Squawk Box Europe Express

The Blue Wave: The Democrats are projected to flip both the House and the Senate, after victories in the key battlegrounds of Texas, Maine, Kansas and the Carolinas. President Trump acknowledges the Iran war is partly to blame for Republican losses, while soon-to-be House Speaker Hakeem Jeffries hails the Democratic sweep. And US futures turn positive, yields dip, and the dollar pulls back as markets digest the results. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Millions of Americans head to the polls today in the biggest referendum on President Trump's second term as Republicans fight to maintain control of both the House and Senate. Elsewhere, Iran says it's prepared to respond forcefully after reports of a US strike on Qeshm Island, pushing crude prices higher. And Apple shares slide in extended trade as "unprecedented" memory chip prices put a squeeze on margins. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The AI sell-off eases - US futures try to claw back after a brutal week for tech stocks sees more than 2 trillion dollars wiped off the Nasdaq. Elsewhere, Ryanair reports a 6 percent drop in quarterly profit and CEO Michael O'Leary tells CNBC passengers face higher airfares next year. Meanwhile, oil prices extend declines as Iranian officials continue talks in Doha, but Goldman Sachs warns Brent could surge to 140 dollars a barrel by next year. And the countdown is on - Democrats make their final push ahead of the midterms, hoping to flip the House and Senate this week. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Nasdaq futures plunge as Alphabet's half a trillion dollar wipe out rips through the sector... And Intel shares look set to follow suit, eyeing a 20 percent drop at the open. Elsewhere, Binance suspends withdrawals after suspected state-backed hackers infiltrate a corporate laptop, draining 6-point-3 billion dollars in the largest digital asset heist on record. And, BP third quarter net income blows past expectations, coming in at almost 8-and-a-half billion dollars. The oil major says it will use the excess cashflow to address the remaining Deepwater Horizon liabilities in full. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Alphabet shares tumble as an AI-driven spending spree rips a hole in the company's free cash flow - with the CFO flagging a significant capex increase to come next year too. Elsewhere, short-term yields fall as the Fed hits pause, despite a hawkish warning on inflation from Chairman Kevin Warsh. Over to the U.K. - Chancellor Healey leans on banks, property owners, and savers to fund a modest cost-of-living budget, though the OBR warns of a 'pretty grim' picture as household disposable income looks set to decline once again. And, Airbus maintains its full year guidance despite a 9 percent profit drop as supply chain challenges persist. CFO Thomas Toepfer strikes an optimistic tone, telling CNBC he's confident deliveries will rebound. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Europe's banks lead the earnings charge with a standout performance from Stanchart; UBS meets expectations, but CEO Sergio Ermotti sounds the alarm over tougher capital requirements. Elsewhere, South Korean chip giant SK Hynix posts record quarterly revenues and a massive seven-fold profit surge. Over to Israel - it's too close to call in the country's parliamentary elections, with Netanyahu rejecting any potential coalition backed by Arab parties. And, we look ahead to U.K. Chancellor Healey's first fiscal budget later today. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Anthropic files to go public in one of the most hotly anticipated IPOs of all-time, but it's not without controversy as the Claude-maker warn of an 'existential threat to humanity.' Elsewhere, Novartis narrowly misses net sales estimates but ups its guidance thanks to strong demand for its key cancer and multiple sclerosis drugs. And HSBC shares are under pressure despite a sharp jump in quarterly profit, as a slowdown in its wealth management arm disappoints investors. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

US stock futures try to claw back from last week's tech rout as traders eye a big week of central bank action. Elsewhere, Lula da Silva pulls off a dramatic comeback in Brazil -- winning a historic fourth term and defeating his far-right challenger, Flávio Bolsonaro, who refuses to concede. And President Trump reveals Audi is building a 4-billion dollar plant in the US - as it cuts thousands of jobs in Germany. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The tech sell-off deepens, with Meta's 7 percent slide fueling fresh fears over spending, and sending the Nasdaq for its worst day since June. That's led to a major flight to safety, as investors pour back into bonds. And Kering's turnaround faces another test after third-quarter sales at flagship Gucci take a hit - sending U.S. listed shares down 12%. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Global equity markets take a sharp risk-off turn as investors continue to question AI spending and higher yields. Overnight, Meta's third-quarter revenue beats expectations with annual capex set to top at $145 billion, but Tesla shares are lower after hours despite higher gross margins as the company plans to scale back its own capital spending plans. In Europe, Nestlé beats expectations for third-quarter organic sales, we'll speak exclusively to CEO Philipp Navratil as a part of our Super Thursday of earnings, including the CEO of Barclays. And, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang takes the stage in Berlin, urging Europe to produce AI, not just consume it - as he wraps up his tour with a flurry of new deals and investment pledges. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Elon Musk hints at merging his two companies, Tesla and SpaceX, in the biggest corporate tie-up of all time, as SpaceX shares blast off in after hours trade on a 160-percent Q3 revenue jump, with AI-related sales surging almost 10-fold. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang takes centre stage at the company’s GTC conference in Berlin today, as mounting concerns over AI spending and debt rattle investors. Despite those risks, SpaceX lifts the Nasdaq pre-market, with Europe also called higher, as Adidas raises its outlook on the back of a record third quarter operating profit. And U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff heads to St Petersburg to meet Vladimir Putin - reportedly with an updated Ukraine peace proposal... as the Wall Street Journal reports Elon Musk was behind the decision to restrict Ukraine's access to Starlink. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Tech stocks rebound on Wall Street as investors rush back into semiconductors and megacaps. But that resilience faces an immediate gut check with heavyweight earnings from Meta, Tesla, SpaceX, and Netflix ahead. Meanwhile, Asian markets buck the trend as heavy selling pressure hits AI and tech shares - pushing South Korea's Kospi into a bear market, while data center provider Elice craters on its trading debut. In Europe, geopolitical and economic anxiety is mounting. France imposes curfews and restricts public gatherings in major cities amid severe civil unrest. Wary investors seek safety, driving the French-German 10-year bond spread to nearly 150 basis points. Meanwhile, diplomatic efforts to end the Russia-Ukraine war are intensifying. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is slated to meet U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner for peace talks in Norway today - while President Trump signals an openness to holding direct talks with Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping to negotiate an end to the war. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Nasdaq looks set to open higher following its sharpest weekly drop since June, as Wall Street debates the sustainability of AI debt financing. Meanwhile, France reels from violent weekend protests that injured 1,000 and resulted in almost 2,500 arrests, prompting President Macron to warn that next year's election holds historic consequences. And, in geopolitics, Washington restores intelligence sharing with Ukraine, even as President Trump waives select Russian sanctions ahead of a rumoured trilateral summit with Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh lauds the resilience of the global economy but refuses to give any hint on the rate path ahead. President Trump reportedly considers easing restrictions on so-called shadow fleets with ties to Russia and Iran, testing how far Washington’s rapprochement with Moscow will strain ties with Europe. Elsewhere, LVMH's Antoine Arnault pushes back against suggestions luxury names are in trouble, telling CNBC the sector is just in a difficult phase. And Tesla unveils its next-generation Roadster, using SpaceX technology that allows it to hover and drive upside down. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

AI jitters roil markets, pulling tech stocks lower stateside, sparking a sell-off across Asian equities. U.S. inflation comes in hotter-than-expected, with a surge in energy prices accounting for half the rise. Elsewhere, Anthropic tells investors revenue hit almost 17 billion dollars in the third quarter as it lines up for a blockbuster IPO. And U.K. GDP in August comes in at 2.1% - growing at its fastest annual pace in almost 4 years. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

ASML tops third quarter profit forecasts - Europe's largest company flagging order interest through to 2030 as it looks to boost capacity. Elsewhere, ECB President Christine Lagarde essentially rules out intervention by the central bank in France, telling Paris it will have to manage its own debt pile as thousands take to the streets in school protests. And, U.S. regulators hit Bank of America with a fine of more than 1.2 billion dollars, accusing the lender of breaking anti-money laundering and sanctions laws. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Tech stocks sell off across Asia, with trade on South Korea's Kospi briefly halted following a fall in U.S. chip names. Elsewhere, the IMF hikes it outlook for global growth this year, as the AI investment boom offsets the impact of surging energy. Meanwhile, Ukraine accuses Russia of continuing to strike energy infrastructure, just a day after President Trump announces his 'energy ceasefire'. And it's more gloom for the luxury sector - LVMH misses third quarter sales forecasts as a slump in China hits flagship brands Louis Vuitton and Dior. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Crude prices slip as President Trump claims an “energy ceasefire” between Russia and Ukraine days after announcing a controversial diesel deal with Moscow. The U.S. President has also said he's considering joining Saudi Arabia in its fight against the Iran-backed Houthis following strikes on Riyadh's main airport which killed 13 people. Elsewhere in markets, US and European futures point to gains at the open, in a week set to be dominated by bank earnings. And, China and the EU hold "intensive" talks on the auto trade amid concerns over market dumping. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

CNBC confirms that OpenAI told investors its annualised revenue came in roughly $20 billion below that expected at the end of September, with the news pushing AI names including Nvidia, Oracle and Coreweave deep into the red. Meanwhile, Ray Dalio tells us the stock market's cushion against rising yields is shrinking - even amid expected strength in corporate earnings - warning there are not enough investors to meet funding requirements. And President Trump promises not to attack Iran until after November's mid-term elections, saying productive discussions are ongoing - despite Houthi rebels targeting Saudi airports, killing three and forcing hundreds of flights to be cancelled. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The global bond rout eases as the latest Fed minutes dial back the odds of a rate hike this month - shifting expectations to December instead - while Wednesday's successful 10-year Treasury auction draws solid demand, bringing the yield down from a 24-year high. Meanwhile, France braces for further student protests today as Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu admits anger over school conditions is not unprovoked, while he also moves to cap next year's public deficit at 5% to ease debt spiral fears. And, EU Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič touches down in China for two days of trade talks, with Brussels eyeing a cap on hybrid car imports as the bloc’s trade deficit with Beijing balloons to more than €1 billion a day. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The S&P 500 shatters records to close above 7,800 points for the first time, propelled by a massive tech rally is masking a broader market sell-off. Beneath the surface, trouble is brewing. We dive into the bond market volatility pushing the 10-year Treasury yield back past 5.3% and unpack UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti’s urgent warning about France's debt crisis. Plus, we look at Mistral AI’s bold new model, "Le Chonk," and the Houthi attacks that have Brent crude surging back over $100 a barrel. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

As stock markets advance, so do bond yields, with the 10-year Treasury topping 5.3%, while investors continue to dump French paper, taking the spread with German bunds to its widest since the Eurozone debt crisis and the euro to a 17-month low. In the face of a looming debt spiral, former Bank of England chief economist Andy Haldane tells CNBC that governments must outline plans to curb spending. And, AI executives testify in New York and Sydney over safety fears and rogue agents, with OpenAI admitting that its actions and response to the Australian government hack were "not good enough". See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The U.S. dollar hits a 17-month high against the euro as French debt worries and political risk shake European markets, even as soft U.S. jobs data prompts investors to scale back Federal Reserve rate hike bets. Meanwhile, crude prices edge lower as Middle East exports recover, G7 nations release 100 million barrels of strategic reserves, and Iran sets its terms for the Strait of Hormuz. In M&A, French industrial giant Schneider Electric strikes a massive $22.6 billion deal to buy U.S. software group PTC to capture the industrial AI boom. Plus, we are live from London at the Goldman Sachs "10,000 Small Businesses - How Britain Can Win" conference, spotlighting U.K. growth and innovation with key guests. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Treasurys get some short-lived relief after the 10-year yield hits levels not seen in nearly a quarter of a century - but borrowing costs tick higher again as investor attention turns to September's non-farm payrolls report. Meanwhile, Europe's borrowing costs also coming under heavy pressure, with the UK becoming the first G7 country to pay 6% on long-term borrowing since 2012, while fiscal uncertainty in France sees the euro tank against the dollar.

Treasury yields hover around levels not seen in nearly a quarter of a century as lenders taper their Fed hike forecasts. Meanwhile crude prices are whipsaw, even as supply concerns ease, while Kpler says oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz reached pre-war levels this week. And tech CEOs have reportedly rounded on Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei amid growing fears over the safety of AI. - for pod

President Trump has hailed what he calls a 'morally binding' document on AI guardrails in the face of growing safety concerns - and has signed an executive order to rename the technology after a luncheon with tech leaders at the White House. Meanwhile OpenAI CEO Sam Altman tells CNBC that the firm needs to improve its models safely and confidently before it goes public. And another day, another new high for yields: The yield on 30-year U.S. paper hits its highest in nearly 25 years, as the global bond sell-off continues - with September one of the worst months for sovereigns in years.

Existential risks to humanity – that is what Anthropic has reportedly said in its prospectus, seen by Reuters and the FT, despite still eyeing a $2 trillion valuation. That news comes after OpenAI pulls its latest model over safety concerns, while Mistral AI CEO Arthur Mensch tells CNBC the current AI slowdown debate in the U.S. is a cover for the “negligence” of some rivals. In markets, bond yields continue their inexorable march higher as President Trump rejects a proposal that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz. And in the U.K., speculation mounts that Andy Burnham could signal an end to the totemic 'triple lock' on U.K. pension payments - as he prepares to address Labour's party conference for the first time as Prime Minister.

Crude prices gain after President Trump rejects an Iranian proposal aimed at ending the Middle East conflict and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. In tech, OpenAI pauses training on its most advanced models after yet another agent escapes from an internet-free environment. And in Liverpool, U.K. Chancellor John Healey is preparing to unveil a "new age of industrialisation" later today when he addresses delegates at the Labour Party Conference.

President Trump hosts Chinese President Xi Jinping at a state banquet at the White House along with some of America’s top corporate bosses. Talks between the two leaders focused on the A.I. race and the conflict in the Middle East. The global bond rout continues with the U.S. 30-year note rising to its highest level since June 2004 as investors consider the Federal Reserve’s rate path. Crude extended losses on the news of talks progressing between Iran and the US at the United Nations.

The 10-year Treasury yield spikes to its highest level since July 2007 in its biggest one day move in nearly 18 months. The 5 and 30 yields are also at levels not seen since before the financial crisis. The U.S. and China extend their trade truce by two months as Chinese President Xi Jinping touches down in America. Another OpenAI agent goes rogue, this time gaining unauthorized access to an Australian government website, with Prime Minister Anthony Albanese raising his concerns directly with Sam Altman. Global debt surges by more than $10 trillion in the first half of the year, surpassing $365 trillion, according to the IIF's latest report.

Crude prices retreat after a three-hour meeting between U.S. officials and the Iranian delegation at the UN, even with President Trump saying he needs to make a “big decision” over the next step. China's President Xi Jinping prepares to travel to Washington for talks with Trump, but uncertainty is abound over if the Chinese leader will bring a delegation of corporate leaders with him. AI takes centre stage at the UN today with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei expected to address the Security Council, as the debate over safety ramps up. France steps up support measures as spiking energy prices weigh on the economy, as we discuss the outlook with the CFOs of the country's two biggest banks.

The Nasdaq closes at a record high, driven by the AI trade as Meta posts its best day since April 2025. JP Morgan boss Jamie Dimon discusses the technology's potential impact on inflation. Oil gains slightly as U.S. President Trump prepares to meet with Gulf leaders at the UN General Assembly, where Iran's president will lead a delegation today - amid renewed hopes for a diplomatic solution to the conflict. Shares in Novo sink over as the Danish drugmaker lays out its post-Wegovy growth strategy.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and the Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng agree to set up a “U.S.-China AI dialogue” for security incidents from artificial intelligence. This comes in the lead-up to this week’s Trump-Xi summit in Washington. Exit polls spell "disaster" for German Chancellor Friedrich Merz's CDU party after a drubbing in the weekend's state elections. Oil prices hit a one-week low despite weekend attacks by Houthi rebels on Riyadh, as markets hope diplomacy prevails when leaders meet on the sidelines of this week’s UN General Assembly.

The bank of Japan delivers a quarter point hike, taking rates to the highest level since 1995. But two dissenting votes raise doubts around further normalization, driving the Yen and JGB yields lower. The Bank of England stands pat but warns rates will likely go up, with Governor Andrew Bailey flagging energy costs as a key threat. The S&P 500 sees its best day since early August as crude prices and treasury yields pull back, with tech stocks driving the charge on Wall Street. Researchers reportedly hack into OpenAI using Anthropic tools, as King Charles convenes AI leaders in Scotland to stress the importance of safety. Palantir CEO Alex Karp tells CNBC the technology must have “reasonable guidelines”.

The Fed hikes for the first time in over 3 years, with the Dow shedding over 600 points while the 10-year Treasury yield holds stubbornly around the 5% mark. The rate hike provokes U.S. President Donald Trump, who once again demands looser monetary policy, calling the FOMC “hostile”. Across the pond the Bank of England looks poised to deliver a hold as long-term borrowing costs hover near their highest in nearly 30 years. And the EU's offer for Canada to become its first-ever associate member also draws the ire of President Trump, who threatens further trade restrictions on the bloc if those plans progress.

All eyes are on the Federal Reserve decision today, as America’s central bank is all-but certain to have its first hike in over 3 years with the expected move will likely strain ties with U.S. President Donald Trump. Meta’s Mark Zuckaberg is weighing in on the AI safety debate, favoring independent evaluation rather than a slowdown in development, but Nvidia’s Jensen Huang and OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar come down on opposite sides of the conversation.

Chip names sell off on both sides of the pond amid investor pullback after warnings from AI giants. Software stocks, however, catch a bid, putting the two baskets at a huge divergence. Trump intervenes, calling warnings over the technology a “sick”  “hoax,” and telling AI leaders not to kill the “golden goose”, going as far as calling up Jensen Huang during a podcast recording. The 10-year Treasury yield hits its highest ever level in almost 20 years, with traders eyeing a near 95% chance of a Fed hike as the FOMC starts its two-day meeting today.

AI safety fears have dominated the sphere as Anthropic chief Dario Amodei's proposals to rein in development manage to unite bitter rivals Elon Musk and Sam Altman in support. However, U.S. president Donald Trump disagrees. Trump’s relationship with Fed Chair Warsh is set for a new test as investors eye a more-than 85% chance the central bank raises rates at its meeting this week while the President says the U.S. should have the lowest interest rates in the world. Oil prices notch fresh gains amid new strikes on Saudi Arabia and the Strait of Hormuz, which force Saudi to temporarily shut its East-West oil pipeline. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The latest U.S. Treasury buyback disappoints which piles on the pressure to sell global bonds. The 10-year Treasury yield is inching towards 5 per cent. In oil news, WTI tops $100 for the first time since May as continued Iranian attacks on Gulf refineries and vessels attempting to pass out of the Strait of Hormuz drive raise concerns over an extended disruption to supply. The ECB bumps rates by a quarter point as energy price concerns steer the inflation outlook upwards. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

President Trump talks up America's "tremendous" success as he promises a 'dividend' to US adult citizens if the Republicans retain control of Congress - in a pledge totalling more than a trillion dollars. The 10-year US bond yield jumps to its highest level in three years as the Treasury Department announces plans to buy back up to 6 billion dollars in longer-term debt - triple the normal level. UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti telling CNBC he sees investor complacency as geopolitical and economic risks mount. Apple unveils its long-awaited foldable phone, with the 'iPhone Duo' coming in just shy of $2,000 in a major shakeup of its lineup under new CEO John Ternus. The ECB looks poised to raise rates at today's meeting, with traders pricing in a near 100 percent chance of a 25 basis point hike. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Brent nears $100 a barrel as the conflict in the Gulf continues to flare. The IRGC says it attacked 2 American vessels and 8 oil tankers as retaliation for the U.S. targeting Iranian crude supplies earlier this week. Inflation fears rise as a result of surging energy prices, as do expectations of rate hikes from the ECB and Federal Reserve later this week. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey says the global economy is facing several upside inflationary risks. Wall Street closed Tuesday’s session in the red as AI models at several software firms come under scrutiny.   See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Mistral AI raises €3bn at a valuation of more than €21bn. The fund-raising round is among Europe’s largest ever. CEO Arthur Mensch tells CNBC that the move will accelerate future growth. Oil prices are at a six-week high with Brent crude nearing the $100-mark. Market sentiment reacts with the chances of central bank tightening looming. Chinese exports in August grow by 25 per cent while Canada’s counter-tariffs against the U.S. take hold. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Germany’s AfD party wins a resounding election in the eastern state of Saxony-Anhalt with almost 45 per cent of the vote. Ulrich Siegmund, the candidate vying to be the state premier pledges the party will not compromise if it comes to power. Investors attempt to look beyond President Trump’s threat to cut off top trading partners if the Federal Reserve fails to cut interest rates. Markets have priced in a 60 per cent chance of a rate hike in September following August’s jobs data. Brent nears $100 a barrel as the U.S. and Iran engage in fire across the weekend. The U.S. military said it had targeted 3 Iranian oil tankers following missile launches at two American vessels. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

A new economic order for the AI era looms over talks at the European House – Ambrosetti Forum, as policymakers and business leaders gather at Lake Como. Equities rally and yields ease, while Norway’s sovereign wealth fund floats unwinding some of its Treasury holdings by roughly $80 billion. Today’s U.S. jobs report has traders locked in a dead heat, with CME FedWatch futures on the fence as investors look for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next policy move. And Volkswagen’s board approves an overhaul that will slash 50,000 jobs and halve its vehicle line-up after a tense standoff with unions. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Treasury yields hover near multi-year highs as investors await Friday’s big jobs report for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next policy move. New York Fed President John Williams tells CNBC higher yields are not a signal of market dysfunction. Traders brace for possible ‘Yen-tervention’ as the dollar eases from a two-week high, raising speculation that Japanese authorities might once again intervene in the foreign exchange market. Washington secures a 'light touch' approach to AI regulation at a G20 technology gathering in North Carolina as Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick tells CNBC any tariffs on the chip sector will be selective. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The global bond rout deepens as fears over fiscal deficits and rising inflation fuel a multi-decade high in government borrowing costs. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, however, is not concerned. Oil prices continue to climb as the U.S. ramps up strikes on Iran, while Tehran retaliates with attacks on Gulf States. Volkswagen’s leadership will propose ending production at four German factories from 2031 at a meeting later this week. Speaking to CNBC, chief negotiator of the IG Metall workers union accuses the carmaker of going back on past agreements. In his first appearance at the House of Commons as the U.K. Prime Minister, Andy Burnham names Margaret Thatcher and Brexit as key reasons for the country’s stagnant growth. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent downplays concerns as the global bond sell-off deepens with the U.S. 10-year treasury yield hitting a 20-month high. The G20 summit in North Carolina leaves European officials astonished at the Russian Finance Minister’s attendance, but Bessent says there will be no sanction relief until the war in Ukraine is over. Shein struggles in its Hong Kong IPO, as the valuation of the fast-fashion giant falls by some three-quarters since its private market peak in 2022. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Markets await U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh’s debut keynote speech at the Jackon Hole Symposium later today. We hear from Cleveland and Kansas City Fed presidents Jeff Schmid and Beth Hammack about their concerns regarding U.S. consumer inflation and the interest rate path. Nvidia notches the second-largest market cap move on record – almost $500bn on the Nasdaq – pushing its share price up by almost 9 per cent following stellar quarterly results. Prospective presidential candidates in France clash in the election cycle’s first debate with the centrist parties trailing both sides of the political spectrum. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Nvidia posts another quarterly earnings beat, predicting a 70 per cent surge in sales growth for 2027 and shrugs off concerns over circular financing. CEO Jensen Huang tells CNBC, A.I. growth is accelerating and finally becoming productive. CNBC hears from sources that Anthropic has struck a $45bn cloud deal with Nscale while there are reports Nvidia is set to take over Hugging Face who’s platform was briefly hacked by OpenAI’s rogue agent several weeks ago. As global bond market volatility continues, all focus turns to Jackson Hole, Wyoming where U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh will deliver his debut keynote speech to the symposium later today.   See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Nvidia earnings are in focus as the AI giant hopes to prove the bears wrong about its $500bn AI financing push. There are expectations of a 100 per cent quarterly surge for the company. OpenAI’s chief of data centres, Chris Malone, has quit the company to become the third high-profile departure this month as IPO speculations abounds. Canada imposes tariffs on up $20bn of U.S. goods, escalating the trade war between the two neighbours.   See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has warned of secondary sanctions on any third parties attempting business with the Islamic regime, including China. Bessent also insists the Treasury’s auction schedule would continue apace even amid the department’s buybacks. Germany’s finance minister Lars Klingbeil has blamed the global spike in bond yields on the conflict in the Gulf. In crypto news, Bitcoin surges past $80,000 for the first time since mid-May on the back of increased inflows of spot Bitcoin ETFs. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

U.S. futures dip ahead of Nvidia earnings and U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh’s debut speech at this week’s Jackson Hole Symposium. Both events could have significant impacts on how markets trade for the rest of the year. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent vows to impose crippling new sanctions on Iran and any ‘enabling’ countries ahead of a widely anticipated press conference later today. Nordic and Baltic national leaders pledge continued military and financial support for Ukraine as the country marks Independence Day. UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham is also due to travel to Kyiv today – his first international visit as leader. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Treasury yields have rebounded despite yesterday’s buyback intervention relief from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. In an exclusive interview, Bessent told CNBC he is prepared to increase the operation beyond $4bn. The bond sell-off has impacted the equities markets which closed deep into negative territory at the end of Thursday’s sessions. European futures are flat following a down week on the Continent. In crypto news, Bitcoin surpasses the $70,000-mark, adding approximately 20 per cent this week. We hear from Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong who says the sector is now set for another bull market. And in banking news, Italy’s Monte dei Paschi offers a double takeover of Banco BPM and Banco Generali. If approved, the deal would be valued at close to €70bn and would trump Intesa’s own takeover bid. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

There’s some relief in the global government bonds market thanks to U.S. Treasury pledges to double buybacks for longer term bills. President Trump resumes criticism of the Federal Reserve for high interest rates amid rising debt burdens. Trump also escalates the economic pressure on Iran, threatening any third-party country doing business with the Islamic Republic and preparing to significantly increase sanctions on the country. ECB President Christine Lagarde says U.S. moves away from the global economic order are having a negative impact on eurozone growth. She urged policy makers not repeat the mistakes of the dotcom boom in today’s A.I. era.   See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The global rout in bonds eases somewhat but yields on sovereign debt remain at highs not seen for decades. Investors now turn their attention to UK inflation data and last month’s FOMC minutes. Equities also sell off Stateside and in Asia, especially in chip stocks, while European futures are firmly in the red. Chinese humanoid developer Unitree sees its shares balloon by more than 600 per cent on its Shanghai market debut as China showcases its ambitions for its national robotics industry. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

President Trump threatens to bomb ally Oman should it impede efforts to re-open the Strait of Hormuz following yesterday’s expiration of the MOU with Tehran with no immediate signs of diplomatic efforts from both sides. Brent moves to beyond $90 a barrel as a result while equities and bonds suffer losses. The U.S. 30-year T-bill surges to its highest level since 2007. The ECB has warned U.S. Big Tech stocks are due a correction and the euro zone’s households, insurers and pension funds are all vulnerable to any potential pull-back. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

European futures are set to start in the green after snapping a four-week winning streak. Investors are anticipating UK employment and inflation data, flash PMIs and the latest FOMC meeting minutes later this week. The U.S.-Iran MOU expires later today with the impasse forcing President Trump to concede Americans will have to contend with higher fuel prices. Heatwaves cause wildfires in Belgium while the level of the Rhine in Germany falls to a new record low. Berkshire Hathaway increases its stake in Alphabet. The tech giant is now its third-largest holding. Form 13F filings in the U.S. reveal a big tech ‘tug-of-war’ among institutional investors.    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

U.S. inflation concerns ease with producer prices coming in unchanged for July, cutting the odds for a September Fed hike. South Korea’s KOSPI surges further following last month’s sell-off. European futures are in the green following an otherwise lacklustre week but the continent is poised for one of its strongest earnings seasons in years. The U.S. 30-year T-bill auction racks up the highest borrowing costs in 25 years – up at 5.2 per cent – as investors examine Washington’s spiraling debt pile. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

July’s U.S. inflation slows down to come in at 3.4 per cent with the core print falling to 2.5 per cent. Markets now expect the September rate decision to remain on hold. The CEO of Norway’s sovereign wealth fund says he is cautious about AI funding even though the fund’s gains are largely derived from tech. NBIM’s Nicolai Tangen tells CNBC he is still optimistic about economic resilience around the world in the long term. Shipping titan Maersk boosts its FY guidance on the back of a robust volume growth outlook . Rival carrier Hapag-Lloyd sees an increase in Q2 revenues due to higher spot rates. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Coreweave shares surge after the AI cloud provider posts a beat on both the top and bottom line. Data centre infrastructure firm Super Micro is also up on positive forecasts. Investors await the latest U.S. inflation data with the headline number expected to be 3.4 per cent. There is no clear agreement about the Federal Reserve’s next move. Oil inches higher as attacks on shipping in both the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb raise fears of escalation as well as increase concern over crude supply chains. A top Iranian security official doubles down on Tehran’s demands to re-open the Gulf.    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Nvidia makes a massive financing push, teaming up with top Wall Street bosses who pledge more than half a trillion dollars in capital. CEO Jensen Huang tells CNBC that his company’s chips platform will become its own asset class. Hopes of a new deal over the Strait of Hormuz fade with President Trump claiming the U.S. fully controls the waterway and that it should be Iran who pays the U.S. reparations for 50 years of ‘damage’. Crude inches higher and Asian equities remain mixed while futures in Europe and the U.S. are flat. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Iran raises the price for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, demanding U.S. reparations under June’s memorandum of understanding. Yemen’s Houthi rebels hit a Saudi oil refinery just days after Riyadh signs a mutual regional defence pact with Turkey and Pakistan. Berkshire Hathaway’s Greg Abel pumps almost $20bn in investments in the second quarter, including almost $10bn in Alphabet. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Iran draft plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz reportedly prohibits vessels from ‘hostile’ states including the U.S. and Israel. A U.S. official tells CNBC that any temporary passages must be unimpeded for all. In tech news, Alphabet raises $25bn in debt to fund A.I. projects while Kansas City Federal Reserve Jeff Schmid asks whether the sector is becoming another ‘too big to fail.’ China sees exports rise almost 24 per cent in July on the back of strong demand for its chip components. Meanwhile, President Trump imposes a 15 per cent tariff on poly-silicone products to target semi-conductor and photovoltaic product supply chains. Investors await July’s U.S. jobs report later today. Economists expect a boost of up to 83,000 jobs due in part to the recent World Cup. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Big Tech moves were in focus during Wall Street’s session on Wednesday as DeepMind CEO Demis Hassibis’ departure drags Alphabet down. SpaceX shares were also down following the company’s debut earnings with investors now awaiting the first expiration of its insider lock-ups earlier today. Germany’s Commerzbank posts an almost 100 per cent jump in quarterly net profit beating expectations ahead of a potential takeover from Italian lender Unicredit. Siemens hikes its FY guidance as orders surge by almost 14 per cent on strong demand from infrastructure and data centres. CEO Roland Busch tells CNBC every one of its units is ‘firing on all cylinders’. Iran and Oman inch closer to a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz with the pact reportedly granting Tehran control over entry rights to the waterway.   See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

High investment costs outweigh SpaceX’s earnings beat with investors concerned about AI capex doubling from the previous quarter. Asian equities are in the green, following fresh record highs on Wall Street yesterday. Oil retreats as U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent tells CNBC he sees movement in opening the Strait of Hormuz. In pharma news, Novo Nordisk shares dive in the U.S. session despite the drug maker hiking its guidance due to investor fears over sales of its Wegovy fat loss pill.   See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

BP reports earnings amid continued price volatility and the company looks to market its North Sea assets. President Trump says talks with Iran have resumed despite Tehran denying the two sides are negotiating. Oil inches higher following a three-week low and President Trump slams IOCs for windfall profits in the sector and urges retail price cuts. The White House is due to host top A.I. company bosses later today to discuss cyber security as Palantir CEO Alex Karp attacks the leading labs over data protection. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Oil prices slump after President Trump announces new Iran talks are imminent, citing pressure from Gulf allies to hold off on a massive round of airstrikes. European and U.S. futures are in the green ahead of the first trading session of August. In Japan, the yen stabilises after U.S. and Japanese authorities confirm joint market intervention. Reports emerge of a $400bn mega-merger between AstraZeneca and Bristol Myers-Squibb which would potentially be one of the largest deals in the pharma sector ever.   See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Kospi rollercoaster continues - Korea's main stock index records its best day ever as SK Hynix and Samsung increase their valuations by more than a quarter. The Nasdaq breaks a 6-day losing streak as Microsoft adds the most to its market cap in a single day of any company, ever. Elsewhere, the Bank of England delivers its fifth hold in a row, with the MPC voting 6 to 3 to keep rates unchanged. And Italian defence giant Leonardo upgrades its profit and order forecasts for the year as new contracts surge 45-percent in the first half.

American equities plummet  and borrowing costs hit their highest in nearly two decades as investors find little to like in the Fed's fifth 'hold' in a row. But, Chairman Warsh hints that a hike could be on the way. Elsewhere, investors digest a mixed bag of tech earnings from across the pond. Microsoft's cloud growth accelerates at its fastest pace in nearly five years, but Meta takes a hit as Mark Zuckerberg doubles down on AI spending. And strong EV demand boosts Renault sales in the first half, as the French carmaker withstands pressure from its Chinese peers.

Another day, another circuit breaker on the Kospi: AI capex fears spill across Asian equity markets, on the back of a five-percent slump in Nvidia shares that sees Apple regain its crown as the world's most valuable public company. In other news, oil prices extend yesterday's declines amid hopes for some kind of resolution to the Iran conflict. LVMH gets a lift as sales inch higher in the second quarter, with US strength helping the company to shrug off weaker demand in Europe. And Mercedes-Benz sees a boost in second quarter operating profit but warns of intense competition and subdued demand in China. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Oil prices plunge as Iran reportedly says it will hold off on strikes as long as the US does the same, while Trump advisers fear over munitions supplies. Calming hostilities in the Middle East helps lift equity futures on both sides of the Atlantic - investors brace for a big week of corporate earnings and central bank decisions. Elsewhere, CXMT becomes the biggest China-listed company by total market cap in its blockbuster IPO - surging more than 500-percent in Shanghai. And French President Emmanuel Macron is set to hold a crisis cabinet meeting today, as hundreds of thousands of people are displaced as wildfires tear across France and Spain. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Middle East concerns push Brent to $100 a barrel while equity and debt markets see sell-offs on both sides of the Atlantic. European stocks suffer their biggest losses in a fortnight with German yields spiking to their highest level in 15 years. President Trump launches his latest round of tariffs with most major trading partners affected. Eu foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas has called the measures a ‘negative surprise’. German software giant SAP pares back its FY guidance but its cloud order backlog is up by 26 per cent. Meanwhile, VW shares are lower in pre-market sales after the car maker predicted 2026 sales to fall by 3 per cent. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Alphabet shares pare back overnight as investors scrutinise its ever-increasing capex plans. Tesla is also down after missing on earnings while free cash flow turns negative. Elsewhere, Unicredit raises its outlook after posting a beat on both the top and bottom lines as CEO Andrea Orcel tells CNBC the bank is firing on all cylinders. And forex headwinds take a bite out of Roche's first half sales, but the Swiss drugmaker confirms its full-year targets. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

UK inflation data hits the tape - new Prime Minister Andy Burnham vows to practice fiscal discipline, scrapping VAT on electricity bills and facing calls to extend tax breaks for young workers. Elsewhere. three tankers carrying Saudi oil are forced to U-turn in the Red Sea amid Houthi threats, as a new front opens up in the US-Iran conflict. On the tech front, Samsung is reportedly in talks to invest up to 1 billion euros in French AI firm Mistral. And Santander says it's on track to meet its targets for the year after underlying net profit jumps by nearly a fifth amid higher revenues. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

New UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham pledges immediate action on the cost of living: scrapping VAT from electricity bills. That, after announcing John Healey as his surprise pick for Chancellor. Elsewhere, Yemen's Houthis impose a naval embargo on Saudi Arabia, while President Trump warns Iran "will pay" for the deaths of US soldiers. And Novartis reaffirms its guidance after beating on the top and bottom lines, with second quarter net sales coming in at almost 14-and-a-half billion dollars. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Andy Burnham is set to enter No. 10 later today to become the UK’s fifth prime minister in 4 years. We are live at Downing Street for the latest. Brent crude surpasses $90 per barrel, up 2.9 per cent in session as the U.S. targets Iran for a ninth consecutive night. Three U.S. troops have been confirmed dead following Iranian retaliatory strikes in Jordan and Iraq. Ryanair posts a miss for the first quarter, down by more than a third on the year. Passenger revenue slumps and jet fuel spikes with prices trending lower in the current quarter.   See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Asian markets suffer a sell-off as jitters over the AI rally persist Stateside. The U.S. hits Iran for a sixth consecutive day, targeting bridges in the south while Tehran retaliates with a barrage of missile strikes at U.S. positions across the Gulf. The handover process of power within the UK Labour party begins today with Andy Burnham set to take over as Prime Minister on Monday. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Taiwanese chip giant TSMC smashes another record with an 80 per cent surge in Q2 net profits on the building wave of demand for its AI processors. Further exchanges of fire between the U.S. and Iran in the Persian Gulf could reportedly prompt President Trump to expand operations in the region. Trump remains confident the conflict can be concluded in the near future. Sterling hits a yearly high despite reports incoming prime minister Andy Burnham is set to make Shabana Mahmood Chancellor of the Exchequer as Sir Keir Starmer attends his final PMQs. UK GDP for May ekes out growth of 1.3 per cent year-on-year. However, May manufacturing is down by 1.8 per cent year-on-year. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

ASML smashes Q2 estimates and hikes its FY guidance as huge A.I. demand offsets disappointing performance in the Chinese market. President Trump reverses his call for fees on tankers leaving the Strait of Hormuz under U.S. naval protection following investment pledges from GCC nations as a means of compensation. U.S. CPI slows more than expected as energy prices fall. Newly appointed Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh makes his first Congressional appearance and promises to keep his position independent from the White House while bringing down inflation. In luxury news, Richemont enjoys a 20 per cent boost in sales, beating estimates from Q1 with strong growth seen across the Americas and Asia. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The U.S. and Iran trade strikes for a third consecutive night with President Trump declaring American forces are blockading the Strait of Hormuz and demanding a 20 per cent levy on all cargo. Trump says he remains positive on being able to reach a peace deal with Tehran. The renewed conflict pushes Brent to its biggest one-day surge since the Covid pandemic. The UK and Switzerland sign a services trade deal ahead of Rachel Reeves’ last Mansion House speech under Keir Starmer’s premiership. We speak top Trade Minister Chris Bryant who predicts the incoming Burnham government will seek ever-closer ties with the European Union. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Crude prices rise as the U.S. and Iran exchange fire with both sides claiming control over the Strait of Hormuz. SK Hynix shares fall in Asian markets following the chip maker’s $26bn U.S. ADR listing. Tech selling and Middle East uncertainty push Asian equities lower and trigger circuit-breakers on South Korea’s KOSPI. European futures are also in the red following a four-day winning streak. Nippon Paints offers to buy Akzo Nobel’s decorative paints arm for €7.5bn following a previous rebuttal for the Dulux-maker’s entire business. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

SK Hynix’s U.S. listing raises $26.5bn with investor demand said to be seven times oversubscribed. The Nasdaq listing is the largest by a foreign company on Wall Street. Technical talks between Washington and Tehran are ongoing despite this week’s tit-for-tat attacks. Crude is set to break a four-week losing streak with the recent tensions threatening to trigger concerns about supply from the Gulf. In Germany, Volkswagen cuts capacity and slashes its model line-up in half but pulls back from announcing 100k job cuts as it faces worker and union protests at its car plant in Zwickau.   See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The U.S. and Iran exchange fire for a second day with President Trump threatening to increase the intensity of airstrikes. Kuwait and Bahrain suffer retaliatory attacks on U.S. bases while Qatar upgrades its security alertness. Speaking at the NATO summit, President Trump tells CNBC the conflict will not escalate into all-out war, insisting Washington’s objective is to prevent Tehran obtaining a nuclear weapon. Despite Trump’s declaration the MOU with Iran is over, markets remain sanguine. However, Brent nudges closer towards the $80-mark. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The U.S. targets Iran with fresh airstrikes and revokes its license to sell crude oil after attacks tankers in the Strait of Hormuz. In response, Iran fires missiles at U.S. bases in Bahrain and Kuwait. We are live at the NATO summit in Ankara where President Trump again raises the Greenland question and threatens to pull all troops out of Europe over allies’ defence spending. However, NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte tells CNBC Trump’s pressure on alliance members over funding has delivered big results. European leaders concur that spending into the bloc must be increased as the war in the Gulf has left the alliance on high alert while the Ukraine conflict nears a pivotal moment. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

We are live in Ankara where NATO leaders are gathering for the bloc’s annual summit. The focus is again on the U.S. commitment and allies’ increased spending. Secretary General Marc Rutte insists there is unity and coordination from all members. The U.S. Ambassador to NATO Matthew Whitaker tells CNBC Washington does want the organisation to succeed but allies’ defence spending must ‘keep pace’. Stellar preliminary earnings from Samsung send jitters through Asian markets, causing a circuit-breaker on South Korea’s KOSPI as investors sell off.   See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Crude prices are stable following last week’s drop below pre-Iran war levels, as Opec+ nations agree to increase production. ECB Governing Council Member and Central Bank of Ireland Governor Gabriel Makhlouf tells CNBC fall in prices will not be felt though any relief inflation just yet. Speaking to CNBC at the Rencontres Économiques d’Aix-en-Provence, EU Industry Commissioner Stéphane Séjourné insisted the bloc must defend its strategic interests in the face of growing geo-political threats. EasyJet has reached an ‘agreement in principle’ with U.S. investment company Castlelake which is set to acquire the UK budget airline in a deal worth an estimated $5.5bn. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

President Trump sits down for an exclusive interview with out colleagues Stateside and defends the conflict in Iran, accusing Tehran of exploiting prior administrations over the past 47 years. Trump also said markets backed his intervention. U.S. jobs growth slowed in June with just 57, 000 non-farm positions added. U.S. and European markets have now downgraded expectations of a rate hike. Europe’s Stoxx 600 notches a fresh record high and futures also remain in the green for the end of the week. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

New Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh speaks to CNBC at the ECB Forum in Sintra that the U.S. central bank will be looking at overhauling how it conducts monetary policy but insists that bringing down inflation will be his primary objective. OpenAI has reportedly hinted it may give a 5 per cent to the U.S. government in a bid to curry favour with the White House. Oil slumps to four-month lows after negotiators claim indirect U.S.-Iran talks have progressed well in Doha. Further talks may proceed as early as next week. And we are live at Canary Wharf with Squawk On The Road. We hear from Canary Wharf CEO Shobi Khan tells CNBC that despite global turmoil and presumptive Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s plans to shake up Westminster, London still remains a haven of stability for business. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Europe and Wall Street notch their best quarter since 2020 with tech and A.I. stocks leading the gains. The energy sector continues to suffer amid Middle East uncertainty. The euro zone’s largest economies see June inflation slowing but Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey tells CNBC he is frustrated the conflict with Iran is still keeping prices high. We are live at the ECB Forum in Sintra hosting a headline panel. New Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is due to speak as well. U.S. peace envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff arrive in Doha for negotiations but direct talks with Iran remain off the agenda for now. Meanwhile, Tehran says it is selling oil with a 20 per cent mark-up following the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.   See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

We are live at the Sintra Forum where ECB President Christine Lagarde has backed the central bank’s decision to hike rates in June as necessary to rein in inflation. However, Lagarde insists ‘unconventional instruments’ are no longer needed since the last inflation shock. The U.S. Supreme Court has ruled that President Trump does not currently have the power to remove Federal Reserve governor Lisa Cook over allegations of mortgage fraud but could be granted them in the future. The U.S. and Iran present mixed messages ahead of peace talks in Doha. President Trump has reiterated his claim that the war has been won. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The U.S.-Iran peace deal falters over the weekend but a U.S. official tells CNBC hostilities have abated with talks set to resume in Doha tomorrow. European and U.S. futures are up on de-escalation hopes but crude prices hover around the $70 per barrel mark. In autos news, Volkswagen announces it will cut 100,000 jobs. We hear from the CEO of Germany’s state-owned bank KfW Stefan Wintels who says the country is undergoing an industrial transformation. And in the UK, prime minister-designate Andy Burnham is to outline his economic outlook in Manchester today with devolution and a restructuring of Westminster to be top of the agenda. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

European equities end the week as Asian markets continue to sell off sharply. Apple and Microsoft announce price rises as the A.I. race constrains chip supplies and prompts concern over higher inflation. The UN’s International Maritime Organisation suspends vessel escort operations through the Strait of Hormuz following an attack on a container ship in the Gulf of Oman. U.S. officials have blamed Iran as the peace deal comes under early pressure. Following the resignation of UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer, we hear from UK opposition party leaders who cast doubt on whether a potential Burnham-led government can turn around the country’s economic fortunes. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Equities in Asia are boosted by the chip sector through positive earnings from Micron and SK Hynix’s announcement it plans a $30bn listing on the Nasdaq. Brent dips to levels last seen before the conflict in the Gulf as the Strait of Hormuz reopens. Futures indicate the world may soon be facing an oil glut. UK Prime Minister in waiting Andy Burnham is reportedly planning an overhaul of No.10 and the Treasury as part of his economic reform agenda. He is also seeking to overhaul the Bank of England’s mandate to push more demand on growth.   See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The global tech sell-off continues with U.S. memory and A.I. related companies firmly in the red as investors reassess the A.I. boom. Micron is set to deliver its results later today. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to its highest level since the start of the conflict in late February and U.S. President Donald Trump accuses oil companies of not lowering gas pump prices in line with falling crude. Secretary of State Marco Rubio lands in the UAE to reassure Arab allies since the Iran deal signing. Bank of America forecasts a triple hike from the Federal Reserve this year – up from its previous guidance of no hikes in 2026. It has slammed the central bank of its ‘unambiguously worse’ problem with inflation.   See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Britain will have a seventh prime minister in a decade following yesterday’s resignation by Sir Keir Starmer. Newly elected Makerfield MP Andy Burnham could be handed the keys to No.10 in less than a month time should no challenger step forward. SpaceX sheds almost half a trillion dollars of its market cap in Monday’s session with further sell-offs seen among other tech mega-caps. South Korea’s KOSPI triggers circuit breakers during the Asian session with Wall Street braced for more tech losses today. U.S. Vice President JD Vance hails peace talks with Iran in Switzerland as Washington waives sanctions on Iranian oil exports for 60 days. However, Tehran disputes claims it will be providing international nuclear inspectors access to its operations. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Peace talks between the U.S. and Iran conclude in Switzerland for the time being with an agreement to reach a final deal within 60 days. The talks had been hampered by President Trump’s renewed threats to strike Iran and Tehran’s resealing of the Strait of Hormuz. Crude prices tumble following Iran’s announcement it would be resuming oil and petrochemical exports. Asian equities bounce on the news, led by Japan’s Nikkei index. Under-pressure UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer could announce his resignation as early as today with increasing numbers of Labour MPs calling for him to quit. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Andy Burnham wins the Makerfield by-election, returning him to Parliament and setting up a leadership challenge against U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer. In geopolitics, U.S.-Iran talks today are called off after U.S. Vice President JD Vance cancels his trip to Switzerland, as the administration hits back at criticism of the deal from both sides of the aisle. Meanwhile, OPEC welcomes an interim agreement between the U.S. and Iran, pushing back on forecasts of a supply glut following the conflict. Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais tells CNBC exclusively that OPEC still has the power to manage the market. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The U.S. and Iran both sign their MOU for their peace framework. Crude prices tumble with hopes growing that the Strait of Hormuz will now re-open. President Trump warns the U.S. will reserve the right to retaliate should Tehran violate the deal. The Federal Reserve holds rates steady during Kevin Warsh’s first decision as chairman of the central bank, but officials say hikes loom later in the year. Warsh said his key concern is to bring inflation back to its 2 per cent target. The CEOs of Anthropic, Google and DeepMind have led calls for a U.S.-led AI coalition for the sector. Tech executives and world leaders have convened at the G7 summit in Evian, France where French President Emmanuel Macron warned against nationalistic policies within the sector. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

More details of the U.S.-Iran peace agreement framework have been revealed with reports of a $300bn investment fund for Tehran along with renewed export capacities. We are live at the G7 summit in Evian, France where President Trump has said the deal also guaranteed Iran would no longer possess nuclear armament capabilities. A.I. and security are also in focus at the G7 with various top tech executives due to attend amid the fallout from the White House’s export control of Anthropic’s latest model. We are also live at the Vivatech conference in Paris where A.I. access and strategic autonomy will dominate the agenda. In the U.S., the Fed awaits its first decision under new chairman Kevin Warsh with the future of forward guidance crucial to the central bank.   See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.