Marketplace

More tariffs are set to take effect April 2, and in most cases, American consumers and businesses will pay the tax. We’ll explain why some sectors expect prices to rise as soon as next month while others won’t feel a pinch until later in the year. Also in this episode: Tariffs could inflate the dollar’s strength while sapping demand for American exports, Gen Zers feel “trapped” by microtrends and Alaskan crude oil production is projected to jump in 2026.

Federal Reserve policymakers aren’t cutting interest rates right now, though they expect two rate cuts in 2025. When — and if — those cuts come will depend on how the trade war shakes out. In this episode, what static rates mean for consumers and businesses. Plus, more byproducts of tariff-driven economic uncertainty: bond spreads widen and export prices rise, particularly on agricultural products.

“Recession” recently peaked on Google Trends — a sure sign Americans are sweating the possibility of an economic downturn. But what do the numbers say? Well, the hard data so far reflects a pretty strong economy. But the soft, economic-vibes data, is … less optimistic. Plus: Government credits help Tesla and other EV-makers stay afloat, liquefied natural gas exports are slated to double in five years and advocates help young people who’ve aged out of foster care find resources.

About 8.9 million. That’s how many U.S. workers worked more than one job in February — an all-time high, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. We spoke with some workers holding multiple job about why this economy necessitates a second (or third) gig. Plus, economist Mohamed El-Erian on DOGE and recession odds, and we break down why the U.S. energy mix probably won’t change much under President Donald Trump.

Mortgage rates have fallen recently to 6.6% for a 30-year fixed. But will it be enough to bring prospective homebuyers off the sidelines? Not according to one survey, which found some buyers are holding out for rates below 5%. Also in this episode: The Trump administration cut USDA programs that allowed schools and food banks to buy fresh, local food. And the U.S. wants Chinese consumers to spend more, but that won’t be easy.

The U.S. Dollar Index has fallen sharply in the last few weeks, thanks largely to tariff flip-flopping and overall economic uncertainty. Typically, significant sustained changes in a currency’s value indicate the relative strength of a nation’s economy. Should we be worried? Also: New tariffs triggered a January import rush that will ding GDP, student loan borrowers are temporarily blocked from income-driven repayment plans and Amazon pulls back on its brick-and-mortar grocery biz.

Just 44% of employees feel confident about the next six months at their company, a Glassdoor survey found — the lowest in nine years. Thank government layoffs, tariff uncertainty and a toughening job market. Are these negative predictions warnings of a coming recession? Also in this episode, the overall cost of food at home was flat in February, electric grid battery storage grew 66% in the U.S. last year, and Angelenos worry dumped wildfire debris could be toxic.

Back in 2018 — the last time President Donald Trump led a trade war — some businesses got tariff exemptions if they imported goods that couldn’t be sourced in the U.S. Was the process to apply smooth and transparent? Well … no. Will today’s businesses have the same opportunity? That remains to be seen. Also in this episode: Home improvement stores launch AI helper bots, corporate forecasts aim low, and small businesses hesitate to hire.

Terri Bromberg lost her home of 20 years in the Los Angeles fires. Rather than rebuild, the artist and professor chose to sell and move elsewhere. Prospective buyers put in bids without being able to see the plot of land in person. In this episode, Bromberg and her real estate agent tell us about the process of selling in the Pacific Palisades since the wildfires. Plus: China announces retaliatory tariffs on some U.S. agricultural products, Americans lose confidence in their financial futures, and why Tesla’s stock price has slumped.

Overall employment dropped last month, according to the monthly jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. At the same time, employers added jobs to the economy. Weird, right? Well, two surveys make up the monthly report — one of households and one of employers. And they can disagree. Plus, more part-time workers want full-time jobs, Gap is on a roll, and professional basketball has become a game regulations.

Ask an economist what’s driving decision-making right now, and the answer may well be “uncertainty.” In this episode, the unpredictable environment fuels a range of change: The labor market softens, surveys of the service sector point in opposite directions and Treasury yields sink. Plus, the Commerce Department just dissolved two expert advisory groups, putting the trustworthiness of future federal data into question.

They’re here: President Donald Trump’s 25% tariffs on goods from Canada and Mexico begin today, as well as an additional 10% tax on goods from China. In this episode, we hear from business owners who are caught in the middle of trade policy chaos and explain why Texas is likely to suffer in particular. Plus, Forest Service layoffs devastate rural western mountain towns, and small warehouses are in demand but hard to come by.

As bird flu proliferates across U.S. farms, infecting chickens, cows and even humans, some public health experts worry that that funding to deal with it has been inadequate. Above all, they say we need stronger incentives for farmers and farmworkers to test for and report cases of the virus. Plus, the manufacturing sector’s outlook remains mixed, two-thirds of Americans say they have been victims of a financial scam and what could happen if we removed government spending from GDP calculations.

In the past decade, filming outside of Los Angeles has become a cost-effective option for many major studios. And lower housing costs are driving many lighting techs, grips and gaffers to follow. With roughly 13,000 homes lost in January’s wildfires, staying in LA will be even harder for those workers. Also on the show, the rising cost of utilities and a second act for frozen foods.

Capital goods orders picked up in January — that’s stuff businesses buy that’ll last a while, like tools and equipment. Is it a sign business owners have money to spend? Or, have tariffs fears and economic uncertainty spooked them into buying things before it’s too late? Also in this episode: Unemployment claims tick up (and that’s not even counting laid-off federal workers), architects stress fire resilience in rebuilding and used car prices rise.

The second Trump administration has made spending cuts a priority  — already, the president has enacted a funding freeze and laid off thousands of federal workers. Reduced government spending will have major ripple effects, though, like shrinking the nation’s GDP. Also in this episode: Trump’s move toward Russia threatens longstanding relationships with European allies and Instacart forecasts a growth slowdown.

Home Depot, which makes most of its money from renovations, said small projects are driving its sales. That suggests homeowners are staying put — maybe improving the home they have while waiting for a clearer picture of the economy. Meanwhile, home prices just keep rising, although market volatility has cooled off. Also in this episode: When Canadian energy tariffs take effect, New Englanders will pay up and consumer confidence drops amid inflation anxiety.

The top 10% of earners account for half of all consumer spending in the U.S., a new study shows. In other words, if the goods and services Americans buy in a year were a pie, those with the highest incomes have been shelling out for a massive slice. Where does that leave everyone else? Also in this episode: Investors and the AI industry await Nvidia’s earnings report this week and tariffs threaten a complex auto manufacturing supply chain.

American consumers agree: High prices aren’t going anywhere. All that stress about inflation, and throw in the impact of tariffs, heightens uncertainty, which translates into negative economic sentiment. But the severity of concern varies between Republicans and Democrats — a lot. Also in this episode: Private data can’t replace government data, oil tankers “go dark” and though the travel industry enjoyed healthy growth last year, new Trump policies could affect the upward trend.

Last month, key federal data sets were removed from government websites following actions by the Donald Trump administration, and researchers rushed to preserve the information. David Van Riper of IPUMS, an organization dedicated to improving public access to government data, talked to “Marketplace” host Kai Ryssdal about the importance of these statistics. Plus, Walmart expands and diversifies, ChatGPT has lots of rivals as well as a huge user base, and the U.S. solar industry adapts without Biden-era tax credits.

Nearly half of consumers say they’ve taken action to align their spending with their moral views since the November election, a new Harris Poll shows. That includes boycotting brands based on campaign contributions, or even looking for ways to opt out of consumerism altogether. In this episode, could politically driven shopping habits make an impact on corporations? Plus, Etsy flounders, homebuilders lose confidence and Amazon Alexa and Apple’s Siri play virtual assistant catch-up.

At the national level, 2.5% is the lowest the unemployment rate has ever been … and that was for just two months in 1953. We’re at 4% right now, but the labor market is pretty tight. In this episode, we ask: How low can unemployment go? Plus, Samsung buys back stock and retires shares, the Fed is thinking about tariffs and a program that teaches refugees to drive runs out of gas, thanks to President Trump’s immigration policy.

Tons of sellers listed their homes in January, after months of waiting in vain for mortgage rates to fall. But many would-be buyers are facing economic uncertainty and aren’t ready to make an offer. Plus: A FEMA rule forces residents of flood-prone areas to make a difficult decision, developing countries will drive global energy demand in the next few years and when colleges close, local communities suffer.

Retail sales were down in January, but the Census Bureau report — with its mish-mosh of data — can obscure nuances in consumer spending. In this episode, we talk to economists and other experts about how they cut through the noise. Plus: An American city and Canadian city with interlaced economies brace for tariffs, Americans love their meat sticks and the women behind a wine shop-restaurant-bookstore tell us about their business.

Homeowners have been clinging to low mortgage rates for the past few years, stifling the housing market. But new data from Zillow shows once-patient sellers are finally pulling the trigger, despite high rates. Why now? Also in this episode: Supply logistics costs rise, businesses brace for tariff fallout and produce prices fall for suppliers — but that doesn’t mean grocery bills are shrinking.

After a rough 2024, energy giant BP is expected to announce a “fundamental reset” of its business strategy this month. We don’t know for sure what that means, but industry experts expect the firm, formerly known as British Petroleum, to move away from renewables and double down on oil and natural gas. Also in this episode: A trade consultant tells us how her clients are reacting to President Trump’s trade policies, Zelle hit a record $1 trillion in payments last year and Americans are turning to “fin-fluencers” for financial advice.

The sun isn’t always shining and wind isn’t always blowing, but what if there was an always-available renewable energy source? In this episode, we take a trip to the Port of Los Angeles, where scientists are trying to capture energy directly from Pacific Ocean waves. Plus: New England faces a worker shortage brought on by an aging population, the U.S. steel industry’s days of market dominance are over and “AI accelerationists” want the technology to advance ASAP.

A series of policy changes are hitting the economy, but some aspects of consumer behavior have yet to demonstrate change. A Federal Reserve survey shows Americans still gauge future inflation at 3%. And we continue to spend 40% of our food budget on eating out and 60% on meals at home. Also in this episode, insurance and property taxes contribute to the housing affordability crisis, steel and aluminum are tariffed together but serve different markets, and only some states require vehicle safety inspections.

Between President Trump’s changeable policy plans and sticky inflation in some sectors, everyone participating in this economy is, in a word, uncertain. In this episode, we hear how manufacturers, importers and consumers are dealing with that uneasy feeling and get some perspective from Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Austan Goolsbee. Plus, the new Department of Government Efficiency, led by Elon Musk, has unprecedented access to the Treasury’s chief payment system. Should we be worried?

Spent a lot on health care last year? So did employers. The cost of employee health insurance benefits rose 4 to 5% faster than inflation in 2024. That’s not unusual, but rising premiums do put a dent in corporate budgets. In this episode, why health care costs aren’t slowing down. Plus, a California port aims for total decarbonization by the end of the decade and once-incarcerated firefighters face significant barriers trying to find a job.

If you’re a regular “Marketplace” listener, you’ve probably heard of the Fed’s Beige Book. But have you heard of the Tealbook? In this episode, we pull back the curtain on the Fed’s fortune-telling report that helps monetary policy mandarins ideate on possible economic scenarios. Plus: AI tools juggle search dominance with profitability, the GDP report shows consumers still haven’t stopped spending and we wrap up our sojourn in Cumberland County, Tennessee.

When the Federal Reserve changes its key interest rate, borrowing costs adjust accordingly … usually. There are times, though, when they move in the opposite direction. In this episode, we break down interest rate sensitivity and why borrowing rates don’t always align with the Fed’s moves. Plus, we visit the Save a Lot grocery store and Good Samaritans charity in Crossville, Tennessee — two places that support the area’s aging residents, including those who live on low or fixed incomes.

As America’s population ages, so does its workforce. That’s why this week, Kai and ADP’s Nela Richardson are visiting Cumberland County, Tennessee, where a third of residents are 65 and older. In this episode, we talk to an exterminator, a part-time dance teacher, a hospital president and a minister-turned-shop owner to illustrate that  Cumberland’s aging population brings new opportunities — and challenges.

It’s a demographic reality: The U.S. has an aging workforce. That’s gonna affect our economy, big time. In this episode, Kai takes a trip to Cumberland County, Tennessee, with payroll firm ADP’s chief economist, Nela Richardson. It’s home to one of the oldest labor forces in the country — around a third of residents are older than 65 — meaning this rural nook of Tennessee can give us a glimpse into the future.

Private label sales hit an all-time high in 2024, a new report shows. We’re talking about retail stores’ in-house brands, like Costco’s Kirkland or Target’s Everspring. What does it say about today’s consumers that they’re willing to abandon brand loyalty on certain items in favor of (usually cheaper) private label goods? Also in this episode: A seamstress upcycles fan gear and a retiree volunteers in his adopted community to build hiking trails.

How is the consumer-spending sausage made? Not impulsively — today’s shoppers are value- and credit-savvy. Procter & Gamble attributed its sales growth to bulk purchases against a backdrop of rising consumer debt delinquencies. Is the strong, spendy economy not what it seems? Also in this episode: Cash donations may be the best way to help LA fire victims, a poorly worded Trump executive order puts transportation officials in a tizzy and an apple farmer talks about immigration and the labor supply.

When you’re shopping, ever feel like your options are low-quality budget items or stuff that’s stunningly unaffordable? The growing gap between the haves and have-nots in the U.S. is reflected in what’s available for us to buy. It’s a phenomenon called bifurcation — we’ll explain. Also in this episode: Wage growth jumped in January and parlay betting makes loads of cash for sports gambling firms. Plus, share with Marketplace: What kind of consumer are you?

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says President Trump’s strategies of “energy dominance, deregulation and non-inflationary growth,” will bring down bond yields even if the Federal Reserve doesn’t cut interest rates. Will it work? Experts are skeptical. Also in this episode: Disney tries “skinny” streaming bundles, the women behind one of LA’s few lesbian bars talk strategy for reopening after the fires and small businesses show us how they’re increasing productivity.

In 2017, President Trump overhauled the federal tax structure. Eight years later, the corporate tax part of the deal hasn’t quite “paid for itself,” as promised. But the personal income part, which is set to expire this year, did help some lower-income Americans pay off debt and keep up with the cost of essentials. Will Congress act to renew it? Also in this episode: The legal outlook on Elon Musk gaining access to the Treasury’s payment system; Los Angeles fire property insurance payouts could reach historic levels; and the services sector is stronger than manufacturing right now.

You know that national debt we’re always talking about? It’s at $36 trillion right now, and around $7 trillion of that is owed … back to the U.S. government. We’ll explain. Also in this episode: Oil prices will be moved by more than tariffs this year, AI firms are spending big on Super Bowl ads and lenders see an uptick in business loan demand.

Though first-time unemployment filings barely ticked up last week, continuing claims hit a high not seen since 2021 and nearly 1.9 million Americans are receiving jobless benefits. What gives? A mix of hiring freezes, the time of year and choosy job seekers. Also in this episode: We compare today’s labor market to how things looked just before the pandemic began. Plus, three cities where rents are falling and a visit to a 24-hour diner.

President Donald Trump’s first day back in office came with dozens of executive orders and announcements. In this episode, we dig into why some of these decisions aren’t in domestic industries’ best interests. A 25% tax on goods from Canada and Mexico could create havoc in American automakers’ spiderwebbed production chain, and plans to boost domestic oil production could actually undermine profitability. Plus: Netflix’s subscriber numbers and a steel mill byproduct is a natural form of carbon capture tech.

The economic data of the last few months has reflected more than the typical turbulence. Labor strikes, natural disasters and political uncertainty have affected  consumer sentiment surveys, producer prices, mortgage rates and more. In this episode, we asked economists how they’re separating the significant from the irrelevant. Plus, Sudeep Reddy at Politico talks Trump’s economic messaging, Los Angeles wildfires intensify the region’s housing shortage and bond yields are up globally.

Retail sales ended last year strong, despite a somewhat uneasy economic mood. Today, we dig into a tool many spenders used to keep up: credit. Non-housing debt just hit a record high, according to the New York Federal Reserve — that includes credit card and buy now, pay later purchasing. Also in this episode: Activist legal groups strategize in anticipation of Trump’s second term, history-themed media is having a moment and housing starts leapt up from November to December.

We’ve said it before and we’ll say it again: During a tumultuous few years, consumer spending has kept the U.S. economy afloat. December retail data reflects that: Americans may be uncertain about their economic future, but they didn’t hesitate to spend it up during the holidays. But does the almighty consumer show signs of wavering? Also in this episode, China has built up its trade war playbook, wholesale electricity prices stabilize and the cost of retrofitting homes to resist wildfires varies.

The December consumer price index is in, and inflation did tick up a bit. The stickiest category? Shelter, which was up a whopping 4.6% year over year. In this episode, we break down the multitude of reasons housing prices remain high. Plus: What’s next for humanitarian parole recipients as Trump takes office, why the American workweek is shrinking and EV adoption grows alongside an expanding charging network.

It’s Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo’s last week on the job. We called her up to discuss the future of the CHIPS Act, her experience working with the tech elite and Donald Trump’s plan to “tariff our way” to revitalizing U.S. manufacturing. Also in this episode: Americans think finding a new job would be tricky but don’t plan to leave or lose their current one. Plus, the co-working industry sees signs of life and producer prices stayed mostly flat in December.

Vehicle fuel efficiency requirements, also known as Corporate Average Fuel Economy standards, were enacted in response to the 1970s oil embargo. But CAFE regulations have been buffeted by energy politics since that time. Once in office, President-elect Donald Trump is expected to carry on that tradition. Also in this episode: Homeowners affected by natural disasters have mortgage relief options, employers in expensive areas invest in manufactured housing and tech giants (still) dominate the stock market.