Bloomberg Surveillance

Former St. Louis Fed President Jim Bullard says the prospects for soft landing look good. Sree Kochugovindan, Abrdn Senior Research Economist reacts to the BOE rate decision. Edward Morse, Citigroup Global Head of Commodity Research says there is no longer an oversupply of oil. Kit Juckes, Societe Generale Chief FX Strategist discusses the FX market amid a busy week of central bank decisions. Daniel Levy, Tottenham Hotspur Chairman talks about the recent sale of star striker Harry Kane to Bayern Munich.

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Bloomberg's Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec discuss remarks from Fed Chair Jay Powell following the Federal Reserve's latest policy decision. 

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Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Jonathan Ferro break down the Federal Reserve's latest policy decision on a special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance.

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Cathie Wood, ARK Invest CEO & CIO, discusses Ark acquiring Rize ETF. Patrick Armstrong, Plurimi Wealth Chief Investment Officer, doesn't see inflation falling to the Fed's 2% mandate. Elsa Lignos, RBC Global Head of FX Strategy, says we can get to EUR-USD parity. Bruce Kasman, JPMorgan Chief Economist & Head of Global Economic Research, says China is exporting deflation and goods prices to the rest of the world.
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Max Kettner of HSBS says tech still has room to run over the next few weeks. Ed Yardeni, Yardeni Research President sees a higher chance of a US recession than he did before. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, says the euro will feel the impact of global crises more than the US dollar. Simon French, Panmure Gordon Chief Economist and Head of Research looks ahead to Thursday's BOE rate decision.
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Andrew Balls, PIMCO Global Head of Fixed Income says the U.S. 10-year looks attractive right now. Gilles Moec, AXA Group Chief Economist compares the European economy to the US. Geoff Yu,  BNY Mellon, Senior Market Strategist says there's a risk of a wage-price spiral. Greg Valliere, AGF Investments, Chief US Policy Strategist says, there is no logical successor in the Democratic party for President Biden. Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Director of Research says oil will hit $100 a barrel by Halloween.

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Sarah Hunt, Alpine Saxon Woods, Chief Market Strategist weighs in on what the UAW strike could mean for the share price of the big 3 automakers. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Economic Policy Research Director weighs in on the UAW strike and says she does not think there will be another auto industry bailout. RJ Gallo, Federated Hermes Sr. Portfolio Manager says fixed income investors should extend duration over the next 12-24 months. Geetha Ranganathan, Bloomberg Intelligence US Media Analyst discusses the outlook for Disney after the company announced that it expects to fall tens of millions of subscribers short of its 2024 target for Disney+. Javier Blas, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist discusses rising oil prices around the world.

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Chief Financial Officers now play a critical role in shaping corporate strategy and positioning organizations to meet future challenges. Bloomberg's monthly program, Chief Future Officer, profiles these leaders and explores the impact they're making on their companies and industries. This episode profiles JetBlue CFO Ursula Hurley, who's helped lead the airline through the turbulence of a global pandemic that's still presenting operational challenges and inflationary headwinds.

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Tom Porcelli, PGIM Fixed Income Chief US Economist, reacts to the US August CPI report. Tom Forte, DA Davidson Sr. Research Analyst, says Apple stock is being held up by the iPhone and share buybacks. Regina Mayor, KPMG Global Head of Clients & Markets Rep, says demand destruction in oil would kick in if gas prices go substantially over $4. French Hill (R) Arkansas, discusses House Speaker McCarthy launching an impeachment probe into President Biden. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President talks about Apple, and why he thinks the stock is facing serious challenges.
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Bob Michele, JPMorgan Asset Management CIO & Global Head of Fixed Income, Currency & Commodities says the Fed may have to tip the economy into recession before cutting rates. Bill Dudley, Former New York Fed President & Bloomberg Opinion Columnist criticizes the Fed's proposal to increase capital requirements for the biggest banks. Greg Boutle, BNP Paribas, US Head Of Equity And Derivative Strategy explains why he ditched his call for an 11% drop in the S&P this year. Francisco Blanch, BofA Global Research Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research says he sees Brent Crude at $90 next year. Bhakti Hansoti, Johns Hopkins University Associate Professor of Emergency says Covid is similar to the flu.
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Bloomberg News Now is a comprehensive audio report on today's top stories. Listen for the latest news, whenever you want it, covering global business stories around the world.     

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Marvin Loh, State Street Senior Global Macro Strategist, says the risk of a recession in the US is still out there. Subadra Rajappa, Societe Generale Head of US Rates Strategy, says the data this week will guide the dots. Kristina Hooper, Invesco Chief Global Market Strategist, says the ongoing UAW disputes are a "rearview mirror" issue for the US economy. Paolo Gentiloni, European Commission Economy Commissioner, says Europe is near the peak of interest rates. Mandeep Singh, Bloomberg Intelligence, previews Apple's product event on Tuesday.
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Torsten Slok, Apollo Global Management Chief Economist, says the Fed is stepping harder on the brakes. Earl Davis, BMO Asset Management Head of Fixed Income & Money Markets, doesn't expect any Fed hikes next year. Pierre Ferragu, New Street Research Head of Global Technology Infrastructure, says China has to be very careful with what they do with Apple because China depends on Apple for many things. Steven Major, HSBC Global Head Of Fixed Income Research, says yields will probably go sideways. Anna Ashton, Eurasia Group Director China Corporate Affairs and US-China, says the China slowdown is systemic.
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Anastasia Amoroso, iCapital Chief Investment Strategist, suggests buying the AI dip. Stephanie Roth, J.P. Morgan Private Bank Senior Markets Economist, says it's been a pretty impressive cooling of the labor market over the course of this year. Michael Nathanson, SVB MoffettNathanson Senior Research Analyst, discusses the Disney, Charter Communications standoff. Kona Haque, ED&F Man Head of Research, says oil at $90 a barrel is "significant" as it pushes the whole commodity index higher. Daniel Tannebaum, Oliver Wyman Global Anti-Financial Crime Practice Leader, says the US is still calibrating how to respond to China.
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Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Equity Strategy, says the US is staring down the barrel of a sluggish economy. Nela Richardson, ADP Chief Economist, says the Fed's job is more complicated now. Kevin Book, Clearview Energy Partners Co-Founder, says there is still room to run for oil. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Chief International Strategist, says a Fed cut could cause a weaker dollar and potentially ease some China pressures. David Lebovitz, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, expects airlines to continue to raise prices to defend their margins.
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Neil Dutta, US Economic Research Head, Renaissance Macro Research says the Fed shouldn't signal rate cuts in 2024. Katy Kaminski, AlphaSimplex Chief Research Strategist sees higher yields for a little longer. Wendy Schiller, Taubman Center for American Politics & Policy Director at Brown University discusses the latest Wall Street Journal presidential poll.David Rubenstein, The Carlyle Group, Co-Founder & "Bloomberg Wealth with David Rubenstein" Host talks about his interview with legendary investor Jeremey Grantham for "Bloomberg Wealth".

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Julie Su, US Acting Labor Secretary gives the Biden Administrations reaction to the August payrolls report. Following the jobs report, Randall Kroszner, Fmr. Fed Governor & University of Chicago Booth School Professor says we're seeing the kind of goldilocks scenario the Fed wants. Jeff Rosenberg, Blackrock Portfolio Manager of The Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund says the main message from the August jobs report is that the labor market is normalizing. Sarah Hunt, Alpine Saxon Woods Chief Market Strategist says the August jobs data was what the Fed was looking for.

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Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi Chief US Economist expects the Fed to pause in September. John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist is sticking with his bullish forecast, expecting the S&P to finish the year at 4,900. Cameron Dawson, Newedge Wealth Chief Investment Officer says there is no evidence that a recession is imminent. Bloomberg's Jan-Patrick Barnert discusses UBS's record breaking profit. Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing F1 Driver looks ahead to the Monza Grand Prix this weekend.Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance 

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Ian Lyngen, BMO Capital Markets Head of US Rates Strategy, says the 10-year treasury is a 'screaming buy.' Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley Chief Global Economist, still sees the US avoiding recession. Peter Tchir, Academy Securities Head of Macro Strategy, says China is clearly experiencing trouble. Margie Patel, Allspring Global Investments Senior Portfolio Manager, says there's no recession in sight because everything in the US is pretty well balanced.
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University of California at Berkeley economist Barry Eichengreen presented a paper on ballooning government debt at this year’s Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. On this bonus content episode of the Odd Lots podcast, Joe and Tracy speak with Eichengreen about his research, why it's of importance to central bankers, and what history says about the prospects for fiscal consolidation.

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Chris Verrone, Strategas Partner & Head of Technical & Macro Strategy, says it's hard to embrace the short dollar call. Jay Bryson, Wells Fargo Chief Economist, says the bar for a September rate hike is high. John Lovallo, UBS US Homebuilders & Building Products Equity Research Analyst, says the supply chains for most US homebuilders have gotten better but the biggest headwind is labor. Andrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Managing Director & Senior Portfolio Manager, expects a strong fourth quarter. Sheila Kahyaoglu, Jefferies Senior Equity Research Analyst, discusses the state of airline travel post-summer.
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In the global financial system, US Treasuries play a special role. So what can be done to improve the way Treasuries are bought and sold? In this episode of Odd Lots, Joe and Tracy speak with Stanford University finance professor Darrell Duffie, who just presented a paper about this very issue to central bankers at the annual Jackson Hole symposium.

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Dana Peterson, The Conference Board Chief Economist, says there's still quite a bit of fragmentation in the economy. Phil Orlando, Federated Hermes Chief Equity Market Strategist, expects one more quarter point hike from the Fed and than a potential pause that may "last a while." Mohamed Younis, Gallup Editor-in-Chief, says nobody in the current GOP lineup is close to giving Trump "any kind of challenge." Anna Ashton, Eurasia Group Director of China Corporate Affairs and US-China, says US Commerce Secretary Raimondo's trip to China is "the most important visit we've had so far from a member of the administration."
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On Friday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell gave his much-anticipated speech at the Kansas City Fed Monetary Policy Symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

While many were expecting some kind of academic or theoretical discussion, the text was straightforwardly about the current path of monetary policy. So what did we learn? What actually happens at Jackson Hole? And how did this year's event fit in with prior years?

On this bonus episode, Odd Lots turn to Bloomberg Surveillance co-host Tom Keene and Michael McKee, Bloomberg News International Economics and Policy Correspondent.

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European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde says the central bank's data-dependency forces it to act meeting by meeting. She spoke with host Tom Keene on the sidelines of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s annual economic policy symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

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Join Tom Keene, Jonathan Ferro and Lisa Abramowicz, live From the 2023 Jackson Hole Symposium with esteemed guests including Mohamed El-Erian of Queens' College Cambridge, Tracy Alloway of Bloomberg Odd Lots, Patrick Harker of the Philadelphia Fed, Kristalina Georgieva of the IMF and Barry Eichengreen of UC Berkeley.
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Former St. Louis Fed President Jim Bullard says the biggest question right now is of reacceleration in the US economy. Michael Darda of Roth MKM says the probability of a recession happening in the US are high. Max Kettner, HSBC Chief Multi Asset Strategist says market sentiment has turned bearish over the last two weeks.Diana Amoa of Kirkoswald Asset Management says growth outside the US is lackluster.
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Steven Ricchiuto, Mizuho Securities US Chief Economist, says there's a lot of idiosyncratic risk out there. Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab Chief Investment Strategist, says this is more likely a rally in a bear market. Thierry Wizman, Macquarie Global Interest Rates and Currencies Strategist, says Fed Chair Powell could "pat itself on the back" as the US sees lower inflation and a better economy but "I don't think it's time for him to do that." Greg Valliere, AGF Investments Chief US Policy Strategist, discusses the first GOP presidential debate tonight.
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 Kathryn Kaminski, AlphaSimplex Chief Research Strategist, says a 6% 10-year yield is not crazy. Vincent Reinhart, Chief Economist and Macro Strategist Dreyfus and Mellon, says current yield levels are sustainable. Chuck Grom, Gordon Haskett Senior Retail Analyst, says we are seeing signs of a discretionary recession. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman and Co-Founder, says fixed income returns are better than a year ago.
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Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist, says this is not an end of a bull market run, this is just a correction. Amanda Lynam, BlackRock Head of Macro Credit Research, says we are in the early stages of the distress cycle. William Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist, says China may need to install a social safety net for their economy. Wendy Schiller, Taubman Center for American Politics Policy Director at Brown University, says Gov. Ron DeSantis has the most to gain and the most to lose at the first GOP debate, as President Trump continues to lead in polls.
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Edward Yardeni, Yardeni Research President, says the Fed can't really afford to see bond yields keep going up. Kelsey Berro, JPMorgan Asset Management Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, says this is the time to be buying fixed income. Sheila Kahyaoglu, Jefferies Senior Equity Research Analyst, discusses air travel and says domestic fares are seeing declines. Steve Pagliuca, Bain Capital Senior Advisor & Atalanta Co-Chairman, says the recent Saudi investment in football may disrupt the premier league as players see pays rise.

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James Athey, Abrdn Investment Director, says credit spread are too tight. Matthew Luzzetti, Deutsche Bank Chief US Economist, still expects a recession and for equities to come down. Susan Thornton, Yale University Law School Paul Tsai China Center Senior Fellow, says China needs households to start spending. Joe Feldman, Telsey Advisory Group Senior Research Analyst and Assistant Director of Research, discusses Walmart lifting its profit outlook on a boost from US shoppers. 

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Stuart Kaiser, Citi Head of US Equity Trading Strategy, says it does feel like equities are topping out a little bit. Greg Peters, PGIM Fixed Income Co-CIO, thinks we're in this stronger growth environment but at the same time we will see above trend default and distress activity. Carl Riccadonna, BNP Paribas Chief US Economist, says he sees headwinds emerging for retail sales. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group CEO & Chief Research Officer, discusses Target and TJX earnings.

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Bob Doll, Crossmark Global Investments Chief Investment Officer, says he's cautious on the markets and economy as cracks are beginning to develop. Jordan Rochester, Nomura G-10 FX Strategist, believes the ECB is done hiking. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, discusses US retail sales exceeding forecast. Terry Haines, Pangaea Policy Founder, discusses Trump's indictment in Georgia. Drew Reading, Bloomberg Intelligence, discusses Home Depot earnings topping estimates.

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Former President Trump has been indicted for a fourth time. Here's everything you need to know about the new charges.  

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Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo Head of US Large-Cap Bank Research says Goldman Sachs shares would probably go down if David Solomon were fired today. Sebastien Page, T. Rowe Price Chief Investment Officer and Head of Global Multi-Asset says the greatest risk right now is a selloff in stocks. Elsa Lignos, RBC Global head of FX Strategy says the FX market is in a tight range. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Economic Policy Research Director weighs in on the likelihood that President Trump will participate in next weeks GOP debate.

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 Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi Chief US Economist, doesn't think the US is headed to a soft landing. Emily Roland, John Hancock Investment Management Co-Chief Investment Strategist, says the markets are enamored with Europe, China. Joe Feldman, Telsey Advisory Group Senior Research Analyst and Assistant Director of Research, discusses upcoming retail earnings from Walmart and Target. Rep. French Hill, (R) Arkansas, says the House is behind the curve here.
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Neil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Research Head of US Economic Research, says the Fed hasn't done enough. David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management Chief Global Strategist, says inflation could get back down to 2% on its own.Jessica Reif Ehrlich, BofA Securities Senior Media & Entertainment Analyst, discusses Disney raising prices for its streaming services by as much as 27%. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Economic Policy Research Director, discusses the race for the GOP presidential nomination.
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Mark Cabana, BofA Securities Head of US Rates Strategy says the Fed may have to keep rates higher for longer. Kathy Bostjancic, Nationwide Mutual Insurance Chief Economist says the US economy is in a disinflationary trend. Victoria Fernandez, Crossmark Global Investments Chief Market Strategist says it's a stock pickers market. Michael Nathanson, SVB MoffettNathanson Senior Research Analyst says Disney's parks are not for sale as CEO Bob Iger tries to turn the company around.
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Binky Chadha, Deutsche Bank Chief Global Strategist & Head of Asset Allocation, says we are due for a 3-5% pullback in the equity markets as outlined in his "Wobble" call. Meera Pandit, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says we are in an environment where stocks are "jogging in place." Rob Waldner, Invesco Chief Fixed income strategist & Head of Macro Research, there's a risk that the Fed overstays their welcome. Lee Klaskow, Bloomberg Intelligence, discusses UPS earnings. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman and Co-Founder & "Bloomberg Wealth with David Rubenstein" Host, discusses his interview with Mike Novogratz, Galaxy Digital Founder & CEO.
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Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Equity Strategy, says the markets need to stop, pause and have a moment of digestion. Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief US Equity Strategist & Chief Investment Officer and Morgan Stanley Global Investment Committee Chair, says be 'very selective' with stocks. Daniel Ives, Wedbush Senior Equity Analyst, discusses why he's bullish on Apple despite weak earnings. Michelle Meyer, Mastercard Economics Institute Chief Economist for North America, says the consumer and economy are shifting. Sri Natarajan, Bloomberg News, discusses Goldman Sachs commodities research chief Jeff Currie set to leave the bank.
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Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Portfolio Manager of the Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund says we are seeing normalization in the labor market. Ed Yardeni, Yardeni Research President says we're in a rolling recovery, but the second half of the year could be challenging. Tom Forte, DA Davidson Senior Research Analyst, says Amazon's cost cuts could impact customers going forward. Wendy Schiller, Taubman Center for American Politics and Policy Director at Brown University says the Trump indictment emboldens his base.
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Sree Kochugovindan, Abrdn Senior Research Economist, discusses the BOE raising rates by 25 basis points. John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist, sees continued earnings resilience. Tom Porcelli, PGIM Fixed Income Chief US Economist, says he doesn't expect the US to suffer through a recession. Tom Wagner, Birmingham City FC Owner and Co-Chairman & Knighthead Capital Co-Founder, discusses his recent purchase of Birmingham City FC. Anurag Rana, Bloomberg Intelligence, previews Amazon and Apple earnings.
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Terry Haines, Pangaea Policy Founder, says he questions Fitch's US credit downgrade and its timing.Robert Tipp, PGIM Fixed Income Chief Investment Strategist, says there has been an erosion in the US and its governance. Bob Michele, JPMorgan Asset Mgmt. CIO & Head of Global Fixed Income, Currency & Commodities, says the US is headed to recession near year-end. Nathan Sheets, Citigroup Global Markets Global Chief Economist, says we need to see some easing in services spending. Amy Wu Silverman, RBC Capital Markets Head of Derivatives Strategy, says the options market is "terrible" at pricing political and geopolitical events. 
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Bloomberg's Doug Krizner, Bryan Curtis, and Ed Baxter break down the latest federal charges against former President Donald Trump with Bloomberg Law host June Grasso and Political Contributor Jeanne Sheehan Zaino. 

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Elyse Ausenbaugh, JPMorgan Global Wealth Management Investment Strategist, says the Fed could be in a place to cut rates next year. Helane Becker, TD Cowen Senior Research Analyst, says this summer is all about Europe and next year will be all about Asia, as international travel picks up. Jordan Rochester, Nomura G-10 FX Strategist, says his biggest headache right now is higher oil prices. Regina Mayor, KPMG Global Head of Energy, discusses rising oil and gas prices. Jonathan Miller, Miller Samuel President & CEO, says housing prices have leveled off.
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 Brian Levitt, of Invesco says we're likely to see a pullback in 2024. Carl Weinberg of High Frequency Economics says it's not clear what the Bank of Japan is up to. Wendy Schiller of Brown University says it looks like Donald Trump owns the Republican Party. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President says he's bearish for the remainder of 2023.Zak Brown, CEO of McLaren Racing says it's awesome to see how big Formula 1 has gotten in the United States. 

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Geoff Yu, BNY Mellon Sr. Market Strategist, says "everything is on the table" for the BOJ after they announced a surprise loosening of yield curve controls. Jonathan Pingle, UBS Chief US Economist, says the US is still a long way from price stability. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, says the BOJ's surprise yield curve actions were to "take themselves away from being pushed into a corner by market conditions." Steve Chiavarone, Federated Hermes Head of Multi-Asset Solutions, sees core CPI at 3.9% this year. Jay Pelosky, TPW Advisory Principal & Founder, says "we're at the end of the rate hiking cycle in the west."

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Richard Clarida, Fmr. Federal Reserve Vice Chair, PIMCO Global Economic Advisor & Columbia University Professor, says one more Fed hike is in play in the fall. James Athey, Abrdn Investment Director, reacts to the ECB hiking rates by 25 basis points. Vincent Reinhart, Dreyfus and Mellon Chief Economist and Macro Strategist, says Fed Chair Jerome Powell is "pretty confusing."Mandeep Singh, Bloomberg Intelligence, discusses Meta revenue, forecast beating estimates.

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Bloomberg's Tom Keene, Jon Ferro and Lisa Surveillance discuss remarks from Fed Chair Jay Powell following the Federal Reserve's latest policy decision. 

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Bloomberg's Tom Keene, Jon Ferro and Lisa Abramowicz break down the Federal Reserve's latest policy decision on a special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance. 

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Ethan Harris, BofA Securities Head of Global Economics, sees a mild recession early next year. Frances Donald, Manulife Investment Management Global Chief Economist & Strategist says market is pricing in four Fed rate cuts next year. Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Chief Fixed Income Strategist says there's a lot of disinflation in the pipeline. Dan Ives, Wedbush Sr. Research Analyst says AI is going to bigger than the street anticipates. Sean O'Brien, Brotherhood of Teamsters General President says Amazon is definitely a target going forward.

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Drew Matus, Chief Market Strategist at MetLife Investment Management sees longer term potential growth at 3% GDP. Marilyn Watson, BlackRock Head of Global Fundamental Fixed Income says the US remains on solid economic footing and doesn't expect a recession. Paul Jacobson, General Motors CFO says the company has the vehicles customers demand. Michael Zezas, Morgan Stanley Head of Fixed Income Research says the Fed will hike this month, but not in September. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Chairman & "Bloomberg Wealth with David Rubenstein" Host sees slow office valuation diminution.
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Gargi Chaudhuri, BlackRock Head of iShares Investment Strategy Americas, says its too early to call victory on inflation. Kathy Bostjancic, Nationwide Mutual Insurance Chief Economist, expects to see the last Fed hike of this cycle at Wednesday's meeting. Matt Brill, Invesco Head of North America Investment Grade Credit, says we are set up for 6 months of good total returns. Kona Haque, ED&F Man Head of Research, says Russia is strategically blocking grains.
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Mohamed El-Erian of Queens' College Cambridge expects a dovish Fed and a hawkish BOE. Win Thin of Brown Brothers Harriman could see a higher dollar ahead. Elina Ribakova of the Peterson Institute for International Economics says the situation in the Black Sea is devastating. David Rosenberg of Rosenberg Research says that the development of AI will mean the fiscal system will need revamping. Vinai Venkatesham of Arsenal FC says the US has become their top international market ahead of their friendly in New Jersey against Manchester United. 

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Peter Tchir, Academy Securities Head of Macro Strategy, says the Fed will hike in July and that will be it.Geetha Ranganathan, Bloomberg Intelligence, discusses Netflix earnings. Ian Lyngen, BMO Capital Markets Head of US Rates Strategy, expects a dovish hike from the Fed next week. Steve Trent, Citi Americas Airline Analyst & Managing Director, discusses airline earnings, including United and American Airlines. Daniel Ricciardo, AlphaTauri F1 Driver, says he hopes to race for Red Bull again, as he prepares to make his return to F1 with AlphaTauri in Hungary this weekend.

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Neil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Research Head of US Economic Research, believes the probability of a Fed hike after July is higher than what markets are pricing in. Anna Han, Wells Fargo Securities Equity Strategist, says you want to be "chasing" big tech momentum but "when the train has left, look for growth opportunities in other areas." Amanda Lynam, BlackRock Head of Macro Credit Research, says more weakness is coming to markets as defaults "flow through" but doesn't necessarily see a recession. Sri Natarajan, Bloomberg News, discusses Goldman Sachs earnings.
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Jay Bryson, Wells Fargo Chief Economist, says we're heading back to 2% inflation. Amy Wu Silverman, RBC Capital Markets Head of Derivatives Strategy, says the market rally could broaden out. Ed Morse, Citigroup Global Head of Commodity Research, sees a $90 ceiling for oil. Gregory Peters, PGIM Fixed Income Co-CIO, says markets are gaining excitement as they see policy rates peaking. Christopher Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott Director of Research, discusses Bank of America and Morgan Stanley earnings.
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Janet Yellen, US Treasury Secretary, discusses tariffs on China and the state of the US economy. David Bailin, Citi Global Wealth CIO, says 2-2.5% inflation is possible in 2024. Kelsey Berro, JPMorgan Asset Management Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, says if the Fed is at the end of the cycle, bonds are going to outperform. Tom Michaud, KBW CEO, expects to see more consolidation among the smaller US banks.

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Ken Leon, CFRA Director of Equity Research, discusses US bank earnings kicking off. Meghan Swiber, BofA Director of US Rates Strategy, expects stickier inflation in the near-term. Anastasia Amoroso, iCapital Chief Investment Strategist, says the US is on track for a soft landing. Pooja Sriram, Barclays US Economist, sees a mild, shallow recession.
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Torsten Slok, Apollo Global Management Chief Economist, says we are nowhere near the 2% inflation target.Ed Yardeni, Yardeni Research President, is sticking with his 4,600 S&P price target but says it could be raised to 4,800. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Chief International Strategist, expects GDP growth in the US to be the slowest among the major economies. Erika Najarian, UBS Equity Research Analyst, Large-Cap Banks and Consumer Finance, previews US bank earnings kicking off Friday.
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Chief Financial Officers now play a critical role in shaping corporate strategy and positioning organizations to meet future challenges. Bloomberg's monthly program, Chief Future Officer, profiles these leaders and explores the impact they're making on their companies and industries. This episode profiles Fenway Sports Group CFO Julie Swinehart, who plays a central role in the company's plans to expand its portfolio of professional sports teams and continue investing in venues and real estate development.

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Bill Dudley, Fmr. NY Fed President & Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says the latest US CPI data won't change the Fed's trajectory in the July meeting. Michael Gapen, BofA Securities Head of US Economics, sees nominal GDP growth remaining healthy until 2025. Megan Horneman, Verdence Capital Advisors Chief Investment Officer, says the Fed can't take their foot off the pedal yet. Michael Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Market Strategist, discusses the US June CPI print.
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Lara Rhame, FS Investments Chief US Economist, still expects a recession but says it doesn't have to be severe. Phil Camporeale, JPMorgan Asset Management Multi-Asset Portfolio Manager, says his recession probability has dropped to 25% from 40% in March. Claudia Sahm, Former Federal Reserve Economist, Sahm Consulting Founder & Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says everything is puzzling with the Fed. Brent Schutte, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Chief investment Officer, expects a short and shallow recession. Jonathan Miler, Miller Samuel President & CEO, says housing prices will rise more than people think.
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Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Equity Strategy, says if we do have a recession, the market will be able to focus on the bigger picture and it may not be as damaging as some assume. Bruce Kasman, JPMorgan Chief Economist & Head of Global Economic Research, says we'll need a recession in order to get inflation to 3% or below. Alifia Doriwala, RockCreek Group Managing Director, says diversification is key, "especially in this type of uncertain environment." Gennadiy Goldberg, TD Securities Head of US Rates Strategy, sees the first Fed cut in March of 2024.
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Julie Su, Acting US Secretary of Labor, discusses the US June payrolls report coming in below estimates. Randall Kroszner, University of Chicago Booth School Professor of Economics & Fmr. Fed Governor, says "wage growth is still stronger than the Fed will feel comfortable with." Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says the jobs report "keeps the Fed on the path for an addition rate increase later this month." Christian Horner, Red Bull Racing Team Principal, says Max Verstappen "continues to surprise us" and there's "more to come."

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Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi Chief US Economist, reacts to the ADP report and US jobless claims. Dominic Konstam, Mizuho Americas Head of Macro Strategy, says a hard landing is still on the radar. Emily Roland, John Hancock Investment Management Co-Chief Investment Strategist, says we're in a "tricky late-cycle environment." George Goncalves, MUFG Head of US Macro Strategy, says it would take a lot to derail a hike at the next Fed meeting. As Instagram unveils the Threads app, Dan Ives, Wedbush Senior Equity Analyst, says it will be "very difficult" to gain critical mass.

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Ed Hyman, Evercore ISI Chairman & Head of Macro Economic Research, sees the Fed hiking one more time then they will be done. Thomas Tzitzouris, Strategas Head of Fixed Income Research, believes inflation expectations are bottoming for this cycle. David Lebovitz, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, warns against chasing the rally. Ellen Wald, Atlantic Council Senior Fellow, isn't surprised by Saudi Arabia's search for "global prestige" in the sports world, as they are "not really getting it from oil anymore." Helane Becker, TD Cowen Senior Research Analyst, discusses the airline industry following the influx of travel on July 4th.

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Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief US Economist says it would take a payroll print of less than 100,000 and a downside surprise in CPI for the Fed to not hike in July. Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Market Strategist says the US is in a growth recession today. Anna Han, Wells Fargo Securities says it's time to take some profits on your winners. Jim Bianco, Bianco Research President says rates are going to continue to drift higher. Isaac Boltansky, BTIG Director of Policy Research says the bar is low for US-China talks. 

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Subadra Rajappa, Societe Generale Head of US Rates Strategy, sees a recession in the first half of 2024. Tom Forte, DA Davidson Sr. Research Analyst, discusses Apple as Citi sees another 30% upside. Paul Donovan, UBS Global Wealth Management Chief Economist, says we're seeing disinflation. Max Kettner, HSBC Chief Multi-Asset Strategist, says he struggles to see a big downside surprise in earnings. Clint Henderson, The Points Guy Managing Editor, discusses airline delays persisting ahead of the holiday weekend.

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Dana Peterson, The Conference Board Chief Economist, says good news is bad news for the Fed. Matthew Hornbach, Morgan Stanley Global Head of Macro Strategy, says equities in Japan look attractive. Elyse Ausenbaugh, J.P. Morgan Global Wealth Management Investment Strategist, says leadership in the next cycle will look different. Kona Haque, ED&F Man Head of Research, discusses commodities. Sonali Basak, Bloomberg News, discusses UBS tapping Morgan Stanley’s Tom Wipf to help lead Credit Suisse tie-up.
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Chris Verrone, Strategas Partner & Head of Technical & Macro Strategy, says they've seen some "stalling in tech." Joseph Amato, Neuberger Berman President and Chief Investment Officer for Equities, says central bankers are still at the "center of the debate" with what will happen in the economy. Wei Li, BlackRock Global Chief Investment Strategist, discusses BlackRock's mid-year outlook. Helane Becker, TD Cowen Senior Research Analyst, discusses airlines preparing for the holiday travel weekend. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, talks about his market positioning and why he's currently net short.
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Stuart Kaiser, Citi Head of US Equity Trading Strategy, says we're seeing some "fatigue" in tech buying. Gita Gopinath, IMF First Deputy Managing Director, says a number of factors could be "muting the effect of monetary policy transmission," and as those effects decline, "we can start seeing more of a slowing in activity." Kit Juckes, Societe Generale Chief FX Strategist, sees weakness ahead for the dollar. Cameron Dawson, NewEdge Wealth CIO, believes in the 60/40 portfolio plus alternatives. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman and Co-Founder, discusses his interview with Afsaneh Beschloss, RockCreek Founder & CEO.Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance 

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Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President, says Putin doesn't have "real friends" on the global stage.Amy Wu Silverman, RBC Capital Markets Head of Derivatives Strategy, says if tech goes, the market goes. Collin Martin, Schwab Center for Financial Research Fixed Income Strategist, says one more rate hike from the Fed is likely. Geoffrey Yu, BNY Mellon Senior Market Strategist, sees clear signs of a demand slowdown.
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Adam Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics President & Former BOE Monetary Policy Committee Member, sees the Fed getting above 5.5% before the end of the year. Michael Collins, PGIM Fixed Income Senior Portfolio Manager, says there's low risk of a deep recession. Linda Duessel, Federated Hermes Senior VP & Senior Equity Strategist, expects the Fed to keep higher for longer as they stick to their inflation target. Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President, says China President Xi is more concerned about trade issues than what Joe Biden says about him. Brad Dillman, Cortland Chief Economist, discusses the commercial and residential real estate market.
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After the BOE raised interest rates by 50 basis points, Sree Kochugovindan, Abrdn Senior Research Economist, says there's still more to do. Thierry Wizman, Macquarie Global Interest Rates and Currencies Strategist, discusses Turkey's Lira sinking to weakest on record. Michael Gapen, BofA Securities Head of US Economics, says consumer spending continues to slow but at a moderate pace. Bruno Le Maire, France Economy & Finance Minister, says it is crucial to maintain a high level of investment in Europe. Denys Shmyhal, Ukraine Prime Minister, says it's impossible to think of Russia winning the war.
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Chris Harvey, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Equity Strategy, says we're seeing more of an economic malaise than recession. Frances Donald, Manulife Investment Management Global Chief Economist & Strategist, says we're headed into an environment where 2-3% inflation will become the "norm." Amanda Lynam, BlackRock Head of Macro Credit Research, says there's room for spreads to move higher. Greg Valliere, AGF Investments Chief US Policy Strategist, says the number one story to watch out for this summer is Ukraine. Ginni Rometty, Former IBM CEO & Author of "Good Power: Leading Positive Change in our Lives, Work and World," says there's little tolerance for AI to be wrong.
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Claudia Sahm, Former Federal Reserve Economist, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist & Sahm Consulting Founder, says forget about a Fed cut this year. Scott Chronert, Citi US Equity Strategist, says we need to navigate recession risk. Meghan Swiber, BofA Director of US Rates Strategy, says yields are at attractive levels. Sebastien Page, T. Rowe Price Head of Global Multi-Asset & Chief Investment Officer, says the 60/40 portfolio needs to be "modernized." Terry Haines, Pangaea Policy Founder, discusses Blinken, Xi's meeting in Beijing.
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 On this Juneteenth holiday, Bloomberg's Sonali Basak brings us this Bloomberg Radio special report. 

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In her new podcast, Bloomberg journalist Emily Chang sits down for intimate interviews with the biggest names at the intersection of tech, business, entertainment and culture. Join her every Thursday for a behind-the-scenes look at the most exciting and influential trends, and the big personalities behind them.     

Listen & Subscribe:     
Apple: apple.co/3NzkJda     
Spotify: spoti.fi/3Picljp     
Anywhere: bit.ly/3PiDrqK

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 Ann Miletti, Allspring Global Investments Head of Active Equity, says active managers are "mining for gold," searching for names that haven't been recognized. Jens Nordvig, Exante Data Fonder & CEO, Marketreader Founder & CEO, says investors aren't paying enough attention to the structural shifts of capital flow into China. Rep. French Hill, (R) Arkansas, says no one is threatening another default. John Lovallo, UBS US Homebuilders & Building Products Equity Research Analyst, doesn't expect a big decline in home prices.
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Jordan Rochester, Nomura G-10 FX Strategist, says an ECB rate of 4% is not the base case but is "possible" after the latest 25 bps hike. Jay Bryson, Wells Fargo Chief Economist, says more shocks are hitting Europe than the US. Amy Wu Silverman, Head of Derivatives Strategy RBC Capital Markets, discusses the equity market following the Fed decision. Pat Toomey, Former Senator (R-PA), says Trump is his own worst enemy. Leland Miller, China Beige Book CEO & Co-Founder, discusses the PBOC lowering its main policy rate.
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Chief Financial Officers now play a critical role in shaping corporate strategy and positioning organizations to meet future challenges. Bloomberg's monthly program, Chief Future Officer, profiles these leaders and explores the impact they're making on their companies and industries. This episode focuses on Monumental Sports & Entertainment CFO Peter Biché, who discusses his role in the growth of the $4 billion sports empire headed by Ted Leonsis.

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Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Lisa Surveillance discuss remarks from Fed Chair Jay Powell following the Federal Reserve's latest policy decision. 

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Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Lisa Surveillance break down the Federal Reserve's latest policy decision on a special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance.

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Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief US Equity Strategist & Chief Investment Officer, says inflation will come down but "it's not going to be good for stocks." Bruce Kasman, JPMorgan Chief Economist & Head of Global Economic Research, suggests there could be a scenario in which the Fed "has to come back" if inflation doesn't go down. Anastasia Amoroso, iCapital Chief Investment Strategist, believes the Fed would need to go higher to really crack the economy. Mike Schumacher, Wells Fargo Global Head of Macro Strategy, says it's surprising to see the markets pricing in so much Fed easing. Tom Forte, DA Davidson Sr. Research Analyst, discusses Apple and AI.
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Abby Joseph Cohen, Columbia Business School Professor & Retired Goldman Sachs Partner, says there's a divergence between investors and commentators on economic data. Sarah House, Wells Fargo Senior Economist, discusses the US May CPI print. Jacob J. Lew, Former US Treasury Secretary, says we're not yet done with seeing the impacts of higher interest rates. Wendy Schiller, Taubman Center for American Politics & Policy Director at Brown University, says the Trump indictment is a development for democracy and that Presidents "should be held accountable."
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Liz Young, SoFi Head of Investment Strategy, sees an ongoing appetite for tech among younger investors. Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo Managing Director, says US banks are winning. Robert Tipp, PGIM Fixed Income Chief Investment Strategist, says we're looking at a wage-price spiral. Jon Lieber, Eurasia Group Managing Director, United States, discusses Trump's indictment over classified documents. Ian Shepherdson Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Economist, is hopeful the Fed has done enough.
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Get today’s top interviews from Bloomberg News on the NEW Bloomberg Talks podcast.  

On Apple: apple.co/45Oio52     
On Spotify: spoti.fi/3NdBTM7     
On Stitcher: bit.ly/45MmtGW     
Anywhere: bit.ly/3oODwaO

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Binky Chadha, Deutsche Bank Chief Global Strategist and Head of Asset Allocation, says we could reach 5,000 on the S&P if a soft landing is achieved. Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Chief Fixed Income Strategist, thinks the 5% higher yields are more punishment than reward. Terry Haines, Pangaea Policy Founder, discusses Trump's indictment over secret documents. Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs Global Head of Commodities Research, say oil and copper are a liability right now. Nadia Calviño, Spanish Vice President and Minister for Economy and Digitalization, says she hasn't spoken with Elon Musk about any plans for a new Tesla factory in Spain.
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Matt Luzzetti, Deutsche Bank Chief US Economist, expects the Fed to skip next week, with a potential for more hikes to come. As money flows concentrate into mega cap companies, Kristen Bitterly, Citi Global Wealth Management Head of North America Investments, says this shows that the market is "rational." Edward Yardeni, Yardeni Research President, sees inflation reaching 3 to 4% by year end. Geoffrey Yu, BNY Mellon Senior Market Strategist, doesn't expect rate cuts from any major central banks until the second half of next year. Rep. John Garamendi, (D) California, discusses the PGA Tour-Liv merger.
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Despite cutting exposure to tech last year, Seema Shah, Principal Asset Management Chief Global Strategist, remains a long-term believer in the sector. Marilyn Watson, BlackRock Head of Global Fundamental Fixed Income Strategy, sees the Fed staying higher for longer. Wendy Schiller, Taubman Center for American Politics & Policy Director at Brown University, discusses Pence, Christie entering the '24 presidential race. Alberto Gallo, Andromeda Capital Management Co-Founder & CIO, says if we have a persistently hawkish central bank, and if the long end goes up, then the consequences for markets are pretty heavy. Clare Lombardelli, OECD Chief Economist, says the world faces slow growth, not recession.
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Emmanuel Roman, PIMCO CEO, says banks are going to be tight for capital. Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI Chief Equity, Derivatives & Quant Strategist, says we're in a momentum market, raising his S&P target to 4,450. Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley Chief Cross Asset Strategist, says we haven't seen the full effect of rates. Dan Ives, Wedbush Sr. Equity Research Analyst, discusses Apple announcing its Vision Pro headset.
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Anthony Capuano, Marriott International President & CEO, doesn't see the end of "YOLO" traveling happening anytime soon. Michael Gapen, BofA Securities US Economist, says good news is back to being bad news. Ellen Wald, Atlantic Council Sr. Fellow, discusses Saudi Arabia pledging to cut a million barrels a day in July. Ed Mills, Raymond James Washington Policy Analyst, says the 2024 elections will be a wildcard for markets.
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Randall Kroszner, University of Chicago Booth School Economics Professor & Fmr. Fed Governor, says unless the US gets an immaculate disinflation, he doesn't see the Fed cutting "anytime soon." Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund Portfolio Manager, says we are not really seeing a slowing in the labor market. Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO Chief North American Economist, discusses the May jobs report. Nadia Lovell, UBS Global Wealth Management Senior US Equity Strategist, says we're seeing a rolling recession in different sectors. Dan Clifton, Strategas Research Partner Partner and Head of Policy Research, discusses the US debt-limit deal clearing Congress.
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Bill Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, Bloomberg Economics Senior Advisor & Former NY Fed President, says the Fed's usage of a "skip" versus a "pause" is to temper market expectations that they are "finished." Heidi Crebo-Rediker, Former US State Department Chief Economist, CFR Senior Fellow & International Capital Strategies Partner, discusses China's weak data. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Chief International Strategist, says a mild recession would be a soft landing scenario. Chuck Grom, Gordon Haskett Senior Retail Analyst, discusses Macy's earnings.
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Bob Michele, JPMorgan Asset Management Head of Fixed Income, says he sees a recession by the end of the year and the Fed cutting rates by September. Rep. Bryan Steil, Republican from Wisconsin says the debt-limit bill is not perfect but its's a step in the right direction. Anglo Zino, Senior Equity Analyst at CFRA says he is a believer in Nvidia but he thinks there will be some AI fatigue. Emily Roland, John Hancock Investment Managemenet Co-Chief Investment Strategist says she continues to favor investing in the US over the rest of the world. William Lee, The Milken Institute Chief Economist says China is snowballing into a static plateau.
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 Jamie Dimon is in Shanghai for JPMorgan's China summit. It's the first time the bank's flagship event is being held in person since 2019. Bloomberg News sat down for a wide-ranging, exclusive interview with the JPMorgan CEO. Here is his interview with Bloomberg's Stephen Engle. 

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Brian Levitt, Inveso Global Market Strategist, says we are close to the end of the tightening cycle. Mandeep Singh, Sr. Technology Analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence on Nvidia's march toward $1 trillion market value. Greg Valliere, Chief US Policy Strategist at AGF investments says, House Speaker Kevin McCarthy is a "serious player" following the weekend's debt ceiling negotiations. Katy Kaminski, Chief Research Strategist at Alphasimplex says, she's looking for a breakout in US treasury yields. Lee Ferridge, Head of Macro Strategy at State Street, says sterling/US dollar will hit $1.15 by the second half of this year.Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance 

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