI has taken out liquidity, you want to protect the status quo now. How does RBI do it? What are the consequences?

"RBI owns 3X more of US government bonds than it holds Indian government bonds. But things are changing."

25:00 - But is the Fed doing now?

26:30 - The interplay of treasury and Fed in the US government monetary environment

"RBI hates to buy government bonds because it knows the government is fiscally irresponsible. The US would buy their govt bonds knowing that their government is even more fiscally irresponsible."

28:30 - Mortgage backed securities and agency guaranteed debt.

"Fed reduced their balance sheet by ~0.5% while RBI has already reduced the balance sheet by almost 10% in the same period"

35:00 - How increasing interest rates will impact different sectors & industries?

37:00 - If US interest rates go to 4% it will impact India and the world

38:15 - What makes India be in a bright spot as compared to the west?

43:30 - UPI is 10X the size of credit cards in terms of transactions. It's massive.

47:00 - We have screwed up much earlier and recovered. West is starting to experience the fruit of its irresponsible policies.

"We might just be the single largest self dependent economy that's worth investing in right now. With a local market which we have mostly given away to foreign players."

53:00 - Domestic investments in equities by Indian investors have absorbed the highest ever FII selling spree.

56:00 - Our neighboring nations are falling apart mostly due to foreign dept - isn't that a concern for us to open foreign investment?

"If you don't have the freedom to fire people, you won't hire them at all. That's how human psychology works"

01:02:30 - Summarising Where India is right now in the economic scene

"If we don't screw up, we will do really well. Because the world seems to have screwed up."

Crytocurrencies were all the rage in past few years on account of rising asset prices and volatility. Now, they are going through a bear market that has witnessed some popular currencies going totally bust. This pehnomemnon of an "asset class" going from hot to untouchable is not new. We've seen this again and again in different forms and proportions.

The current bear market in cryptos certainly impacts the investors, start-ups, promoters, and VCs who are directly involved in the crypto business. But, this bear market has second-order effects that may impact you as well. Listen in, as Deepak and Shray discuss the nuances of how the crpto bear market inpacts you.

Show notes & references:

01:40 -How does the crypto bear market have an impact on stock markets & economy?

08:30 - The indirect knockdown effects of crypto bear markets

10:00 - Digging deeper which other segments of the economy will face a slowdown due to crypto?

15:30 - The trickling effect of hot money going away from crypto startups

16:30 - Misunderstanding of risk by crypto investors

20:30 - The debacle of fancy virtual assets - Luna & Terra

Refer: Terra's stablecoin UST collapses, LUNA falls 99%

24:50 - Learnings from Zee TV & Dish TV saga of taking loans from Mutual Funds via bonds

Refer - Capitalmind post on Zee FMP Saga

34:00 - New investors moving to crypto with leverage and family savings basis TV marketing

39:00 - Why VCs don't let failed crypto companies die? - No, it's not for the right reasons.

48:00 - By Now Pay Later - bad small loans of small ticket size are a similar problem.

50:00 - Promotor fraud is now called Rug Pull.

Refer - What is a rug pull?

51:30 - The case for printing more money

54:30 - The commingling problem that stock exchanges have already solved. Crypto exchanges still fight that problem.

Refer: Deepak Shenoy tweets about these issues in Dec 2021

56:40 - Will Deepak one day invest in crypto someday in the future?

58:30 - One great thing that has come out of crypto markets

If you loved listening to Deepak talk about money and finance. You'll also find his book quite interesting - You can buy the book here – Money Wise.

In this episode, Deepak and Shray unravel different aspects related to investing in gold.

Gold has been around as a store of value for a couple of millennia, probably longer, because of how little there is and how difficult it is to get out of the earth.

Now get this - all the Gold mined would fit in a crate with sides of 21 meters. That's roughly the length of three and a half standard containers.

Yet, in the last decade, this scarce and loved asset class has done just enough to match inflation. This means, adjusted for inflation, gold has returned nothing!

Now, after putting returns of gold into perspective, we get on to the theme of our podcast - Does it make sense to invest in Gold?

We look at gold from different lenses while we determine -

Show notes and references:

01:30 - Is gold the safe heaven when everything else falters? 05:00 - Today all assets classes act alike and correlated

Refer - How Gold has performed over years?

08:00 - Gold hasn't outperformed inflation in 2011! 12:30 - Times when gold did outperform the Nifty 15:30 - The second-order effects of gold smuggling 17:30 - Buying gold for emotional and goal-based reasons 20:00 - Should you buy gold to hedge against a crisis like war? 23:55 - Is buying digital better than physical gold?

Refer - What is digital gold?

36:30 - Is gold as an ETF a good option?

Refer - What are Gold ETFs?

38:30 - Sovereign gold bonds as an avenue for investing in Gold?

Refer - What is the Sovereign Gold Bonds (SGB) scheme by Govt of India?

43:00 - What is the best way to buy gold?

If you loved listening to Deepak talk about money and finance. You'll also find his book quite interesting - You can buy the book here – Money Wise.

Two engineers get together to discuss two life essentials - food and money!

Our food expert is Krish Ashok. Ashok is Global Head, Digital Workplace at TCS. He is a techie, a musician and an author. He talks about the science behind food, the history of food and offers a lot of food for thought for us to explore further. If you are interested, a good starting point is his famous book - Masala Lab.

Our money expert is Deepak Shenoy. Deepak talks about the importance of managing your finances, the myths about investing, the fallacies that investors should avoid, and his take on cryptocurrencies. It is quite a treat to listen when he shares food metaphors to explain financial concepts. So listen in!

Topics & References:

02:00 - Science of Indian food & cooking Refer - The parable of turkey and how things are done13:30 - Do modern food habits cause lifestyle diseases? 21:45 - Wait, it's the opposite? Butter is ok but the Naan is not? 25:30 - Basics of food everyone should follow Refer: Michael Pollan: Three Simple Rules for Eating37:00 - The play of sugar & salt 40:00 - People hate changing food habits 45:00 - Each of us processes the same flavor differently 49:00 - We don't like something because its unfamiliar, not necessarily bad 52:00 - Misconceptions about Food Refer: Why the Tomato Was Feared in Europe for More Than 200 Years56:00 - The myths of Genetic Modification Refer - The Story of Norman Borlaug, the American Scientist Who Helped Engineer India's Green Revolution01:01:00 - How do we make more people cook? (especially, the men) Refer - Apple Cider Vinegar Rasam01:07:00 - Does the online food delivery phenomenon change things for food and our food habits? 01:11:00 - Switching roles - Ashok Asks Deepak about Money 01:13:00 - Building a relationship with money Refer: Book: The Lexus and the Olive Tree01:17:30 - What money can do for you? 01:23:00 - How an adult should learn the basics of Finance? Refer: Book: An Economist Gets Lunch01:43:00 - How should salaried professionals think about Income Tax? 01:50:00 - Working as an employee Vs working as a businesses 01:54:00 - Understanding Inflation first before learning about investment returns Refer: What you know about inflation might be wrong02:01:00 - How do you make money work for you? 02:09:00 - How to allocate between Equity & Fixed Income? 02:11:00 - Ways for your money to make more money? 02:16:00 - Importance of diversification in Finance & Food 02:19:00 - How should one think about their own risk appetite? Refer: Harry Markowitz and Modern Portfolio TheoryRefer: How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking02:28:00 - Is there a tool that helps track personal financial growth? 02:37:00 - Deepak's thoughts on cryptocurrencies Refer: Blockchains Are a Bad Idea (James Mickens)Refer: Selling Shovels in the New Startup Gold Rush

You can buy Krish Ashok's book on the science of Food - Masala lab. You can buy Deepak Shenoy's book on investing - Money Wise.

Check out our wealth management service - Capitalmind Wealth (PMS)

What happens when a company goes bankrupt? Why do investors buy their stocks that are headed to zero? In this episode, we explore how the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) has changed the game. Deepak explains the many nuances of current regulations and how they've evolved. We dive into examples such as Bhushan Steel, Sintex and Ruchi Soya - which we hope will give you clarity. Listen in and decide. Would you stay the hell away from such stocks, or start hunting for bargains?

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Understanding Bankruptcy

Businesses are tough and the best ones survive. There are ample failure points for a business that can drive it to bankruptcy. One or a combination of factors such as economical, social, regulatory, political, geographical, etc can drive a business suddenly to the ground or induce a slow death. Such companies eventually stare at bankruptcy. We discuss -

- What is bankruptcy?

- Does everyone lose money when companies go bankrupt?

- Who gets what when the company is sold for parts?

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Learnings from the Sintex saga

Sintex Industries, the Ahmedabad-based company, that boasts of tanks covering the skyline of most cities of India, was dragged to bankruptcy courts after it defaulted on a meager payment of ~15.4 crores towards principal and interest on its NCDs. This was the final nail in the coffin for the firm that had mismanaged its finances for too long. We discuss -

- What Sintex does as a business

- How the company was re-structured (through demerger)

- How its issues snowballed to lead the company into IBC

Eventually, the IBC ( Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code) tribunal was able to keep the company running and also got a successful bidder to buy out the stressed company. That's good news for almost all of its stakeholders. Except for its shareholders who will lose all of their equity in the company. So they get nothing. Zero.

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So How does IBC work? Why do existing shareholders lose everything?

The short answer: Because existing shareholders contribute nothing to the upcoming growth of the company, they get nothing. The company that these existing shareholders bought into eventually went bankrupt. So the story for existing shareholders ends here with a big zero in their hands. Sounds unfair but that's how it is. We discuss -

- How does the IBC process work?

- Every existing stakeholder (debtors, employees, vendors) gets some part of the new entity. The current shareholders should also get a piece no?

- What actually happened to Sintex shares?

- How did things use to happen before the IBC?

There are a lot of examples discussed in this section that explain different aspects of the bankruptcy process and also highlight how each bankruptcy case is different.

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But, existing shares of Ruchi Soya went up "to the moon" while it was going through bankruptcy

All bankruptcies are different and unique. Ruchi Soya was trending on social media recently because the company came back strongly from bankruptcy and its investor (Patanjali) seems to have made a killing on its investment. There's lots more to the whole revival story. Deepak explains -

- How regulatory rules change impacted the Ruchi Soya bankruptcy process

- The bidding by Adani and Patanjali

- Interestingly, they kept 1% of the company listed. Why?

- How does Patanjali make Ruchi Soya operating cash flow positive?

- The positive impact of Covid

- Why is a company that makes only 800 Crores has a market cap of 31000 crores?

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Does investing in distressed companies work?

We all love investing at its theoretical best - buy extremely low and sell high. We also keep repeating Buffett's quotes like "Buy when there is blood on the street". Distressed companies feel like a value buy all time but they are almost always value traps or falling knives or whatever. We briefly touch upon this before we wind up the podcast -

- A quick reference to Buffett's investing in the Salomon brothers

- Brookfield & Hotel Leela deal - distress investing

Let us know if you enjoyed our podcasts on Twitter or write to us at premium [at] capitalmind [dot] in!

There is a lot to unpack about this new digital currency RBI is talking about. Deepak and Shray built up the discussion by pondering over successive questions. Deepak takes us through how cryptocurrencies currently work. This sets up the context to the current ways of handling digital currencies and we move on to discuss the RBI-backed digital currency - Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC).

Key Points

As Indians, we discuss Inflation only during elections which makes it less of transient and more of seasonal!

But, as investors, we discuss inflation a little more. The latest reason for it is the hammering of growth stocks across markets which is blamed squarely on inflation.

In this podcast, we understand the practical concept of Inflation with examples, its impact on your investments, its impact on our daily lives, and how it impacts different people differently.

We promise, thinking of inflation in this podcast will be much more interesting than what you experienced in your economics class.

How do High Net Worth Investors invest SO much in IPOs? Nykaa's IPO saw Rs. 1,00,000 crores invested by the well heeled Indian investors. But not much of it is their own money - they borrow it. In this episode, Deepak and Shray unravel the dynamics of an IPO application for HNIs. From the rules of allocation, the big business of IPO funding, how HNIs can borrow 100X their money, systemic risks, how grey market premium (GMP) works, the role of regulators and the road ahead. Read more here

On today's show, Shray asks Deepak about how to make sense of the past two years in the markets, macroeconomics, and the seeming irrationality of it all. They also talk about how to look at the year ahead.

Highlights

Read more at https://capitalmind.in

With technology comes great responsibility, says SEBI, as it attempts to regulate the algorithmic trading markets that have just started to evolve in India. The concept of "API" trading, through Application Programming Interfaces is the standard in the web and app-based world, but SEBI doesn't want you to manage your own money programmatically. Or, worse, to give it to someone else who is "unregulated" to manage your money through an algorithm either.

In this episode we discuss SEBI's recent consultation paper on algorithmic trading and how it impacts you. What roles do algorithms play in managing your money and will a program be investing on your behalf in the near future.

SEBI published a consultation paper on algorithmic trading by retail investors on Thu Dec 9 2021 The paper impacts any form of "automated" trading: through a broker provided API in general as well as Algo Trading An example of an Algorithm that already exists - Good Till Traded orders offered by your broker. They place an order automatically every single day through a program. Algorithms that would help retail investors- "Buy/Sell this stock if it falls 10%", or manage the extreme risk on my portfolio (insurance, of sorts). The motivation for this paper is the emergence of 3rd Party platforms that make use of APIs through algorithms, where you share your API keys etc and they automatically trade on your account. The Algorithm behaves like a proxy fund manager or money manager. They can trade your account whenever they want. Concern: What if they make big losses and you have no idea of how much they can hurt you? Concern: Can't these platforms get a lot of customers and then auto-manipulate a stock, in the name of algo trading? Concern: APIs + Algorithms could be used to overwhelm/stuff the exchange or be used to manipulate a security's price. Rate limiting and cool off periods could help address this. Consultation paper currently bans all APIs and places onus on brokers to regulate them and suggests that brokers take responsibility to run the algorithms on their system The paper would enable the Broker to empanel someone (and do the checks/risk assessment/quality control) but would prevent an individual from setting up something themselves - but this seems unenforceable. Stopping APIs altogether is like using a sledgehammer to kill a mosquito. We could achieve many of the objectives by having the algorithm pop up an approve/reject screen that the user has to click on. If you have say more than 50 lakhs or something in your account then you could potentially have fully automatic execution. This would be a useful middle ground to protect the smaller retail customers. When I click a buy button on Zerodha Kite it triggers an API, when you click a buy button on Smallcase to buy on say zerodha it also triggers a bunch of API, when you place an order through a program that also triggers an API - how do you differentiate between the three? And you can't build an app without APIs Even fund managers are found guilty of say front running or offloading - SEBI can come after them since they are regulated. If you're trading other people's money and earning from it - you have to be treated with the same level of compliance as a fund manager (PMS/AIF etc) There aren't any fund manager rules that allow you to run strategies with the kind of leverage that these algorithms allow you to. According to Nithin's twitter space only 0.5% of zerodha users use algos.If you're running your own algorithm that really should be allowed Future of fund management (especially at scale) will require some levels of automation and APIs so we can't take a regressive or overly harsh stand.

Read more at https://capitalmind.in!

How does P2P lending work in India? How safe is P2P lending? Deepak and Shray explore how the industry works, the risks involved and whether the returns are enough to justify the risks.

Summary

Read the full transcript.

Episode 41 - Deepak sits down with returning guest Ruchir Kanakia, the founder of the insurance distribution company OneAssure to discuss our favorite insurance product - term insurance.

Click here for the full transcript.

Episode 40 and we're speaking to the fintech firm that just raised 40 Million dollars last week - Smallcase! Deepak sits down with co-founders Vasanth and Anugrah to talk about creating a new way to invest in stocks, investment lessons from the pandemic and what's up next from the Smallcase team.

What is a Portfolio Management Service? How does it really work? Do they actually benefit their clients? In this episode, Vashistha and Deepak explore PMS' through their experience of running one at Capitalmind. They explain how the operations work, the pros and cons of different fee structures, quantitative strategies and how PMS' are different from AIFs, Mutual Funds and Smallcases.

How do you plan for a smooth transfer of your wealth after you die? And how do you help someone whose loved one has passed on? In this episode, Shray and Deepak explore what you must do in an unfortunate circumstance of a loved one's death, and for an easy transition in case of your own. We also invite Harshavardhan Ganesan, a practicing lawyer, to give us the legal perspective. Listen in for real life anecdotes from covid, succession certificates, legal wills, and some counter-intuitive learnings.

Are the recent problems - GME, Greensill and Archegos - signs of a damaged financial system that is so terribly fragile that a slightly bigger disaster can easily crush it? Like what Covid has done to the world's health system, are there more hidden risks in our financial system that can trigger a repeat of 2008? In this episode, Deepak and Shray explore what's happened in the US over the past few months, and examples of hidden leverage within India - from Harshad Mehta to Karvy, Zee, DHFL and more.

On today's show, Deepak invites Vivek Subramanyam of LiveAltLife to discuss the one thing without which wealth means very little - health. Vivek breaks down the foundations of health to help avoid or even reverse lifestyle diseases as Deepak draws paralells on human behavior from the world of investing.

On today's show, Shray asks Deepak about government borrowing and debt, how the RBI can help bring down borrowing costs, the new rules that make your provident fund much less attractive and how we can now invest directly in Government bonds instead of Fixed Deposits.

In this episode, Shray and Deepak discuss the evaporating returns from safe investments such as FDs, what it means for lending, and how should you invest in this new (to India) low interest-rate world.

In this episode, Shray and Anoop discuss momentum investing and how we implement it as portfolios at Capitalmind.

In this episode, Deepak and Shray invite Ruchir, co-founder of OneAssure, to walk us through how to get started with health insurance.

In this episode, Shray and Sandeep discuss how adding a trend following layer to a long-only portfolio can help enhance returns and lower drawdowns, in the context of Capitalmind Chase - our own such strategy.

In this episode Deepak takes on the Reliance Jio story. Is the stock in a bubble, is there any danger of it becoming a monopoly and why is there only one Reliance in India.

Preview

"Dhirubhai Ambani himself is responsible for a lot of the shareholder culture in India. Till the early 80s minority Shareholders were considered like second class citizens - there were institutions and promoters - that was all that people cared about. In Dalal street, the "Operators" would consider retail shareholders the pits, they would con people all the time. People would lose money, no one would care. Reliance was one of the few companies that would care about the shareholders. People from his village, from Gujarat would come in and buy shares of Reliance - those people are now probably multi multi millionaires. He built that culture."

Deepak Shenoy of Capitalmind hosts Kunal Shah of CRED as they analyze the affluent - their spending patterns, usage of credit and habits that help them succeed. They talk about high trust groups, creating wealth and incentivizing good behavior.

Preview

Less than 1% will know what their income per hour is. Therefore, if you find somebody who is making Rs 5,000 per hour (and there are many ways to calculate this). But let's say you spend 30 mins to get a Rs 1,000 discount on your flight ticket - was it worth your time?

On today's show, Shray asks Deepak about the recent downgrade of India by Moody's. Should we care? Are rating agencies more or less relevant after the 2008 debacle and what does the downgrade mean for India.

Preview

"There's an internal class system they have developed. Whether it is between companies or across countries. The developed countries get a different framework to work with and what they call the non-developed is held to a different standard."

On today's show, Shray and Deepak discuss debt mutual funds. How do they really work? What do they invest in? And how do you evaluate these funds before investing in them?

Preview

"The whole money supply in India is about 150 lakh crores. Half of that is in Fixed Deposits with banks. Around 30-40 lakh crores is sitting with government bonds/funds issued by the government. The rest in retail deposits. Debt Mutual funds are nascent in comparison... we've calculated that you can pay 80% less tax if you hold a debt fund giving roughly the same interest as an FD if you hold it for 3+ years, even if you take out money from time to time. The tax advantage is huge for individuals who are in higher tax brackets."

On today's show, Shray and Deepak discuss FIIs (Foreign Institutional Investors). Who are they, how big are they, and what role do they play in our markets? Read the transcript here.

On today's show, we discuss the extreme volatility in financial markets and the Covid-19 pandemic affecting our daily lives. Is this a panic? How to we invest through this storm?

Read the transcript here.

On today's show, Deepak Shenoy (CEO) and Aditya Jaiswal (Analyst) try to understand the ₹30 trillion behemoth, the Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC).

Transcript: https://www.capitalmind.in/2020/02/podcast-how-big-is-lic-anyway/

On today's show, Deepak Shenoy (CEO) and Sahil Kini (Co-founder and CEO, Setu) talk about the problems ailing the Indian financial infrastructure and how APIs are shaping the way digital businesses are built.

Transcript: https://www.capitalmind.in/2020/02/indias-new-financial-infrastructure-will-enable-better-more-inclusive-bharat-ux/

On today's show, Deepak Shenoy (CEO) and Aditya Jaiswal discuss the impact of the union budget on our savings and investments- would you be better off moving on to the new tax regime? how does the budget impact your mutual funds (dividend options)? Are the Arb fund dividend reinvestment plans dead?

Transcripts: https://www.capitalmind.in/2020/02/podcast-22-how-budget-2020-impacts-the-way-you-save-and-invest/

Is passive investing making investors insensitive to price and valuations? Is this distorting the capital flows to the market? In U.S, the market share for passively managed funds has risen to about 51 percent, but what is the number for India? Where do we stand?

Transcripts: https://www.capitalmind.in/2020/01/the-amazing-rise-of-passive-and-what-you-need-to-do-about-it

Deepak Shenoy (CEO) and Aditya Jaiswal (Analyst) answer these and a lot more questions on today's show.

On today's show, Deepak Shenoy (CEO) and Aditya Jaiswal (Analyst) take you back to the 80s, when the Indian stock market was all wild wild west.

It's the April of 1982, a powerful bear cartel has raided the shares of Reliance, they short sell Reliance shares so heavily that it plummets from Rs131 to Rs121 in a short span of time. They have done it in the past and they have done it to many, but this time they have messed up with Dhirubhai Ambani- a businessman who was known for his astute business acumen.

Will the bears succeed? or will the tables be turned?

Transcript: https://www.capitalmind.in/2020/01/podcast-surviving-a-bear-attack-how-dhirubhai-did-it/

On today's show, Deepak Shenoy (CEO) and Aditya Jaiswal (Analyst) discuss the New Pension Scheme in detail.

Transcript: https://www.capitalmind.in/2020/01/podcast-19-understanding-the-new-pension-scheme/

We discuss the NPS from the perspective of a 30 year old who opts for NPS and contributes INR50,000 every year. How much will he accumulate at retirement? What happens if he loses his job after 5 years? How will the forced annuity impact him at retirement? If he doesn't wants to opt for NPS, how much should his investments earn to beat the NPS returns plus the associated tax benefits of NPS?

On today's show, Deepak Shenoy (CEO) and Vashistha Iyer (COO) discuss effective ways to make life simpler by managing cash flows using credit cards and bank overdrafts.

Transcripts: https://www.capitalmind.in/2019/12/how-to-master-your-cash-flows-with-credit-cards-and-overdrafts/

Heads-up:

1. Is parking money in bank accounts a risky proposition?

2. If you earn 1 lakh a month and you get a 1 lakh credit card bill, what do you do? Do you not invest that month?

3. Do 'No-cost EMIs' really cost nothing?

4. If you consistently use more than 60-80% of your credit card's limit, does it affect your credit score?

5. Is it better to have multiple credit cards?

6. Is it safer to swipe your credit card more often than your debit card?

On today's show, Deepak Shenoy (CEO) and Aditya Jaiswal (Analyst) discuss the Bharat Bond ETF in detail.

Transcript: https://www.capitalmind.in/2019/12/bharat-bond-etf/

Q) Will it provide the much needed liquidity to the debt market? Who are going to be the market makers?

Q) Is it a zero credit risk option? and what about the interest rate risk?

Q) Is it a good deal for the fixed income investors?

Q) Which option will suit you better, the 3-year variant or the 5-year variant?

Grab your popcorn and stay tuned, you are going to enjoy this one!

Deepak Shenoy (@deepakshenoy) speaks with Nithin Kamath (@Nithin0dha), CEO of Zerodha about the Karvy mess- does it reflect a systemic failure? do brokers like Karvy have legacy issues? how differently does Zerodha operate? and most importantly, what should investors do to protect themselves from such scandals in the future.

Transcripts: https://www.capitalmind.in/2019/12/podcast-16-what-broke-karvy-and-how-is-zerodha-shaping-the-future-of-broking/

The year 2019 has been quite eventful for the Indian markets! Right from corporate governance issues popping up almost every month, the collapse of NBFCs such IL&FS and DHFL, then the shady practices in scheduled banks such as the PMC Bank and now comes the Karvy fiasco.

Read transcripts here: https://www.capitalmind.in/2019/11/podcast-the-strange-happenings-at-karvy-ep-15/

Deepak Shenoy (CEO) and Aditya Jaiswal (Analyst) discuss in detail how the Karvy fiasco unraveled followed by series of questions such as:

What is a pool account and are brokers using it as means to fund themselves? Can brokers misuse the power of attorney signed by their clients? Is it safer to have demat accounts with banks? What should the existing clients of Karvy do? What happens to the banks/NBFCs who have lent money to Karvy?

We often hear that "Mutual Funds Sahi Hai". But none of the experts answer, "Konsa Mutual Fund Sahi Hai?"

Host Deepak Shenoy (CEO) and Aditya Jaiswal bring you another Podcast where they simplify mutual funds, allocation (debt-equity), SIP vs lump sum debate, the myth regarding Star ratings, ELSS funds, expense ratios, Sectoral funds and a lot more!

Transcripts: capitalmind.in/2019/11/how-to-buy-a-mutual-fund-ep-14/

Host Deepak Shenoy (CEO) and Aditya Jaiswal discuss a bunch of interesting things in this podcast including, whether it makes sense to buy a house in the Uber economy, the mother-in-law economics, the financial implications of having a portfolio of properties, and the outlook for the property prices in the near term.

Read full transcript: https://www.capitalmind.in/2019/10/podcast-should-you-buy-a-house-ep-13/

Host Deepak Shenoy (CEO) and Aditya Jaiswal discuss about Yes Bank – The "Kohinoor" of Rana Kapoor, pledging of shares by ZEE and deferred tax assets (DTAs) in the books of private and public sector banks.

Deepak's thoughts on Yes Bank (1:35) Cockroaches in Zee's Books? (5:45) Deferred tax assets in the books of private and public sector banks (10:00)

Read full transcript: https://www.capitalmind.in/2019/10/yes-banks-fall-zees-fall-and-deferred-tax-assets-ep-12/

1. Deepak's thoughts on Yes Bank:

Why should people continue to retain deposits with the Yes bank? The answer to this is two things First of all, the bank accounts itself don't show us the kind of panic that people seem to have in their heads the deposits seem relatively safe. And to that extent, you know, if you look at the numbers that they have their INR 58,000 crores in government bonds are the 2 lakh Crore in govt deposits, that's 25% straightaway or 30% early and then they have loans worth INR 2,30,000 crores, they have another you know 10,000 crores of cash with RBI they have another INR 5000 somewhere else. So, there is essentially about 75,000 crores of very, very liquid assets that they have. They have also told us that, you know we've still seeing certain amount of rationalization in their in their loans. Even if all the BB loans were to go to zero and their current NPAs are all supposed to go to zero, they would lose roughly 20-25,000 crores this would take you know eight quarters because RBI way gives them already quarters write them down, in those eight quarters they will generate INR12-13,000 crores of profits because they have other loans which are good, there is a potential another fund raise that will come up so, at max I think even if they were to take this extreme step of where all these loans go bad, the capital ratios will still be okay...

"I don't think it's a great time for anybody to buy Yes bank stock, it's a lottery! But the chances of winning substantial amounts are very low. So I'm not really interested in the stock. I am, however, of the opinion that the deposits are safe."

2. Cockroaches in Zee's Books? (5:45)

If you look at the FII holding of ZEE, about 47% of ZEE is held by FIIs, out of which the big guys that is anybody who owns more than 1% of Zee add up to only only 19%. So, the remaining 30% of ZEE holding (held by FIIs), is held by a lot of FIIs who have less than 1% shares. Who are these FIIs? Why are there so many of them? And how come they all own these tiny little percentages of ZEE? We don't know the answer to that...

3. Deferred tax assets in the books of private and public sector banks

If you take the 22% tax regime, you can't use the deferred tax assets. Whenever you take an asset and say that as it is worthless now, because I'm going to the 22% tax regime and that tax regime does not allow me to take the deferred tax asset, I am immediately going to lose that amount...