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The Loonie Hour

The Loonie Hour

Steve Saretsky

The Loonie Hour is a Canadian based macro economic podcast covering newsworthy events across the globe and how they will impact Canadians.

260 - Central Banks Commit to Raising Rates into an Energy Crisis
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  • 260 - Central Banks Commit to Raising Rates into an Energy Crisis

    Central banks are turning increasingly hawkish as an escalating global energy crisis keeps inflation under pressure. We'll break down why policymakers are committing to higher interest rates even as the underlying inflation problem is increasingly driven by energy supply. They discuss the latest moves from the Fed and European central banks, rising global bond yields, surging oil and fuel costs, and what it could mean for Canadian mortgage rates. Meanwhile, Canada’s housing market remains frozen, with national home sales falling to their lowest year-to-date level since 2003.


    Join Us For The Loonie Hour Investor Series - With Ben Rabidoux, Live In Ottawa on October 13th!


    Get Your Tickets Here:

    https://www.eventbrite.com/e/the-loonie-hour-investor-series-with-ben-rabidoux-october-13th-tickets-2000313438341


    Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings!

    For Mortgage Brokers: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour-brokers

    For Investors and Advisors: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour


    Check Out True North Mortgage's 40-Year Amortization Plan:

    Visit https://www.truenorthmortgage.ca/ today!


    Schedule an exploration call with IceCap Asset Management: https://icecapassetmanagement.com/contact/


    ✉️ Media & Real Estate Inquiries: steve@stevesaretsky.com


    Stay up to date with our information -

    📫 My Real Estate Substack:

    https://stevesaretsky.substack.com

    📫 The Loonie Hour Substack:

    https://looniehour.substack.com/about


    📊➡️ Loonie Hour Socials: https://linktr.ee/looniehour


    🎙️ Listen to the Podcast on Your Preferred Platform:

    https://linktr.ee/looniehour


    Timestamps:

    00:00 Introduction

    06:52 Canada Housing Hits a 23-Year Low

    09:34 Housing Inventory & Cancelled Listings

    11:11 Housing Starts Keep Falling

    13:18 What Happened to the 500,000 Homes?

    14:03 Should Canada Keep the Foreign Buyer Ban?

    18:38 Canada’s Massive Investment Push

    20:16 Canada Cuts Investment Taxes

    22:55 Breaking Down the $500B Investment Commitment

    24:53 Where Are the Foreign Investors?

    27:13 Canada’s Biggest New Investment Projects

    30:27 Did Trump Force Canada to Change Course?

    34:24 Canada Embraces Energy Again

    38:04 Why Investment Will Take Years to Materialize

    42:26 Central Banks Turn Hawkish

    46:22 Could the Bank of Canada Raise Rates?

    48:02 Higher Rates Won’t Fix Energy Inflation

    51:00 Global Bond Markets Under Pressure

    56:12 The Global Energy Crisis Deepens

    58:43 The World Is Running Out of Energy Capacity

    01:01:07 Oil Tanker Costs Explode

    01:02:19 Canadian Mortgage Rates Under Pressure

    01:05:06 Mortgage Arrears Hit a Decade High

    01:06:18 Canada & the European Union

    01:09:49 Canada Already Has an EU Trade Deal

    01:11:03 Europe’s Sovereign Debt Risks

    01:12:28 Would Canadians Actually Move to Europe?


    Disclaimer:

    The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.


    #LoonieHour #macroeconomics #centralbank

    Fri, 18 Sep 2026 - 1h 15min
  • 259 - Could the US Sanction Canadian Banks Next? w/ guest Ben Rabidoux

    Ben Rabidoux joins the show to break down the latest housing data, rising mortgage rates, record mortgage renewals, the ongoing shifting in economic alliances, and why delinquencies could continue climbing through 2027 and beyond. We also discuss the escalating Canada–U.S. trade dispute, inflation risks, rising global bond yields, weakness across several provincial housing markets, and how Canada’s booming energy sector might be helping keep government finances and mortgage rates under control.


    Join Us For The Loonie Hour Investor Series - With Ben Rabidoux, Live In Ottawa on October 13th!


    Get Your Tickets Here:

    https://www.eventbrite.com/e/the-loonie-hour-investor-series-with-ben-rabidoux-october-13th-tickets-2000313438341


    Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings!

    For Mortgage Brokers: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour-brokers

    For Investors and Advisors: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour


    Subscribe to Ben Rabidoux's Edge Analytics and Save $10/month forever!

    https://www.edgeanalytics.ca/lh39


    Check Out True North Mortgage's 40-Year Amortization Plan:

    Visit https://www.truenorthmortgage.ca/ today!


    Schedule an exploration call with IceCap Asset Management: https://icecapassetmanagement.com/contact/


    ✉️ Media & Real Estate Inquiries: steve@stevesaretsky.com


    Stay up to date with our information -

    📫 My Real Estate Substack:

    https://stevesaretsky.substack.com

    📫 The Loonie Hour Substack:

    https://looniehour.substack.com/about


    📊➡️ Loonie Hour Socials: https://linktr.ee/looniehour


    🎙️ Listen to the Podcast on Your Preferred Platform:

    https://linktr.ee/looniehour


    Timestamps:

    00:00 Introduction

    08:12 Is Canada’s Housing Market Bottoming?

    11:27 Mortgage Rates Are Moving Higher

    16:05 When Will Bonds Become Attractive Again?

    18:19 Bank of Canada Rate Hikes Are Coming

    20:04 Inflation Expectations Matter

    23:35 Europe Is Raising Rates Again

    25:22 The Next Wave of Inflation

    30:02 Canada’s Regional Housing Markets

    31:40 Canada’s Rental Market Will Stay Weak

    32:54 Canada-U.S. Trade War Escalates

    35:01 Mortgage Delinquencies Hit Record Highs

    37:16 The Mortgage Renewal Wave Is Here

    40:16 Canada’s Economy Faces More Pressure

    41:44 The Risk To Canadian Banks

    44:58 Canada’s Money Laundering Problem

    49:40 How Iranian Capital Can Enter Canada

    53:09 Good News For Canada

    53:31 Foreign Investors Are Buying Canadian Bonds

    54:28 Oil & Gas Is Helping Balance Canada’s Budget

    56:08 Is Canada Becoming More Pro-Energy?

    58:35 Canada’s Politically Charged Environment

    01:02:38 Bank of Canada Rate Predictions


    Disclaimer:

    The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.


    #LoonieHour #macroeconomics #bondmarket

    Fri, 11 Sep 2026 - 1h 04min
  • 258 - Surging Bond Yields Will Delay Housing Recovery

    Global bond markets are flashing warning signs as long-term yields surge across Japan, the UK, France, and other major economies, raising new concerns about government debt, inflation, and financial stability. Meanwhile, Canada’s housing market remains under pressure, Vancouver records its slowest August sales since 2012, and rising energy prices could complicate the outlook for inflation and interest rates within the country.


    Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings!

    For Mortgage Brokers: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour-brokers

    For Investors and Advisors: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour


    Schedule an exploration call with IceCap Asset Management: https://icecapassetmanagement.com/contact/


    ✉️ Media & Real Estate Inquiries: steve@stevesaretsky.com


    Stay up to date with our information -

    📫 My Real Estate Substack:

    https://stevesaretsky.substack.com

    📫 The Loonie Hour Substack:

    https://looniehour.substack.com/about


    📊➡️ Loonie Hour Socials: https://linktr.ee/looniehour


    🎙️ Listen to the Podcast on Your Preferred Platform:

    https://linktr.ee/looniehour


    Timestamps:

    00:00 Introduction

    05:14 Vancouver Housing Sales Hit 2012 Lows

    09:48 Builders Get Aggressive on Prices

    14:56 Rent Controls & Canada’s Housing Supply

    22:46 Why Rent Controls Don’t Work

    27:50 Bank of Canada & Interest Rates

    30:36 Central Banks Talk Tough on Inflation

    38:01 Global Bond Yields Are Surging

    41:39 Is a Sovereign Debt Crisis Coming?

    43:15 The Ultimate Bond Market Bear Trap

    45:38 Canada’s GDP Gets Revised Higher

    47:55 Could the Bank of Canada Raise Rates?

    51:15 The Overlooked Energy Trade

    52:55 Russia-Ukraine Energy Infrastructure Attacks

    56:32 Global Oil & Natural Gas Supply Tightens

    59:38 The Bull Case for Commodities

    01:01:50 Energy Prices Are Spiking

    01:04:36 The Opportunity in Higher Oil Prices


    Disclaimer:

    The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.


    #LoonieHour #macroeconomics #bondmarket

    Fri, 04 Sep 2026 - 1h 07min
  • 257 - Trade Wars & Bubbles: What's Next?

    We are joined by chief economist Peter Berezin at BCA Research to discuss the intensifying trade wars, the AI Boom, and the sovereign debt bubble.


    Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings!

    For Mortgage Brokers: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour-brokers

    For Investors and Advisors: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour


    Check out Saily at https://www.saily.com/looniehour and use our promo code 'LOONIEHOUR' to get 15% off your first purchase!


    Schedule an exploration call with IceCap Asset Management: https://icecapassetmanagement.com/contact/


    ✉️ Media & Real Estate Inquiries: steve@stevesaretsky.com


    Stay up to date with our information -

    📫 My Real Estate Substack:

    https://stevesaretsky.substack.com

    📫 The Loonie Hour Substack:

    https://looniehour.substack.com/about


    📊➡️ Loonie Hour Socials: https://linktr.ee/looniehour


    🎙️ Listen to the Podcast on Your Preferred Platform:

    https://linktr.ee/looniehour


    Timestamps:

    00:00 Introduction

    04:29 Canada-US Trade Deal Falls Apart

    05:59 Carney Moves Closer to Europe

    08:20 What Happens Without a Trade Deal?

    11:13 Is This Really About Canada or China?

    12:21 Peter Berezin Joins the Show

    13:33 Economic Impact of the Canada-U.S. Trade War

    15:20 Could Canada Actually Win?

    17:09 Risk of Canada Losing Manufacturing

    17:49 Could More Stimulus Be Coming?

    19:36 Canada's Productivity Problem

    22:22 How Canada Can Turn Things Around

    24:05 How Transformational Will AI Really Be?

    26:26 The Massive AI Spending Boom

    27:37 AI's $10 Trillion Revenue Problem

    30:26 Are Corporate Margins Sustainable?

    33:40 AI Agents, Stablecoins & Crypto

    35:06 Why Long-Term Bond Yields Keep Rising

    37:50 The Growing Government Debt Problem

    40:06 Fed Liquidity & Quantitative Easing

    41:20 Stock Market Outlook

    42:14 Peter's Portfolio

    43:39 Inside Goldman Sachs During the 2008 Crisis

    45:57 Current Investment Opportunities?

    49:08 Final Thoughts on Peter Berezin

    51:05 The Coming Food Inflation Problem

    54:50 Are We Entering a Commodity Boom?

    55:35 Could the Bank of Canada Cut Rates?

    58:21 Final Thoughts


    Disclaimer:

    The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.


    #LoonieHour #macroeconomics #tradewar

    Fri, 28 Aug 2026 - 59min
  • 256 - The Sovereign Debt Crisis Accelerates

    The U.S. Treasury is taking steps that could help suppress long-term interest rates as exploding government debt and interest costs put increasing pressure on the financial system. We break down what this shift means for bonds, the U.S. dollar, commodities, Canadian housing and global markets. We also touch on Canada-U.S. trade, the Churchill Falls energy deal, rising diesel prices, Argentina, various speculative assets like crypto and Bitcoin skyrocketing, and the worsening economic slowdown in China.


    Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings!

    For Mortgage Brokers: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour-brokers

    For Investors and Advisors: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour


    Check out Saily at https://www.saily.com/looniehour and use our promo code 'LOONIEHOUR' to get 15% off your first purchase!


    Schedule an exploration call with IceCap Asset Management: https://icecapassetmanagement.com/contact/


    ✉️ Media & Real Estate Inquiries: steve@stevesaretsky.com


    Stay up to date with our information -

    📫 My Real Estate Substack:

    https://stevesaretsky.substack.com

    📫 The Loonie Hour Substack:

    https://looniehour.substack.com/about


    📊➡️ Loonie Hour Socials: https://linktr.ee/looniehour


    🎙️ Listen to the Podcast on Your Preferred Platform:

    https://linktr.ee/looniehour


    Timestamps:

    00:00 Introduction

    08:21 Canadian Housing Update

    13:22 Mortgage Rates and Housing Risk

    16:04 Canada-U.S. Trade Deal

    17:48 Churchill Falls Energy Megadeal

    26:53 The U.S. Bond Market Intervention

    30:58 How the Treasury Is Suppressing Long Rates

    35:53 America’s Exploding Interest Costs

    40:36 Canada’s Debt Problem

    46:37 What Higher Rates Would Do to Housing

    50:48 Commodities vs Financial Repression

    54:17 The Commodity Supercycle

    56:50 Diesel Prices Are Surging

    57:57 Argentina and the Currency Crisis

    01:02:52 China’s Economy Is Getting Worse

    01:07:25 Global Macro Trends Are Strengthening

    01:08:03 Canada Inflation Update

    01:08:45 Closing Thoughts


    Disclaimer:

    The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.


    #LoonieHour #macroeconomics #globaldebt

    Fri, 21 Aug 2026 - 1h 09min
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