Predictive History, Professor Jiang, No Ads

On Sunday, August 23rd, Professor Jiang discusses Trump's 3rd Term in Austin, Texas. Thanks to Jintae Cho for organizing the meet-up, and David Rhoads for filming the event.Please follow David's work at:   / @postculthouse   and Substack: https://substack.com/@postcult

On Saturday, August 8, 2026, Professor Jiang spoke at the Kinn (https://thekinn.co/) in Venice, California. Many thanks to Ally Fekaiki for organizing and moderating the event. Because of his generosity, participation was free. You can learn more about Ally's work by subscribing to his YouTube channel:    / @prettygreatpod  

On Saturday, August 15, 2026, Professor Jiang visited New York City to deliver a lecture on why the Iran started, and where it is going. He explains the origins of transnational capitalism, and how secret societies rule the world.

In this Saturday, August 1 Zoom discussion, we examine and discuss why and how 50,000 migrants flooded the Spanish enclave of Ceuta.

In this July 20, 2026 Zoom discussion, Professor Jiang discusses current events, and answers questions from Substack subscribers.

A recording from Predictive History's live videohttps://predictivehistory.substack.co...

On Tuesday, July 14, 2026, Professor Jiang visited Tokyo, and discussed Japan's geo-political outlook. What follows are highlights from the 3-hour event. Much appreciation to Keito Ochi for organizing the event at Lakeland University.

A Zoom discussion covering the war in Iran, the fate of Europe, education reform, and more.

A recording from Predictive History's live videohttps://predictivehistory.substack.co...

A recording from Predictive History's live videohttps://predictivehistory.substack.co...

In this Thursday, May 28, 2026 lecture Professor Jiang answers your questions.

In this talk to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang reviews all the important ideas from this semester.

In this Thursday, May 21, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students Professor Jiang explains how Putin plans to defeat the American empire.

In this Tuesday, May 19, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains the connections between the Freemasons and the AI surveillance state. Notes and References:1. "Morals and Dogma" by Albert Pike2. "Zero to One" by Peter Thiel 3. "What's the Difference between God and Larry Ellison?" by Mike Wilson4. "Between Two Ages" by Zbigniew Brzezinski5. "Empire of AI" by Karen Hao

In this Thursday, May 14, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains why the United States and China will negotiate a grand bargain.

In this Tuesday, May 12, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains why AI will end humanity. Notes and References:1. Empire of AI by Karen HaoPlease consider making a small donation here:https://buymeacoffee.com/predictivehi...Please subscribe to the Predictive History Substack here:https://predictivehistory.substack.co...

Dear viewers: I do not monetize my YouTube in order to discuss sensitive topics freely. Please consider making a small donation here:https://buymeacoffee.com/predictivehistoryFor my geo-political analysis, please subscribe to my Substack here:https://predictivehistory.substack.com/p/the-us-china-grand-bargainAs always, a reminder that

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In this Thursday, May 7, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains the worldview and strategy of the four major participants of World War III. Notes and References:1. Paradise Lost by John Milton2. Anna Karenina by Leo Tolstoy

In this Wednesday, April 29, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how Dante constructed the Inferno. Notes and References:1. Dante's Infernohttps://digitaldante.columbia.edu/dan...

In this Wednesday, April 8, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang introduces Dante's Divine Comedy. Notes and References:1. Dante: https://digitaldante.columbia.edu/dan...

In this Wednesday, March 25, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how Vergil's "The Aeneid" became the Bible of the Roman Empire. Notes and References:1. Vergil's "The Aeneid" by Robert Fagles

In this Wednesday, March 18, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how Vergil inverts Homer.Notes and References:1. Vergil's Aeneid, translated by Robert Fagles

In this Wednesday, March 11, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains the power of love.Reference:1. Homer's Odyssey (translated by Robert Fagles)

In this Wednesday, March 4, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains the central conflict of the Odyssey.

In this Wednesday, January 28, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains the nature of consciousness as depicted in Homer's Iliad.

In this Wednesday, January 21, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how Homer created Greek civilization.Reference:1. "Defense of Poetry" by Percy Shelley

In this Wednesday, January 14, 2026 talk to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains that to be human is to "hear yourself speak."

What are the Great Books? In this introductory lecture, Professor Jiang explains that the Great Books are meant to help us achieve our true human potential by revealing the secrets of the universe. This semester, Professor Jiang will discuss five Great Books:1. The Iliad by Homer 2. The Odyssey by Homer3. The Republic by Plato4. The Aeneid by Vergil5. The Divine Comedy by Dante

In this Tuesday, April 28, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains that 21st century warfare is about turning the civilian population against the state.Notes and References:1. "The Social Contract" by Jean-Jacques Rousseau

In this Tuesday, April 21, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains America's national security strategy, and why this war in Iran cannot end.Notes and References:1. America's National Security Strategyhttps://media.defense.gov/2026/Jan/23...

Professor Jiang answers your questions!

In his June 13, 2024 class, Jiang Xueqin concludes his Geo-Strategy course by discussing how to use AI to chart a better future for humanity:In his Foundation series, Isaac Asimov introduces the science of psychohistory. Is it really possible to predict the future by mathematically modeling historical development?By mathematically modeling history, "Cliodynamics" has revealed interesting patterns. For example, Peter Turchin has discovered that it's the "over-production of elites" that drives social upheaval. The advent of AI presents new possibilities for the mathematical modeling of history, and can even help us achieve psychohistory. But to do so would require decades of painstaking research and analysis. It would also mean overturning the entire field of history, and looking at all of the past with a more critical and nuanced eye. Finally, much of this research and development can only happen in a time of global collapse, when all of humanity is united in creating an open, progressive, and democratic future. In his final message to his students, Jiang Xueqin stresses that the future is not something that happens -- it is something that has to be imagined and fought for.

In his June 7, 2024 class, Jiang Xueqin explores how and why America would fight a second Civil War:Right now, America is suffering three trends that make civil war more and more likely:a.) Increasing political polarization driven by the culture wars and inequality.b.) Breakdown of the narratives that bind America, especially the American Dream and liberalism. c.) Growing distrust of America's national institutions, including the government, media, science, military, universities, and justice system.If Trump wins in November, we can expect riots and civil unrest. If Trump refuses to step down in 2028, we can expect a civil war to blow up.

In his June 5, 2024 class Jiang Xueqin explains Putin's strategic genius:In February 2022 Putin invaded Ukraine. At first, the war did not go well, and the United States had a three-point plan to defeat Putin:1.) Equip Ukraine to defeat the Russian army.2.) Sanction Russia, and cause it to economically implode.3.) Isolate Russia, and turn it into a pariah state.Today, we recognize that this strategy has failed, and Putin is triumphant:1.) The Russian army is dominant in Ukraine.2.) The Russian economy is stronger than ever.3.) Putin enjoys more international influence than ever.Putin's ultimate strategic aim is to destroy the American empire. He will succeed if:1.) America continues to over-extend itself militarily. 2.) America remains addicted to debt. 3.) America becomes increasingly politically polarized.

In his May 31, 2024 class, Jiang Xueqin explains why Putin is preparing to mobilize Russian society for total war:Putin's favorite philosopher Aleksandr Dugin believes that Russia and the West are fighting Samuel Huntington's War of Civilizations in Ukraine. What does he mean by this? In the late eighties, Francis Fukuyama published his "End of History?" essay, which argued that liberal democracy and consumerism are humanity's best conception of itself, and therefore history has ceased to be a dialectical argument. Both Dugin and Putin believe that Western consumerism is a poison pill that has corrupted Russian society. It has manipulated Russians into betraying their own civilization, and this betrayal has led to political corruption, rampant alcoholism, and a declining population. In the war against Ukraine, Putin has discovered that continuous war can rejuvenate the Russian soul. He is intent on channeling Russia's "warrior" culture to fight against consumerism.

In his May 29, 2024 class, Jiang Xueqin explains that an American invasion of Iran would be a catastrophic mistake:If Trump were to win a second term, he would likely contemplate invading Iran. While an initial invasion would seem successful, American forces would quickly become bogged down in Iran's mountainous terrain. The American invasion would be similar to Athens' invasion of Sicily in 415 BCE, as described in Thucydides' The Peloponnesian War. Despite its initial successes, the Athenians couldn't re-supply themselves, and their entire expedition was wiped out.This disastrous defeat turned the war in Sparta's favor, and spelled the downfall of the Athenian empire. Could the American empire in Iran suffer the same fate as the Athenian empire in Sicily?

In his May 24, 2024 class Jiang Xueqin examines if Iran President Ebrahim Raisi's death was an accident or an assassination: On May 19, Iran President Raisi's helicopter crashed into the mountains, killing all nine on board. Most experts believe it was a weather-related accident. There are skeptics who believed that powerful forces within Iran stood to gain from Raisi's death. Raisi was expected to become the next Iranian supreme leader, and now Mojtaba Khamenei (the current Ayatollah's second son) is the favorite. Under the current Ayatollah, the 250,000-strong Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) have dominated Iran's economy, politics, and foreign policy. Their critics believe they have inflamed tensions in the Middle East, while causing stagnation and corruption at home. If Raisi were to have become Ayatollah, he would have to attempt to curb the power and influence of the IRGC in order to establish his own authority. Because Mojtaba Khamenei would be inexperienced and unpopular, he would have to rely on the support of the IRGC.This would allow the IRGC to pursue its most ambitious foreign policy goals, which would ultimately force a confrontation between the United States and Iran.

In his Wednesday, May 22 class, Jiang Xueqin explains to his Chinese high school students the strengths and weaknesses of the American military doctrine "Shock and Awe":In 2003, the American military used a revolutionary military doctrine called "Shock and Awe" in its Operation Iraqi Freedom. "Shock and Awe" combined American air supremacy, technological omniscience, and special forces into a deadly package that won the war in three weeks, with less than 200 American casualties. This new doctrine is ultimately a response to the failures of the Vietnam War, in which 58,000 Americans died over eight years. "Shock and Awe" permits America to fights wars quickly, cheaply, and decisively, which avoids public outrage, media scrutiny, and political flip-flopping. As such, "Shock and Awe" is not just a theory of war -- it's ultimately a theory of empire. America can now covertly defend its empire everywhere and anywhere. But "Shock and Awe" also means that America is over-committed, is lacking in strategic discipline, and is overcome with hubris. This may lead America to head into a disaster of its own making.

In his Friday, May 17, 2024 class, Jiang Xueqin explores who will win the US Presidential election in November: Joe Biden's 2020 coalition of college-educated professionals, minority voters, twenty-somethings, and suburbanites may not hold in 2024. Voters are upset about inflation, illegal immigration, and foreign policy direction.If Trump picks Nikki Haley to be his running mate, he has a very good chance of winning the suburbs, and thus the Presidency.Because of her ties to anti-Iranian organizations, Nikki Haley may become the fiercest advocate for escalation with Iran in the Trump White House.

In his May 15, 2024 class Jiang Xueqin explains to his Chinese high school students the rivalry between Iran and Saudi Arabia:At the beginning of 1979 Saudi Arabia and Iran were friendly with each other. Both were America-aligned oil-exporting monarchies. Iran’s Islamic Revolution was a political earthquake that promised to topple the entire Middle East political order. Ever since Saudi Arabia and Iran have been bitter religious, economic, and geo-political rivals. After America’s 2003 invasion of Iraq Iran seemed dominant. In 2015 Riyadh was shaken to its core when Obama reached a nuclear deal with Tehran. Then Saudi Arabia’s crown prince Muhammad bin Salman won over the Trump White House. Trump made Saudi Arabia his first foreign visit, and scuttled Obama’s nuclear deal. In January 2020 Trump ordered the assassination of Qasem Soleimani, which brought Iran and America to the brink of war.If Trump wins in November, tensions in the Middle East can only promise to escalate.

In his May 5, 2024 class, Jiang Xueqin explains to his Chinese high school students how empire is eroding the stability and vitality of the American Republic: From 1950-1980, America's manufacturing sector accounted for 40 percent of GDP, employed 30 percent of its workforce, and enjoyed 40 percent of total profits. Today, it's only 10 percent of GDP, and the financial services sector is ascendant. Financial services account for 22 percent of GDP, enjoy 40 percent of profits, and employs 5 percent of America's workforce. This trend has led to income inequality, divisive politics, and economic volatility. Young people feel they are being left behind, the best and brightest are flocking to Wall Street, and corporations are focused more on financial engineering than on innovation. What's driving this trend? America's empire, which is causing foreign money to flood its economy. And as the empire becomes addicted to easy money it may have to fight a war to defend the petrodollar.

In his April 30, 2024 class, Jiang explains the origins and thinking of Christian Zionism, and how it is driving conflict in the Middle East.He argues that while most Christians consider Christian Zionism to heretical, it has the most potential to capture people's imagination due to the instability, uncertainty, and extremity of the times we live in today.

On April 24, 2024, Jiang Xueqin explains to his Chinese high school students Iran's geo-political strategy. Because the United States has military dominance, Iran must conduct asymmetrical warfare, and ask four questions with all its actions:a.) Does this action make my population more confident and united?b.) Does this action help me consolidate trust and solidarity with my allies?c.) Does this action help me win global opinion?d.) Does this action weaken the resolve and solidarity of my enemies? Jiang Xueqin argues that Iran's "Operation True Promise" achieved Iran's strategic objectives, and Iran's strategy matrix will determine all its responses moving forward.

In this Thursday, December 18, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how and why Pax Judaica will come to rule the world. Notes and References:1. Book of Ezekiel, Hebrew Bible2. Observations Upon the Prophecies of Daniel by Isaac Newton3. Structure of Scientific Revolutions by Thomas Kuhn4. The Thirteenth Tribe by Arthur Koestler5. Kill King 33 by James Downard and Michael Hoffman6. Words of the Lord (Jacob Frank)

In this Tuesday, December 16, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how the alliance between the British Empire and the Sabbatean Frankists created modernity. Notes and References:1. Coningsby by Benjamin Disraeli2. Assault on Truth by Jeffrey Masson3. The Interpretation of Dreams by Sigmund Freud4. Aetiology of Hysteria by Sigmund Freud5. Fragments of an Analysis of Hysteria by Sigmund Freud 6. Wall Street and the Russian Revolution by Richard Spence7. Letters of Karl Marx8. Letters of Mikhail Bakunin9. Rihland video on the Donmeh:    • Dönme-The Ottoman crypto-jews  

In this Thursday, December 11, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains the religious outlook of Jacob Frank. Notes and References:1. The Collection of the Words of the Lord (Jacob Frank), translated by Harris Lenowitz) 2. "Crazy Jane Talks with the Bishop" by William Butler Yeats3. Faust by Goethe

In this Tuesday, December 9, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how transnational capital came to dominate the world.

In this Thursday, December 4, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how the Catholic Church became the ultimate empire.Notes and References:1. Albigensian Crusade: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Albigen...2. Sasanian Conquest of Jerusalem: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sasania...3. The Quran

In this Tuesday, December 2, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how Paul created Christianity.Notes and References:1. Gospel of John, New Testament2. Acts of the Apostles, New Testament3. Letter to Romans, New Testament4. Letter to Corinthians, New Testament5. City of God by Augustine

In this Thursday, November 27, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains the true teachings of Jesus.Notes and References:1. Gospel of Thomas2. Gospel of Matthew3. Divine Comedy by Dante4. Brothers Karamazov by Fyodor Dostoyevsky

In this Tuesday, November 25, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how Rome came to dominate the Mediterranean. Notes and References:1. History of Rome by Livy2. The Aeneid by Virgil3. The Iliad by Homer

In this Thursday, November 20, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how and why Alexander the Great birthed the Hellenistic world.Notes and References:1. Histories by Herodotus2. The Peloponnesian World by Thucydides

In this Tuesday, November 18, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains that the Persians constructed the Jewish identity in order to divide and rule the Levant.Notes and References:1. Book of Ezra, Hebrew Bible (Standard Revised edition)2. Book of Nehemiah, Hebrew Bible (Standard Revised edition)Please Support Professor Jiang:1. Donate: https://buymeacoffee.com/predictivehi...2. Subscribe: https://predictivehistory.substack.com/3. Follow: https://x.com/xueqinjiang

In this Friday, November 14, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how Zarathustra create monotheism. Notes and References:1. Gathas of Zarathustra 2. Poetry of Rumi3. Thus Spoke Zarathustra by Friedrich Nietzsche4. Pablo Vasquez Lecture on Gathas:    • The Gathas, Zoroastrianism, and the Ancien...  5. Zoroaster and the First Enlightenment:    • Zoroaster and the First Enlightenment | Ra...  Please Support Professor Jiang:1. Donate: https://buymeacoffee.com/PredictiveHi...2. Subscribe: https://predictivehistory.substack.com/3. Follow: https://x.com/xueqinjiang

In this Wednesday, November 12th lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how the Yahwehist gave birth to the Bible as well as the nation of Israel.Notes and References:1. Book of Genesis, Hebrew Bible2. Book of Kings, Hebrew Bible3. Book of J by Harold BloomPlease Support Professor Jiang:1. Donate: https://buymeacoffee.com/PredictiveHi...2. Subscribe: https://predictivehistory.substack.co...3. Follow: https://x.com/xueqinjiang

In this Thursday, November 6, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how Homer gave birth to Greek civilization, humanity's creative peak. Notes and References:1. The Iliad by Homer (translated by Robert Fagles)2. Origin of Consciousness in the Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind by Julian Jaynes3. The Cosmic Serpent by Jeremy Narby4. Anna Karenina by Leo Tolstoy5. To the Lighthouse by Virginia Woolf

In this Tuesday, November 4, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how the Bronze Age global trade network was a proto-capitalistic system, and therefore bound to collapse hard and fast.Notes and References:1. Debt by David Graeber2. 1177 BC by Eric H. Cline3. Predictably Irrational by Dan Ariely4. "Power Causes Brain Damage" in the Atlantic Monthly: https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/...Please Support Professor Jiang:1. Donate: https://buymeacoffee.com/predictivehi...2. Subscribe: https://predictivehistory.substack.com/3. Follow: https://x.com/xueqinjiang

In this Friday, October 31, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains that the people of the steppes were history's greatest conquerors because they were the most open, energetic, cohesive. Notes and References:1. The Language of the Goddess by Marija Gimbutas2. The Civilization of the Goddess by Marija Gimbutas3. Sex at Dawn by Christopher Ryan and Cacilda Jetha4. The Horse the Wheel and Language by David AnthonyPlease Support Professor Jiang:1. Donate: https://buymeacoffee.com/PredictiveHi...2. Subscribe: https://predictivehistory.substack.com/3. Follow: https://x.com/xueqinjiang

In his Wednesday, October 29, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang proposes a new theory on the birth of civilizations. Notes and References:1. Theogony by Hesiod2. Epic of Gilgamesh 3. Enuma Elish4. Debate between Sheep and GrainPlease support Professor Jiang:1. Donate: https://buymeacoffee.com/predictivehi... 2. Subscribe: https://predictivehistory.substack.co...3. Follow: https://x.com/xueqinjiang

In this lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how the religious imagination inspired humans to Heavenly achievements. Notes and References:1. The Wayfinders by Wade Davis2. The Dawn of Everything by David Graeber and David Wengrow3. The Forest People by Colin TurnbullPlease support the work of Professor Jiang:1. Donate: https://buymeacoffee.com/PredictiveHi... 2. Subscribe: https://predictivehistory.substack.com/3. Follow: https://x.com/xueqinjiang

In his Tuesday October 21, 2025 class Professor Jiang argues against Charles Darwin's Theory of Evolution. He believes that humans from the beginning were spiritual, compassionate, and artistic. Reference:1. The Dawn of Everything by David Graeber and David Wengrow2. Origin of Species by Charles Darwin Please support Professor Jiang:1. Donate to him: https://buymeacoffee.com/predictivehi...2. Subscribe to his Substack: https://predictivehistory.substack.com/3. Follow him on X/Twitter: https://x.com/xueqinjiang

In this Friday, October 17, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students Professor Jiang examines three major American events. He shows that the official explanations for the JFK assassination, the 1969 moon landing, and 9/11 are problematic. Because Professor Jiang wants to pursue the truth without fear and hesitation he cannot monetize his YouTube channel. Please consider supporting his work.1. Donate to him: https://buymeacoffee.com/PredictiveHi...2. Subscribe to his Substack: https://predictivehistory.substack.com/3. Follow him on X/Twitter: https://x.com/xueqinjiang

Where did we come from? Why are we here? Where are we going?Scientists tell us they have all the solutions. The Big Bang Theory, Evolution, and Neuroscience reveal a random, material, and emergent universe. But there are fundamental problems with all three theories. What is dark energy? How did we make the evolutionary leap from ape to human? Where does consciousness come from? In this Wednesday, October 15 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang proposes a theory of everything that places mind before matter.Notes and References:1. The Holographic Universe by Michael Talbot2. The Cosmic Serpent by Jeremy Nagy3. The Divine Comedy by Dante4. Essentia Foundation conversation on Quantum Fields and Consciousness:    • Quantum Information Panpsychism Explained ...  Please support Professor Jiang's work:1. Donate to him: https://buymeacoffee.com/PredictiveHi...2. Subscribe to his Substack: https://predictivehistory.substack.co...3. Follow him on X/Twitter: https://x.com/xueqinjiang

Notes and References:1. The Origins of Totalitarianism by Hannah Arendt2. The Trial by Franz Kafka3. Seeing Like a State by James C. Scott4. For this talk, I relied heavily on the work of Michael Zanini. His Substack is here: https://revitalize.substack.com/p/why...5. The article on the ballooning bureaucracy of Swedish higher education can be found here: https://link.springer.com/article/10....6. The CNN article on how USC punished the professor is here: https://edition.cnn.com/2020/09/10/us...7. The article on the Stratford bankruptcy can be found here: https://www.insidenova.com/headlines/...Authorized social media links:Twitter: https://x.com/Pred_HistorySubstack: https://predictivehistory.substack.co...Dear community: Please note that I refuse to monetize my YouTube channel in any way. I do not accept sponsorships or ad revenue, and I would never ask for monthly subscription fees. There are many YouTube fan channels that are using my content. Please remember that I am not in any way affiliated or associated with any of them. Some have asked for monthly subscription fees, and I strongly disagree with this practice. Please exercise caution, and please be aware. Please do not give money on YouTube as doing so can only encourage bad faith actors. Please spread this message far and wide. I know you want to contribute to my work, but I would hate to think that any of you would be taken advantage of.

We like to believe that a meritocracy is the best way to pick society's winners and losers. In this Friday, September 12, 2005 lecture to his Beijing high school students Professor Jiang argues that the meritocracy is destroying America. He argues that Harvard created the meritocracy for its own benefit. Harvard's endowment has skyrocketed at the expense of American democracy, social mobility, and political unity. Notes and References:1. Read this Nature article on how the Ivy League controls elite production: https://www.nature.com/articles/s4159...2. In his book "The Chosen: The Hidden History of Admission and Exclusion at Harvard, Yale, and Princeton," Jerome Karabel presents a compelling case that America's elite institutions are only concerned with consolidating and expanding their power as gate-keepers: https://www.amazon.com/Chosen-History...3. In his book "Excellent Sheep: The Miseducation of the American Elite and the Way to a Meaningful Life," William Deresiewicz explains how deeply anti-intellectual the Ivy League has become: https://www.amazon.com/Excellent-Shee...4. In this Atlantic Monthly article "The Organization Kid," David Brooks argues that elite institutions prepare students for a successful life devoid of purpose and meaning: https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/...

What is mind control, and how does it work? In his Wednesday, September 10, 2025 lecture to Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how mind control techniques originated in ancient Egypt. Priests developed these techniques to control the Pharaoh, and they became embedded into Egyptian mythology.Today, these ancient mind control techniques are still used. Please Support Professor Jiang:In order to openly and freely discuss controversial topics, Professor Jiang does not monetize his YouTube videos. If you have the means, please donate here: https://buymeacoffee.com/predictivehi...If you'd like to delve deeper into the topic of mind control, please read Professor Jiang's most recent post on Substack, in which he discusses Manchurian Candidates:https://predictivehistory.substack.co...Notes and References:1. The Dark Side by Jane Mayer. You can read the book at any library, or purchase the book here: https://www.amazon.com/Dark-Side-Insi...2. Read about the Abu Ghraib prisoner abuse scandal here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abu_Ghr...3. Learn about the concept of Learned Helplessness here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Learned...4. Learn how the CIA was working with psychologists to torture prisoners here: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2...5. There is ample evidence that shows that prisoner abuse is more likely to turn them into terrorists: https://humanrightsfirst.org/library/...6. Read about MKUltra here: https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/sites/defau...7. Read about the case of Abu Zubaydah here: https://www.therenditionproject.org.u...8. This article explains that psychologists have their own issues: https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/ar...

Where do secret societies come from? What do they teach? On Friday, September 5, 2025, Professor Jiang lectured on the development of the religious tradition in the West. References:1. The Book of Enoch2. The Gospel of Thomas3. Paradise Lost by John Milton4. The Book of Genesis5. "The Secret History of the World" by Mark BoothPlease Support Professor Jiang's Work: 1. If you'd like to delve deeper, please subscribe to Professor Jiang's Substack: https://predictivehistory.substack.com2. In order to discuss sensitive topics freely and openly, Professor Jiang does not monetize his YouTube videos. If you have the means, please consider making a small donation: https://buymeacoffee.com/predictivehi...

Why is there evil in the world? In his Thursday, August 28, 2025 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how secret societies operate, and why they're the true centers of power in the world. Please Support Professor Jiang's Work: 1. If you'd like to delve deeper into this topic, please subscribe to Professor Jiang's Substack: https://predictivehistory.substack.co...In his most recent post, Professor Jiang analyzes why America's rich and powerful would fly to Epstein Island. 2. In order to discuss sensitive topics freely and openly, Professor Jiang does not monetize his YouTube videos. If you have the means, please consider making a small donation: https://buymeacoffee.com/predictivehi...

The Western world is in decline. Immigration is tearing apart the social contract, and causing ethnic tensions. Young people cannot find work, and can no longer afford a house. Debt is crippling governments and households.In his Tuesday, August 26, 2025 class to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains that these trends are caused by the aging crisis, in which rich pensioners are dictating policy to the detriment of everyone else. He predicts that the gerontocracy will lead to the rise of militaristic and authoritarian governments. Please Support: If you'd like to delve deeper into this topic, please subscribe to Professor Jiang's Substack: https://predictivehistory.substack.co...In his most recent post, Professor Jiang offers a theory as to why Canada has so many Indian immigrants.In order to discuss sensitive topics freely and openly, Professor Jiang does not monetize his YouTube videos. If you have the means, please consider making a small donation: https://buymeacoffee.com/predictivehi...

In this lecture, Professor Jiang explains the three theories as to why and how societies rise and fall: the financialization of society, elite over-production, and the civilization life cycle. Recommended Readings: 1. Please do yourself a favor, and read Thomas Piketty’s “Capital in the 21st Century.” It’s surprisingly clear and simple, and his evidence is striking and overwhelming. 2. It’s essential to read Peter Turchin. Start off with one of his earlier works: “War and Peace and War: The Rise and Fall of Empires.” 3. C. Wright Mills’ “The Power Elite” is a classic sociological survey on the structure of power in society. You can read it for free here: https://archive.org/details/dli.ernet... If you'd like to read more about this topic, please read Professor Jiang's Substack post here: https://predictivehistory.substack.co...Please support Professor Jiang's work at https://buymeacoffee.com/predictivehi...

In this lecture, Professor Jiang proposes that by studying geo-politics we can develop analytical frameworks that permit us to predict the future. If our predictions turn out to be accurate, we can use these validated frameworks to reveal the secret history of humanity. How does power work? Professor Jiang proposes that power is alchemy, and allows those in power to transform lead into gold. We are taught in science class that alchemy is a pseudo-science. But in fact we have achieved alchemy with the concept of money. Further Reading: If you enjoy this lecture and would like to delve deeper, please read Professor Jiang's Substack: https://predictivehistory.substack.co...Please support Professor Jiang's work: https://buymeacoffee.com/predictivehi...

In this Tuesday, April 7, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains why the Americans invest so much into the myth of "no man left behind." Notes and References:1. "The Militarization of Movies and Television," a paper by Tanner Mirrlees:https://costsofwar.watson.brown.edu/s...

In this Thursday, April 2, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains Donald Trump's grand plan. Notes and References:1. "Foundations of Geo-Politics" by Aleksandr Dugin

In this Tuesday, March 31, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how an elite control the global financial system, and engineer financial collapses.Notes and References:1. "1929" by Andrew Ross Sorkin2. "Tower of Basel" by Adam Lebor

In this Thursday, March 26, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains that Israel has the most to benefit from the war between the United States and Iran.

In this Tuesday, March 24, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang argues that the US-Iran war marks the end of Pax Americana and globalization.

In this Thursday, March 19, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how internal conflicts determine foreign wars.

In this Tuesday, March 17, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how the world really works, and why there can be no peace between the United States and Iran.

In this Thursday, March 12, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how extreme eschatologies drive geo-politics.Notes and Reference:"Rebbe: The Life and Teachings of Menachem Schneerson" by Joseph Telushkin

In this Tuesday, March 10, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains why escalation control is more important than escalation dominance in the US-Iran War.

In this Thursday, March 5, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains that for Iran to triumph asymmetrically the people to become energetic, open, and cohesive.

In this Tuesday, March 3, 2026 lecture, Professor Jiang analyzes the US-Iran War.

In this Thursday, January 29, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains the origins of Communism.Notes and References:1. "Communist Manifesto" by Marx and Engels2. "Wall Street and the Russian Revolution" by Richard B. Spence

In this Tuesday, January 27, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains why America is more of a nation-game than it is a nation-state.

In this Thursday, January 22, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains how the British empire evolved into an offshore financial system.

In this Tuesday, January 20, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang uses game theory to explain how states rise and fall.

In this Thursday, January 15, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang uses the example of immigration to illustrate how games are rigged. Notes and References:"What Makes You Click: Mate Preferences and Matching Outcomes in Online Dating" (MIT Sloan Working Paper February 2006)Download the paper here: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.c...

In this Tuesday, January 13, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang explains who succeeds, and why.Notes and References:1. The Marshmallow Test by Walter Mischel2. Mindset by Carol Dweck3. Peak by K. Anders Ericsson

In this Thursday, January 8, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang uses game theory to explore the limitations of schools.

In this Tuesday, January 6, 2026 lecture to his Beijing high school students, Professor Jiang introduces the concept of game theory, and how it applies to the dating game.

In this final talk of the "Civilization" course, Jiang Xueqin explains the rise and fall of the American empire. At the 1944 Bretton Woods conference, America proposed that the dollar should be the world's reserve currency. In return for this "exorbitant privilege," America pledged that its currency could be exchanged for gold. But with America spending exorbitantly to fund the Vietnam War, the Space Race, and the Great Society, countries started to doubt this promise. After France withdrew all its gold from America, President Nixon announced that the dollar could no longer be converted to gold. To create new demand for the dollar, Nixon visited China, and brought it into the Pax Americana.After the fall of the Soviet Union, America financialized its economy, which led to the 2008 Great Financial Crisis. With Putin's invasion of Ukraine, the supremacy of the USD is more threatened than ever. In response, America may invade Iran, which would start World War III. References:1. Farewell Address of Dwight Eisenhower (Military Industrial Complex)2. The Peloponnesian War by Thucydides3. Tragedy and Hope by Carroll Quigley 4. The Open Society by Karl PopperFurther Watching:1. The System of Money:    • The System of Money | Documentary Money Cr...  2. Who Controls All of Our Money?:    • Who Controls All of Our Money?  

How did a poor Georgian high school drop-out help lead a fringe and fanatical political party (the Bolsheviks) into absolute power in Russia? How was Stalin able to eliminate his competitors? How did he defeat Hitler in World War II? In this talk to his Beijing high school students, Jiang Xueqin explains that Stalin was the "ubermensch," the man of steel who willed a new reality into being. Lenin could not have maintained the Bolsheviks without financing from Stalin's criminal activities. After the October Revolution and the Russian Civil War, Lenin was intent on stopping Stalin's rise to power. But Stalin outmaneuvered his adversaries, including Leon Trotsky, the heir to Lenin's legacy. After the Great Purge, Stalin created a cult of personality, and bent the entire state apparatus to his will. This proved pivotal in World War II when Stalin transformed the Soviet Union from a poor feudal nation into a global industrial power. References:1. State and Revolution by Vladimir Lenin2. Darkness at Noon by Arthur Koestler3. Joseph Stalin's wiki bio: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joseph_...4. Vladimir Lenin's wiki bio: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vladimi...Recommended Watching:I watched many YouTube videos to prepare for this lecture. Here are some recommendations.1. The Rest of History podcast on Operation Barbarossa:    • 182. Operation Barbarossa  2. Noj Rants on "Lenin's Non-Marxist Origins":   • The Non-Marxist Origins of Lenin (History ...  3. Zoomer Historian on "Operation Barbarossa Myth":    • Video  4. Russian History Museum on the Friendship between Lincoln and Czar Alexander II:   • The Tsar and the President: Alexander II a...  

Nationalism is the main cause of World War One. How and why did it originate?In this talk to his Beijing high school students, Jiang Xueqin explains that nationalism was a response to religious, economic, and cultural challenges in Europe in the 18th and 19th centuries.The Protestant Reformation produced a crisis of faith in people, and many made the nation-state into their new religion. The Industrial Revolution made the bourgeoisie the new dominant elite, and they demanded property rights that only the nation-state could guarantee. Rapid industrialization and urbanization caused alienation and disorientation, which led people to embrace the nation-state for community and direction. References:1. Seeing Like a State by James Scott2. Imagined Communities by Benedict Anderson3. The Social Contract by Jean-Jacques Rousseau4. The Origins of Totalitarianism by Hannah Arendt5. The Open Society by Karl Popper

Freud proposed the theory of the Oedipal Complex. Where did he get the idea? Why did it become so popular?In this talk to his Beijing high school students, Jiang Xueqin explains that Freud developed his psychological theories in order to protect the interests of the powerful. His protege Carl Jung would take Freud's theory of the unconscious, and turn it into a systemic model of human psychology. Because of modernist literature and art, this "cult of the self" has permeated throughout the entire culture, becoming the air we breathe. This has led to devastating social consequences, especially among the young.References:1. Aetiology of Hysteria by Sigmund Freud2. Interpretation of Dreams by Sigmund Freud3. Civilization and Its Discontents by Sigmund Freud4. The Assault on Truth by Jeffrey Masson5. Ulysses by James Joyce6. To the Lighthouse by Virginia Woolf

Why was Karl Marx -- who believed that industrial capitalism would evolve into a worker's paradise -- wrong? In this talk to his Beijing high school students, Jiang Xueqin explains that while Marx understood the ills of capitalism he failed to appreciate the psychology of people. People strive for religious community, not economic equality. We want to connect with God, and we seek status. That's why those countries that did succeed in their communist revolutions devolved into theocracies dominated by cults of personalities. References:1. The Communist Manifesto by Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels2. Letters of Karl Marx3. Three Lectures to Swiss Members by Mikhail Bakunin

What is the legacy of Immanuel Kant, considered our greatest philosopher?In this talk to his Beijing high school students, Jiang Xueqin explains that Kant's insights had a tremendous impact on the development of neuroscience, artificial intelligence, and quantum mechanics. Kant's philosophical revolution was equivalent to that of the Copernican revolution in astronomy. With his precise logic, Kant showed us that we were active participants in the making of reality, rather than just passive observers. But Kant's epistemology had three major limitations:1. He argued we could never know true reality (the "things-in-themselves"), thus creating an ontological dilemma.2. He did not show us the source for our capacity to interpret the world. 3. He failed to show us why interpretations would be uniform across history and cultures. These problems led Hegel to develop his theory of the dialectic of the "geist," which will come to influence the development of both Marxism and the nation-state. References:1. The Critique of Pure Reason by Immanuel Kant2. The Critique of Practical Reason by Immanuel Kant3. The Phenomenology of the Spirit by Friedrich Hegel

What explains the rise of Adolf Hitler?In this talk to his Beijing high school students, Jiang Xueqin explains that Hitler was a manifestation of the German obsession with the unity of will. After the humiliating defeat of World War I and amidst the economic turmoil of the Weimar Republic, Germans sought salvation and redemption in their civilization, especially the music of Richard Wagner and the philosophy of Frederick Nietzsche. They longed for an "ubermensch" to emerge, and Hitler rose to the occasion. References:1. The World as Will and Representation by Arthur Schopenhauer2. The Ring Cycle by Richard Wagner 3. The Genealogy of Morals by Frederick Nietzsche 4. Tragedy and Hope by Carroll Quigley5. The Speeches of Adolf Hitler

Why did Putin invade Ukraine?In this lecture to his Beijing high school students, Jiang Xueqin explains that the war in Ukraine is a clash of civilizations. In his novels "Crime and Punishment" and "Brothers Karamazov" Fyodor Dostoevsky captures and expresses the Russian soul. As a Christian Orthodox people, the Russians believe the meaning of life is to accept the mystery, miracle, and authority of the human heart. This contrasts with Anglo-American civilization, which proposes a utilitarian and materialistic conception of the universe. References:1. "Anna Karenina" by Leo Tolstoy2. "Crime and Punishment" by Fyodor Dostoevsky3. "Brothers Karamazov" by Fyodor Dostoevsky

Oscar Wilde once quipped: "America is the only country that went from barbarism to decadence without civilisation in between."What did he mean by this?In this talk to his Beijing high school students, Jiang Xueqin argues that America in its attempt to become an "enlightened" civilization ultimately became an anti-civilization. Civilizations have history, culture, and values, and therefore they have prejudices. These prejudices often lead to conformity, stagnation, and close-mindedness. America was a diverse open society that was determined to embrace its diversity and openness. It would welcome immigrants from all corners of the world in order to achieve its Manifest Destiny.As such, the Founding Fathers focused on turning America into a "game" rather than a civilization. The Constitution became the basis for a fair, transparent, and competitive game that permitted all to achieve the American Dream. References:1.) Autobiography of Benjamin Franklin2.) Declaration of Independence by Thomas Jefferson3.) Federalist Papers by Alexander Hamilton, James Madison, and John Jay4.) Gettysburg Address by Abraham Lincoln5.) Democracy in America by Alexis de Tocqueville

How did Shakespeare father the British empire?In this talk to his Beijing high school students, Jiang Xueqin explains that it was Shakespeare's innovations in syntax and diction that transformed English into the linguistic Internet. Cultures, ideologies, and peoples could now meet on this Internet, and have their ideas and values pollinate and cross-breed within the framework of British civilization. References:1.) Hamlet by William Shakespeare2.) Julius Caesar by William Shakespeare3.) "To Autumn" by John Keats