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Trading in the New Economy

Trading in the New Economy

Specialist Share Education

Australian Stock Market Educator & Fund Manager Garry Davis gives his top down insights into the global economic environment and its impact on financial markets, to set stock market direction and strategy from the US to the ASX. Plus, we'll add some short form educational segments from our member only education sessions along the way (we highly recommend our first ever published episode). Mostly taken from our Weekly YouTube Show, these episodes give you non biased, just facts and logical, open minded guidance to succeed in the New Economy (and it has changed!). Indices, bonds, spreads, currencies, commodities and what the smart money is doing right now is what Garry delivers to our 8,000+ YouTube community every week. For the full visual experience, come check us out over there at https://www.youtube.com/c/SpecialistShareEducation.

188 - The Bear Case Weakens - But Here's the Catch
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  • 188 - The Bear Case Weakens - But Here's the Catch

    The bear case for US equities is weakening as broader market participation improves. But that is not an all-clear, and a sudden correction remains a credible risk. 

    In this update, Garry Davis examines three possible market paths over the next 3, 6 and 12 months, weighing what the evidence supports against the risks that could change the picture. 

    Watch on YouTube 

    View our results scoreboard 

    Equal-weight US equities have outperformed the headline index, and investment-grade credit conditions are showing some improvement. At the same time, riskier borrowers face greater pressure and elevated bond yields remain a concern. Garry favours a choppy, selective advance, not a smooth market-wide rally, while recognising that an external catalyst could trigger a meaningful correction. 

    The failed Firmus IPO adds another important distinction: enormous demand for AI infrastructure does not mean every project is financeable at any valuation. Garry explores why secured power, contracted customers, sound balance sheets and realistic project economics are becoming critical as capital flows towards stronger operators. 

    For ongoing market guidance, portfolio recommendations, education and direct support, learn more about the Insiders Club. 

    For an individually managed account where you retain visibility and control, learn more about Portfolio Manager. 

    Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly, you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice.Garry Davis(AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107). 

    Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material. 

    Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns. 

    It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader. 

    This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start. Members have access to Garry to support them in creating a trading plan that suits their risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation. 

    Sun, 11 Oct 2026
  • 187 - Market Breadth Is Getting Worse - How Far Is Too Far?

    US market breadth has deteriorated sharply, but the headline indices and semiconductors still refuse to confirm a major breakdown.

    In this update, Garry Davis examines what worsening market breadth, rising yields and widening credit spreads are telling investors - and why the strength in technology means the bearish case remains incomplete.

    Watch on YouTube

    View our results scoreboard

    For ongoing market guidance, portfolio recommendations, education and direct support, learn more about the Insiders Club.

    For an individually managed account where you retain visibility and control, learn more about Portfolio Manager.

    The contradiction beneath the US market is now stark. Eight of the 11 major sectors are in downtrend, while the equal-weight S&P 500 has been falling for weeks. Yet the cap-weighted S&P 500 remains near its highs and the Nasdaq has just set new records.

    At the same time, the bond and credit markets have become more concerning. The US 10-year Treasury yield finished around 5.28%, while high-yield credit spreads have widened materially. Garry describes the setup as a yellow light rather than a red light: the direction of travel is negative, but a major equity breakdown is still not confirmed.

    Technology and semiconductors remain the major counter-signal. Their resilience in the face of higher yields and broader weakness says a great deal about the strength of AI-related demand and capital flows. The practical response is not to guess the next market move, but to stay selective, manage weightings and let price action dictate the probabilities.

    Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly, you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice.Garry Davis(AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107).

    Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material.

    Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns.

    It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader.

    This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start. Members have access to Garry to support them in creating a trading plan that suits their risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation.

    Sat, 03 Oct 2026
  • 186 - AI Might Kill Us All… But Seriously, Follow the Money

    AI fears are generating extraordinary headlines, but the more useful question for investors is what the evidence and money flows are actually saying.

    At the same time, the market warning from two weeks ago has not disappeared. Macro stress remains, although the confirmations needed for a serious systemic unwind are still missing. Garry Davis explains why that distinction matters.

    Watch on YouTube

    View our results scoreboard

    Markets have been tested repeatedly and have so far refused to break. Bond yields remain elevated and there has been a minor new widening in credit spreads, so the underlying risk has not gone away. However, the broader confirmations that would signal a serious systemic unwind are still absent, which keeps this as a risk scenario rather than a prediction.

    The same discipline applies to AI. The public debate has become increasingly sensational and tribal, but investors should separate what could happen from what the evidence says is happening. Despite a difficult macro backdrop, semiconductors and other parts of the AI trade have strengthened as the market rewards businesses demonstrating real demand, earnings growth and economic return.

    The practical message is to ignore the hysteria without ignoring the risks. Huge structural opportunities remain, but they are highly stock-specific and require greater vigilance than usual. Follow the evidence, follow the money flows and be prepared to change when the evidence changes.

    For ongoing market guidance, portfolio recommendations, education and direct support, learn more about the Insiders Club.

    For an individually managed account where you retain visibility and control, learn more about Portfolio Manager.

    Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly, you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice.Garry Davis(AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107).

    Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material.

    Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns.

    It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader.

    This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start. Members have access to Garry to support them in creating a trading plan that suits their risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation.

    Sun, 27 Sep 2026
  • 185 - The Warning Still Stands - But Something Has Changed

    The risks I warned about last week have not disappeared. But the market has just passed two important stress tests far more calmly than logic suggested it would.

    In this update, Garry Davis explains what changed, why the feared chain reaction did not unfold, and why the next step is to rebuild exposure only as the market provides positive evidence.

    Watch on YouTube

    View our results scoreboard

    The quarter-point rate moves in the US and Japan could logically have produced a far more disruptive reaction. Instead, the key rate differential barely changed, credit markets stayed calm and equities absorbed the week without major damage. That does not remove the risks around bonds, the yen and the carry trade - it means the feared chain reaction still lacks confirmation.

    Meanwhile, US corporate earnings remain strong and the AI trade continues to produce evidence of real demand, pricing power and improving returns. The practical response is not to regret earlier risk reduction or rush back in, but to use cash and partial positions to rebuild exposure on positive evidence and tolerable weightings.

    For ongoing market guidance, portfolio recommendations, education and direct support, learn more about the Insiders Club.

    For an individually managed account where you retain visibility and control, learn more about Portfolio Manager.

    Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly, you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice.Garry Davis(AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107).

    Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material.

    Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns.

    It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader.

    This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start. Members have access to Garry to support them in creating a trading plan that suits their risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation.

    Sun, 20 Sep 2026
  • 184 - I Rarely Do This... But a Serious Market Shock Is Now in Play

    For the first time in a long time, there is a credible pathway to a much more serious market outcome. That does not mean a crash is being predicted.

    In this update, Garry Davis explains why rapidly rising bond yields, shifting global money flows and a highly leveraged financial system have increased the risk - while several vital market confirmations are still missing.

    Watch on YouTube

    View our results scoreboard

    The key issue is not whether the US 10-year Treasury yield reaches one particular number. It is the speed at which financial conditions are changing. In a highly leveraged system, abrupt moves in bonds, currencies and capital flows can create forced selling and feedback loops that are difficult to contain.

    At the same time, credit spreads remain relatively calm, volatility is subdued, major US equity indices remain close to record highs and semiconductors are still holding up. The bearish macro case therefore still lacks important confirmation, which is why this remains a risk scenario rather than a prediction.

    For ongoing market guidance, portfolio recommendations, education and direct support, learn more about the Insiders Club.

    For an individually managed account where you retain visibility and control, learn more about Portfolio Manager.

    Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly, you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice.Garry Davis(AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107).

    Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material.

    Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns.

    It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader.

    This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start. Members have access to Garry to support them in creating a trading plan that suits their risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation.

    Sun, 13 Sep 2026
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