NFL: Game Theory and Money

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Week 17

Cynthia Frelund is coming off a week where she correctly picked 10 winners! She ran 10-thousand simulations on every week 16 game, so who does she have coming out on top in Steelers-Saints? Ravens-Chargers? Chiefs-Seahawks? The answers are a click away. Steelers-Saints (2:40). Buccaneers-Cowboys (8:15). Ravens-Chargers (10:30). Bills-Patriots (14:45). Jaguars-Dolphins (19:40). Bears-49ers (22:00). Broncos-Raiders (24:10). Falcons-Panthers (26:10). FANTASY FUTURES (27:00). THE DOGS (30:30). Chiefs-Seahawks (30:40). Bengals-Browns (36:40). Vikings-Lions (41:00). Giants-Colts (43:20). Rams-Cardinals (46:30). Redskins-Titans (48:35). Texans-Eagles (50:30). CONFIDENCE PICKS (51:50). PLAYOFF PROJECTIONS (55:00).

Week 15 Predictions

Week 14

Week 13

Week 12 Projections

Week 11 Predictions

Week 10 Predictions.

Week 9 Predictions

Week 8 Predictions

Cynthia Frelund predicted 11 winners correctly from week 6, and she's ready to build on that momentum as we head into week 7. Chargers-Titans (4:18). Panthers-Eagles (6:35). Lions-Dolphins (11:05). Patriots-Bears (13:00). Vikings-Jets (17:22). Bills-Colts (21:35). Rams-49ers (23:47). Cardinals-Broncos (28:45). Saints-Ravens (31:10). Cowboys-Redskins (34:35). Browns-Buccaneers (38:02). Texans-Jaguars (44:50). Bengals-Chiefs (48:35). Falcons-Giants (50:45).

Week 6 NFL predictions.

Which prevails? Jacksonville's staunch defense or Kansas City's high flying offense? Cynthia Frelund ran 10-thousand computer simulations on that game, as well as every other week 5 game!! See who came out the winner the most often when it was all said and done. It's the Game Theory and Money podcast, week 5 edition!

Cynthia Frelund faired very well in week 3 despite all sorts of major upsets. See what her 10,000 computer simulations on each week 4 game produced, what she has for 3 confidence picks this week (she's now 7 for 10 this season on confidence picks) and get to know Matt "Money" Smith on a very intimate level...it left Cynthia in tears, and will do the same to you! It's Game Theory and Money week 4 edition!

10,000 simulations on every single week 3 match-up! Dive into the Game Theory and Money podcast this week to see if the Browns can pull off their first win, which team seems like an absolute lock to walk away a winner, plus which game has the most potential to offer up some offensive fireworks. Join Matt "Money" Smith and analytics guru Cynthia Frelund as they make their was through a sea of numbers to provide you clarity for all of week 3's outcomes!

She told you the Vikings would win comfortably over the 49ers; she told you there would be tons of points scored in the Ravens-Bills game; she picked the correct winner in 13 of the 16 week 1 games in the NFL; and she got all 3 of her confidence picks correct. So what does Cynthia Frelund have in store for week 2? Join Cynthia and Matt "Money" Smith as we take you into the world of analytics to see what exactly will happen on the field this week. Predictions ahead!

Matt "Money" Smith and analytics expert Cynthia Frelund go through her computer simulations to reveal who will win each week 1 matchup in the NFL to kick off the 2018 season.

NFL Network Analytics Expert Cynthia Frelund sits down with Boston Celtics head coach Brad Stevens to talk about his use of analytics in coaching and his relationship with Bill Belichick and the Patriots (1:00). Also, from her visit to the Sloan Sports Analytics Conference in Boston, Cynthia speaks with Houston Rockets general manager Daryl Morey about James Harden's NFL comparison (16:25) and Warriors Assistant GM Kirk Lacob about the defining characteristics of the 2018 Golden State Warriors squad (25:31).

Cynthia Frelund and Matt “Money” Smith discuss the top prospects in the upcoming 2018 NFL Draft, including Penn State Running Back Saquon Barkley (5:10). Cynthia Frelund breaks down why she feels Florida State’s Derwin James is the best safety in the draft (10:40) and what his best landing spot is. Then, they deliberate over which teams can bounce back next season with some under the radar returns. Cynthia also talks about which untraditional stats she would like to see used on a larger scale nationally (27:40). Plus, Cynthia interviews WNBA Legend Sue Bird (32:05) from the Sloan Sports Analytics Conference.

Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith sit down to discuss the biggest free agency moves thus far, highlighting the Odell Beckham Jr. trade rumors, as well as the analytics angle on the Rams' newly bolstered defense and Alex Smith's potential impact on the Redskins' offensive stats (2:43). Then, Cynthia talks with Celtics head coach Brad Stevens about his use of analytics in coaching (24:44) and his relationship with Bill Belichick and the Patriots (35:31). Plus, from her visit to the Sloan Sports Analytics Conference in Boston, Cynthia speaks with Rockets GM Daryl Morey about James Harden's NFL comparison (46:52) and Warriors Assistant GM Kirk Lacob about the defining characteristics of the 2018 squad (52:20).

Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith sit down to discuss the latest free agency news, highlighting the major moves at the QB position: Cousins to the Vikings, Keenum to the Broncos and Tyrod Taylor to the Browns (10:11). Also, Cynthia reveals the two teams she believes have given themselves the best chance to improve based on her models (17:03), as well as some head scratching free agency moves made by the Dolphins and the Giants. Then, Cynthia sits down with Alex Rodriguez to discuss the role analytics played in his career and he gets candid about his 2014 suspension (28:40). Plus, at the 2018 NFL Scouting Combine, Cynthia spoke with former Redskins tight end Chris Cooley (44:05) and former Jets & Dolphins QB Chad Pennington (1:01:30).

The Game Theory and Money podcast is live from Indianapolis for the 2018 NFL Scouting Combine! Listen to this extra-long episode to hear interviews with New York Jets head coach Todd Bowles (22:00), Atlanta Falcons GM Thomas Dimitroff (33:00), and former Philadelphia Eagles RB Brian Westbrook (47:00). Also, Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith discuss...How do NFL front offices look at the combine?How does Cynthia build her predictive model for college prospects?Is there any reason for elite QB prospects to throw at the combine?How do the elite QB prospects (Darnold, Rosen, Jackson, Mayfield, Allen) compare to one another?Which drills are the best for determining future success for running backs?How has the running back position has changed over the last few years?The power of butts and how it relates to explosivenessHow height affects the meaning of metrics for WRs and CBs, and how short WRs find ways to succeed in the NFLThe most important metrics in scouting pass-rushers.

Where should Kirk Cousins sign? Which team is the best fit for him? Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith do a deep-dive into this free agent class of QBs to find the best fits for Cousins and Tyrod Taylor, and maybe find new starting QBs for the Minnesota Vikings and Cleveland Browns in the process. Also, Cynthia interviews Beth Mowins from the Super Bowl!Where should Kirk Cousins sign? (8:00)Where will Kirk Cousins sign? (14:00)Which team is the best fit for Tyrod Taylor? (24:30)Will Nick Foles be traded? (33:00)Who is the second best free agent QB? (34:00)Who will be the Vikings' QB in 2018? (39:00)Cynthia Frelund interviews Beth Mowins (40:00)

Fresh off winning the Super Bowl, Philadelphia Eagles head coach Doug Pederson joined the podcast to talk about how analytics plays a part in his decision-making during a game. Also, Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith recap the biggest plays of Super Bowl LII and make bold predictions for next NFL season.Super Bowl LII Recap (0:30)Who called the "Philly Special"? (12:30)Nick Foles' impressive performance (17:30)Interview with Eagles HC Doug Pederson (23:00)Bold predictions for 2018 (33:30)

Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith are in Minnesota for Super Bowl LII between the Philadelphia Eagles and New England Patriots! In addition to previewing the game using Cynthia's predictive analytics, the crew sat down with Mike Daniels and Jalen Ramsey to get a look at the game from their perspectives.Which team is going to win Super Bowl LII? (2:00)How can the Eagles' pass rush effect Tom Brady? (4:00)How Nick Foles can ride run-pass-option plays to success vs. the Patriots (13:00)The impact of penalties in Super Bowl LII (22:00)Interview with Packers DT Mike Daniels (25:00)Interview with Jaguars CB Jalen Ramsey (45:00)

Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith are waiting to preview Super Bowl LII between the New England Patriots and Philadelphia Eagles until next week, but this week they broke down which players are most likely to win the MVP Award, which team will likely score first, who will have more turnovers, and even the coin toss odds for the big game in Minnesota.How Nick Foles and the Eagles' passing game found success against the Vikings last week (1:30)Where were the Patriots able to attack the Jaguars defense? (7:45)The most likely outcome for the coin toss (15:00)Score prediction for halftime of Super Bowl LII (23:00)Who typically wins the Super Bowl MVP Award? (33:20)If the Jaguars and Vikings faced off in a "third place" game this week, which team would win? (38:00)

Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith take a look back at the dramatic Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs before previewing this weekend's Conference Championship games and chatting with Jaguars punter Brad Nortman.What happened to the Falcons' third-down offense? (2:20)How was Stefon Diggs able to score on the final play? (13:30)Why the Vikings pass-rush might be helpful for Eagles QB Nick Foles this weekend (13:30)The story of Nick Foles' pre-draft workout and why Doug Pederson is such a fan (25:35)Can the Jaguars stop Rob Gronkowski? (29:30)Comparing Blake Bortles to Super Bowl QBs from the past (43:00)Punting technique and strategy with Brad Nortman (47:45)

Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith recap a fun NFL Wild Card Weekend, preview the four games in the divisional round of the NFL Playoffs this weekend, and chat with Los Angeles Chargers DB Casey Hayward. Listen to find out...Why Saints WR Michael Thomas is one of the best WRs in the league (12:30)How the Titans' strength matches up to the Patriots' strength (20:15)What the Steelers have been able to do on defense without LB Ryan Shazier (27:45)Who will win a battle between the unstoppable force (Saints' offense) and the immovable object (Vikings' defense)? (30:30)What's the weakness of the Eagles' defense? (45:30)Which is the best fast-food burger chain? (67:45)

Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith recap their year of picking games, pitting Money's gut against Cynthia's predictive analytics model, and gloat about the Bills making it into the playoffs (Cynthia's prediction from October!) before previewing all four of this weekend's playoff games and handing out their own regular season awards. Listen and find out how the Falcons are responsible for Sean McVay turning around the Rams (21:20), what the Falcons' gameplan should be on Saturday (29:30), which Super Bowl QB Blake Bortles most resembles (35:45), the most incredible cam newton stat you've ever heard (46:50), and why we love "dirt balls" (56:40).

Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith break down every NFL playoff-clinching scenario (9:47), everything you need to know about seeding, and help the Jaguars pick an opponent for Wild Card weekend (1:55). Also, find out why Falcons Head Coach Dan Quinn likes Cynthia's shoes (39:09) and what's wrong with the 0-15 Cleveland Browns (45:55). All that and more in this episode of Game Theory and Money!

Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith break down the NFL's MVP race in the final weeks of the season and preview every Week 16 game. Former NFL Head Coach Brian Billick also joins the show, sitting down with Cynthia to discuss how the Pittsburgh Steelers can recover from their injuries to be successful in the playoffs.

Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith update their playoff odds and preview seven Week 15 games that have huge playoff implications.

Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith look over the current NFL playoff picture, make some predictions on how it will look by the end of the season (based on predictive analytics), and preview all of the Week 14 games that could have big playoff implications.

Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith use predictive analytics to go over updated playoff odds (with 5 weeks left) and preview an "MVP Bowl" between Carson Wentz and Russell Wilson this Sunday, as well as predicting the scores of all 15 of the games set for Sunday and Monday in Week 13 of the NFL regular season.

Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith preview the three NFL games that will be played on Thanksgiving Day, as well as three games from Sunday that have huge playoff implications. Also, which teams have joined in or fallen out of Cynthia's playoff odds?

Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith use predictive analytics to update their NFL playoff odds and preview the week 11 games, including a huge matchup between the Los Angeles Rams and Minnesota Vikings. Later, Cynthia talks with Vikings TE Kyle Rudolph about the responsibilities of a tight end and how many different QBs he has caught passes from.

Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith use predictive analytics to predict which teams are most likely to end up in the NFL Playoffs this year, as well as winners and losers for all of this Week 10's NFL games. Cynthia also had a chance to sit down with Los Angeles Rams OT Andrew Whitworth to talk about why he was ready for a new challenge after 11 years with the Cincinnati Bengals.

Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith look back at some big trades that happened in the NFL before the trading deadline and then use predictive analytics to preview all of the Week 9 matchups. Former New York Giants offensive lineman Shaun O'Hara joins the show to talk with Cynthia about the impact of Duane Brown on the Seattle Seahawks.

With the NFL trade deadline looming, Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith preview all of Sunday and Monday's NFL Week 8 action, including a few games that will drastically swing playoff odds in one direction or another.

Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith use predictive analytics to answer questions from Twitter, break down updated NFL playoff odds for teams facing QB injuries, preview a Super Bowl rematch between the New England Patriots and Atlanta Falcons (as well as every other game this week), and rank the NFC East QBs.

Cynthia and Money go through the analytics and tell you which NFL teams have performed differently than expected through the first 4 weeks of the 2017 season before previewing the matchup of the week (Packers vs. Cowboys), tackling the Frelund Four-cast, and giving you insight into each NFL game this weekend.

Matt "Money" Smith and Cynthia Frelund use predictive analytics to help separate the contenders from the pretenders in the NFC East and NFC North with a game of "Stat Chat" and pick winners and fantasy football standouts for all 15 games from Sunday and Monday in Week 4 of the NFL season.

In the Week 3 edition of Game Theory and Money, Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith break down a week of home underdogs around the NFL, project whether or not the Dallas Cowboys and Denver Broncos are "pretenders" or "contenders", and give you picks for who will win each of the 15 games played this weekend and on Monday night in Week 3.

In the Week 2 edition of Game Theory and Money, Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith talked about Week 1 quarterback performances, Cynthia asked her surprise question for Money and their game picks were announced during the "Frelund Four-cast" and "10 games in 10 minutes" segments. Cynthia also explained which teams will score the most in "Points on Points" and which teams she trusted the most in "Confidence Index."

In the first ever episode of Game Theory and Money, Matt "Money" Smith and Cynthia Frelund break down week one of the NFL schedule by using Cynthia's predictive analytics model. Cynthia also gave us some info for this weekend's games that we wouldn't expect and asked Money a surprise question about playoff teams for this season.

NFL Media analytics expert Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith introduce "Game Theory and Money," their new show where each week they break down the most noteworthy matchups from a statistical perspective. Cynthia and Money will provide and discuss projections for how particular players and position groups will perform based on advanced analytics.