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- 260 - Central Banks Commit to Raising Rates into an Energy Crisis
Central banks are turning increasingly hawkish as an escalating global energy crisis keeps inflation under pressure. We'll break down why policymakers are committing to higher interest rates even as the underlying inflation problem is increasingly driven by energy supply. They discuss the latest moves from the Fed and European central banks, rising global bond yields, surging oil and fuel costs, and what it could mean for Canadian mortgage rates. Meanwhile, Canada’s housing market remains frozen, with national home sales falling to their lowest year-to-date level since 2003.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
06:52 Canada Housing Hits a 23-Year Low
09:34 Housing Inventory & Cancelled Listings
11:11 Housing Starts Keep Falling
13:18 What Happened to the 500,000 Homes?
14:03 Should Canada Keep the Foreign Buyer Ban?
18:38 Canada’s Massive Investment Push
20:16 Canada Cuts Investment Taxes
22:55 Breaking Down the $500B Investment Commitment
24:53 Where Are the Foreign Investors?
27:13 Canada’s Biggest New Investment Projects
30:27 Did Trump Force Canada to Change Course?
34:24 Canada Embraces Energy Again
38:04 Why Investment Will Take Years to Materialize
42:26 Central Banks Turn Hawkish
46:22 Could the Bank of Canada Raise Rates?
48:02 Higher Rates Won’t Fix Energy Inflation
51:00 Global Bond Markets Under Pressure
56:12 The Global Energy Crisis Deepens
58:43 The World Is Running Out of Energy Capacity
01:01:07 Oil Tanker Costs Explode
01:02:19 Canadian Mortgage Rates Under Pressure
01:05:06 Mortgage Arrears Hit a Decade High
01:06:18 Canada & the European Union
01:09:49 Canada Already Has an EU Trade Deal
01:11:03 Europe’s Sovereign Debt Risks
01:12:28 Would Canadians Actually Move to Europe?
Disclaimer:
The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.
#LoonieHour #macroeconomics #centralbank
Fri, 18 Sep 2026 - 1h 15min - 259 - Could the US Sanction Canadian Banks Next? w/ guest Ben Rabidoux
Ben Rabidoux joins the show to break down the latest housing data, rising mortgage rates, record mortgage renewals, the ongoing shifting in economic alliances, and why delinquencies could continue climbing through 2027 and beyond. We also discuss the escalating Canada–U.S. trade dispute, inflation risks, rising global bond yields, weakness across several provincial housing markets, and how Canada’s booming energy sector might be helping keep government finances and mortgage rates under control.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
08:12 Is Canada’s Housing Market Bottoming?
11:27 Mortgage Rates Are Moving Higher
16:05 When Will Bonds Become Attractive Again?
18:19 Bank of Canada Rate Hikes Are Coming
20:04 Inflation Expectations Matter
23:35 Europe Is Raising Rates Again
25:22 The Next Wave of Inflation
30:02 Canada’s Regional Housing Markets
31:40 Canada’s Rental Market Will Stay Weak
32:54 Canada-U.S. Trade War Escalates
35:01 Mortgage Delinquencies Hit Record Highs
37:16 The Mortgage Renewal Wave Is Here
40:16 Canada’s Economy Faces More Pressure
41:44 The Risk To Canadian Banks
44:58 Canada’s Money Laundering Problem
49:40 How Iranian Capital Can Enter Canada
53:09 Good News For Canada
53:31 Foreign Investors Are Buying Canadian Bonds
54:28 Oil & Gas Is Helping Balance Canada’s Budget
56:08 Is Canada Becoming More Pro-Energy?
58:35 Canada’s Politically Charged Environment
01:02:38 Bank of Canada Rate Predictions
Disclaimer:
The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.
#LoonieHour #macroeconomics #bondmarket
Fri, 11 Sep 2026 - 1h 04min - 258 - Surging Bond Yields Will Delay Housing Recovery
Global bond markets are flashing warning signs as long-term yields surge across Japan, the UK, France, and other major economies, raising new concerns about government debt, inflation, and financial stability. Meanwhile, Canada’s housing market remains under pressure, Vancouver records its slowest August sales since 2012, and rising energy prices could complicate the outlook for inflation and interest rates within the country.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
05:14 Vancouver Housing Sales Hit 2012 Lows
09:48 Builders Get Aggressive on Prices
14:56 Rent Controls & Canada’s Housing Supply
22:46 Why Rent Controls Don’t Work
27:50 Bank of Canada & Interest Rates
30:36 Central Banks Talk Tough on Inflation
38:01 Global Bond Yields Are Surging
41:39 Is a Sovereign Debt Crisis Coming?
43:15 The Ultimate Bond Market Bear Trap
45:38 Canada’s GDP Gets Revised Higher
47:55 Could the Bank of Canada Raise Rates?
51:15 The Overlooked Energy Trade
52:55 Russia-Ukraine Energy Infrastructure Attacks
56:32 Global Oil & Natural Gas Supply Tightens
59:38 The Bull Case for Commodities
01:01:50 Energy Prices Are Spiking
01:04:36 The Opportunity in Higher Oil Prices
Disclaimer:
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#LoonieHour #macroeconomics #bondmarket
Fri, 04 Sep 2026 - 1h 07min - 257 - Trade Wars & Bubbles: What's Next?
We are joined by chief economist Peter Berezin at BCA Research to discuss the intensifying trade wars, the AI Boom, and the sovereign debt bubble.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
04:29 Canada-US Trade Deal Falls Apart
05:59 Carney Moves Closer to Europe
08:20 What Happens Without a Trade Deal?
11:13 Is This Really About Canada or China?
12:21 Peter Berezin Joins the Show
13:33 Economic Impact of the Canada-U.S. Trade War
15:20 Could Canada Actually Win?
17:09 Risk of Canada Losing Manufacturing
17:49 Could More Stimulus Be Coming?
19:36 Canada's Productivity Problem
22:22 How Canada Can Turn Things Around
24:05 How Transformational Will AI Really Be?
26:26 The Massive AI Spending Boom
27:37 AI's $10 Trillion Revenue Problem
30:26 Are Corporate Margins Sustainable?
33:40 AI Agents, Stablecoins & Crypto
35:06 Why Long-Term Bond Yields Keep Rising
37:50 The Growing Government Debt Problem
40:06 Fed Liquidity & Quantitative Easing
41:20 Stock Market Outlook
42:14 Peter's Portfolio
43:39 Inside Goldman Sachs During the 2008 Crisis
45:57 Current Investment Opportunities?
49:08 Final Thoughts on Peter Berezin
51:05 The Coming Food Inflation Problem
54:50 Are We Entering a Commodity Boom?
55:35 Could the Bank of Canada Cut Rates?
58:21 Final Thoughts
Disclaimer:
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#LoonieHour #macroeconomics #tradewar
Fri, 28 Aug 2026 - 59min - 256 - The Sovereign Debt Crisis Accelerates
The U.S. Treasury is taking steps that could help suppress long-term interest rates as exploding government debt and interest costs put increasing pressure on the financial system. We break down what this shift means for bonds, the U.S. dollar, commodities, Canadian housing and global markets. We also touch on Canada-U.S. trade, the Churchill Falls energy deal, rising diesel prices, Argentina, various speculative assets like crypto and Bitcoin skyrocketing, and the worsening economic slowdown in China.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
08:21 Canadian Housing Update
13:22 Mortgage Rates and Housing Risk
16:04 Canada-U.S. Trade Deal
17:48 Churchill Falls Energy Megadeal
26:53 The U.S. Bond Market Intervention
30:58 How the Treasury Is Suppressing Long Rates
35:53 America’s Exploding Interest Costs
40:36 Canada’s Debt Problem
46:37 What Higher Rates Would Do to Housing
50:48 Commodities vs Financial Repression
54:17 The Commodity Supercycle
56:50 Diesel Prices Are Surging
57:57 Argentina and the Currency Crisis
01:02:52 China’s Economy Is Getting Worse
01:07:25 Global Macro Trends Are Strengthening
01:08:03 Canada Inflation Update
01:08:45 Closing Thoughts
Disclaimer:
The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.
#LoonieHour #macroeconomics #globaldebt
Fri, 21 Aug 2026 - 1h 09min - 255 - We Are Early in the Secular Bull Market- w/Guest Jim Thorne
We sit down with Jim Thorne, Chief Market Strategist at Wellington-Altus Private Wealth, where he believes that we are setting up for a Secular Bull Market coming up. We go through the global debt problem, and why AI could fuel a massive new investment cycle. Lastly, we'll touch on falling rates, explosive earnings growth, Bitcoin’s generational opportunity, and whether today’s technology boom ultimately ends like the dot-com bubble. We also discuss Canada’s economic challenges, a country deserving to be one of wealthiest in the world, yet decades of poor policy and underinvestment have left us falling behind.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
04:41 Introducing Jim Thorne
10:39 What Went Wrong With Canadian Finance?
13:45 Why Canada Is Falling Behind
16:04 Canada’s Natural Resource Problem
22:41 The Global Debt Problem
24:36 Canada Enters Secular Stagnation
29:01 The AI CAPEX Supercycle
33:15 What Happens to Canada and Europe?
34:43 Trump’s Economic Strategy
36:17 Carney Understands the Global Pivot?
38:37 The Problem With Canadian Banks
39:24 Canada’s Coming Structural Adjustment
44:21 Why Higher Rates Can Increase Inflation
45:19 The Fed’s Next Move
49:36 AI, Growth, and the Stock Market
50:19 Why Jim Thinks Bond Yields Fall
56:09 Trump, Crypto, and Tokenization
57:31 The Great Bond Debate
58:07 The Bitcoin Debasement Trade
58:31 “Bitcoin Is a Generational Opportunity”
01:00:40 Post-Interview Reaction
01:02:47 The End of the Keynesian Supercycle
01:05:08 America’s Exploding Interest Bill
01:06:00 Gold, Bitcoin, and Debasement
01:09:35 Can AI Solve the Demographic Problem?
01:11:24 America Is Sucking Capital From the World
01:12:31 The AI Agent Economy
01:13:51 Another Dot-Com Bubble?
01:15:27 Outro
Disclaimer:
The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.
#LoonieHour #macroeconomics #bullmarket
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 - 1h 16min - 254 - The Japanese Currency Crisis
Why is the US stepping in to help Japan, and what does it mean for Canadians? China’s multi-decade tax crackdown, and $2.7 billion in new federal funding for rental units - plus the latest data on Canadian housing and rate expectations.
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Timestamps:
0:00 Introduction
06:29 Canada’s Housing Market Still Struggling
09:24 Condo Inventory Is Finally Falling
10:50 Where Are Canadian Mortgage Rates Going?
14:58 Is the Housing Crisis Already Being Solved?
18:42 Canada’s Housing Affordability Is Improving
20:11 Is Canada Becoming a Nation of Renters?
23:06 China Launches a Global Tax Hunt
25:21 China’s Banking System Is in Trouble
29:55 Real Estate vs Gold as a Store of Wealth
33:04 Japan’s Yen Crisis Explodes
35:39 The U.S. Steps In to Help Japan
38:13 Why Global Bond Yields Are Rising
41:06 Why America Is Helping Japan
43:34 The U.S. Dollar “Escape Room”
47:15 Trump, Warsh and the Federal Reserve
49:09 Is the Treasury Manipulating the Yield Curve?
51:34 U.S. Housing Is Completely Frozen
53:28 The Politics Behind the Yen Intervention
55:22 Could Jackson Hole Bring a Major Policy Shift?
56:35 America’s 7% Mortgage Problem
58:31 Where Does the Yen Go From Here?
01:00:25 Gold Is Starting to Move Again
Disclaimer:
The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.
#LoonieHour #macroeconomics #federalreserve
Fri, 07 Aug 2026 - 1h 07min - 253 - Will the Bond Market Force Central Banks to Raise Rates?
The Federal Reserve is changing how it communicates with markets, and the ripple effects are being felt across bonds, currencies, housing, and equities. We break down Kevin Warsh’s shift away from forward guidance, why long-term Treasury yields continue to climb, and what it could mean for interest rates going forward. We also discuss New York’s proposed second-home tax and government-backed grocery stores, the escalating conflict between the US and Iran, Korea’s margin-call meltdown, growing weakness in the bond market, pressure on the Canadian dollar, and why the energy sector may present one of today’s most compelling investment opportunities.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
04:58 Canada’s Housing Bailouts Aren’t Working
09:14 Will Higher Taxes Drive Capital Away?
15:31 Canada’s Empty Homes Taxes
16:57 When Homeowners Are Forced to Sell
20:10 Could Canadian Housing Stagnate for a Decade?
21:51 Kevin Warsh’s New Federal Reserve
22:51 The End of Forward Guidance
24:44 Why the Fed May Raise Interest Rates
26:22 Is the US Dollar About to Explode Higher?
28:34 Quantitative Easing Never Really Ended
30:50 What to Expect at Jackson Hole
32:19 US 30-Year Treasury Yields Surge
33:49 Could Long-Term Rates Eventually Reach 20%?
37:02 America’s Growing Debt Wall
39:01 Why the Bond Market Keeps Deteriorating
41:48 The US-Iran War Escalates Again
42:44 Are We Already in World War III?
45:13 The Rotation Out of Technology Stocks
46:22 Korea’s Leveraged Investing Disaster
47:02 The AI Hedge Fund That Blew Up
50:59 The Market’s Back-to-Back Bubbles
52:15 Hedge Funds Turn Bearish on the Canadian Dollar
54:26 The Market’s Biggest Current Debate
55:12 US Mortgage Rates Reach a One-Year High
56:19 America’s Multifamily Housing Crisis
57:06 Cheap Money Created an Oversupply Problem
57:30 The Feds Inflated Home Prices
Disclaimer:
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#LoonieHour #macroeconomics #geopolitics
Fri, 31 Jul 2026 - 59min - 252 - The World Will Never be The Same with Guest Pippa Malmgren
Geopolitical Expert Dr. Pippa Malmgren breaks down what is really driving global markets, energy policy, and the massive geopolitical shifts happening right now.
We looked at why & why the US is reshaping global energy control, the tough choice Canada faces between old European ties and a changing American strategy, and where the global economy is heading next as tech, nuclear power, and space take over.
Visit Dr. Pippa Malmgren's Substack here:
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Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
07:43 Pippa Malmgren Joins the Show
10:21 The Nuclear Energy Revolution
11:44 Globalism Is Changing
14:44 Which Countries Are Embracing the Future?
20:56 What Canadians Are Missing About America
26:18 AI Is Creating a New Economic Model
28:44 Does Canada Discourage Risk-Taking?
33:51 The Arctic, Space & the New Global Economy
37:17 Data Centers Are Moving to Space
39:13 Small Modular Reactors & Unlimited Energy
43:36 Why Nuclear War Is No Longer an Option
46:30 China, Russia & the Push for Peace
50:30 What Happens After Trump Leaves?
53:35 Iran, Venezuela, Taiwan & Ukraine Are Connected
54:28 Moving the World Beyond Oil & Gas
55:45 Canada’s Identity Crisis
1:01:02 Establishment vs. Anti-Establishment
1:01:55 The World in 5–10 Years
1:05:52 What Rwanda Can Teach Canada
1:06:54 Canada Could Become a Space Nation?
Disclaimer:
The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.
#LoonieHour #canada #geopolitics
Fri, 24 Jul 2026 - 1h 10min - 251 - Canada's Energy Boom is Upon Us- w/guest Heather Exner-Pirot
Today, we are joined for the fourth time by energy and policy expert Heather Exner-Pirot to discuss Canada's dramatic shift in energy policy and what it means for the country's future. We break down the push to build new pipelines, the growing role of nuclear power and critical minerals, and why Ottawa is embracing major infrastructure projects after years of opposition. We also examine the Bank of Canada's latest interest rate decision, why policymakers are keeping a close eye on oil prices, and what it all means for inflation, housing, and the Canadian economy.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
05:10 Canada's Housing Market Conditions
07:21 Condos Are Still Struggling
15:14 Heather Exner-Pirot Joins The Show
16:51 Do We Have Our Next Pipeline?
27:05 Ottawa and Alberta's Oil
39:54 Oil Sands Story
43:53 Legal Risks for Future Pipelines
48:06 Canada's Nuclear Future
50:59 CANDU Nuclear Story
53:59 Canada's Critical Minerals
59:59 The Future of Canada's Energy Sector
1:03:11 Canada's Looming Electricity Issue
1:06:48 BOC Holds Rates
1:09:47 Higher Oil Prices Implications
1:13:01 Spending More With Debt
Disclaimer:
The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.
#LoonieHour #canada #macroeconomics
Fri, 17 Jul 2026 - 1h 24min - 250 - The Fiscal Bazooka is Coming- w/guest Kevin Muir
We're joined by macro strategist Kevin Muir—famously known online as The Macro Tourist—to break down the massive fiscal deficits pushing markets forward. We dive into the staggering reality of Canada’s new government-funded pipeline project, which is costing a massive $35B+ but driving up to 140,000 jobs.
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[10/07/26, 7:48:33 PM] ~ Jeff: Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
04:49 Oil, Iran, Pipelines, And More
08:24 Introducing Kevin Muir
13:10 Opposing Views
14:02 Will The Bank of Canada Cut Rates?
15:29 Why The Feds Could Turn Hawkish
17:24 The Bond Market and Kevin Warsh
20:18 Rate Hike Probability
23:17 A Different Rate Cycle
26:04 Modern Monetary Theory
27:19 Government Spending In Inflation
29:20 The Pipeline Story and Fiscal Spending
30:02 Did Deficits Help The U.S.?
32:08 The Rest Of The World Follows
35:37 Canada's Financial Position Globally
37:26 Could Canadian Capital Return Home?
38:54 Another Global Stimulus?
39:40 The NATO Defense Spending Expansion
41:12 Canada's Looming Commodity Boom
44:10 The MMT and Politics
44:55 The Next Major Commodity Cycle
51:26 Why Oil Became An Attractive Investment
54:05 Long Term Bullish Oil Thesis
1:01:26 What's The Next Market Bubble?
1:05:18 Canadian Growth May Take Years
1:06:29 The Alberta Pipeline Story
1:09:39 Canada's Economic Outlook Improves
1:10:00 Is Defense Spending Economically Productive?
1:12:13 Canada's Trade Surplus
1:12:57 All Eyes On The BOC's Next Meeting
Disclaimer:
The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.
#LoonieHour #canada #macroeconomics
Fri, 10 Jul 2026 - 1h 13min - 249 - Mark Carney: 10 Years of Canadian Policy was Wrong (Policy Changes Are Coming)
Mark Carney just admitted the last decade of energy policy was a total bust and didn't fit economic reality, so we're breaking down his massive pivot on Canadian oil and gas. We also hit on the US-Iran deal being a temporary play for the midterms, the stock market ditching tech for safe-haven sectors, and the economic mess left behind after Canada, the US, and Mexico missed their big July 1st trade deadline.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
02:38 Why Nuclear Is Canada's Competitive Advantage
05:24 Canada's Push Toward New Nuclear Projects
09:26 Public Fear Versus Nuclear Reality
10:40 Europe's Heat Wave & Air Conditioning Debate
17:20 Climate Policies Versus Human Comfort
17:57 Mark Carney's Major Energy Announcement
20:09 The Political Cost of Energy Policies
25:14 Canada's Massive Economic Opportunity
31:53 Current Accounts, Trade, and National Wealth
34:29 Oil & Gas, and Economic Reality
36:20 What Happens to the Loonie
38:30 US Midterms Predicament
39:11 Geopolitical Outlook & Peace Deal
42:50 Understanding the Oil Crack Spread
44:37 Can Commodity Markets Be Manipulated?
48:54 What Happens If Bond Markets Collapse
55:27 The Cost of Long-Term Uncertainty
57:13 Brexit Parallels and Economic Lessons
59:27 Why None of This Is Positive
Disclaimer:
The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.
#LoonieHour #canada #carney
Fri, 03 Jul 2026 - 1h 02min - 248 - Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?
The Canadian Condo Bailout lands in Vancouver, & Dan Foch fills us in. Which condos will the government buy, and is it going to be good value for tax payers? These are the questions we are trying to unravel. Energy expert Mike Rothman joins the show to share the details of why oil is being underestimated, and where he thinks it’s heading.
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Check out Mike Rothman's Macro Energy research at https://www.cornerstoneanalytics.com/index.html
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Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
04:46 Introducing Our Guests!
05:26 The Canadian Condo Bailout Begins
07:29 Kevin Warsh & The Feds
08:41 Prepare For Volatility
13:41 The Problem With Government Intervention
16:07 Condo Program Breakdown
17:18 Who Benefits From The Bailout?
19:52 Why Investors Wouldn't Buy First?
23:34 Dog Crate Condos and Falling Demand
24:46 Could Prices Fall Another 50~75%
30:42 Wasting Government Spending
31:48 Housing Policy and Unintended Consequences
36:01 Canada's Real Estate Identity Crisis
40:32 Transition to Mike Rothman
41:47 Canadian Oil Bull Case
42:57 Responding to Anti-Oil Narratives
44:19 Oil Became Politically Toxic
50:28 Supply Constraints Are Getting Worse
53:21 Why Energy Investment Never Came Back
56:27 Russia, Ukraine, and Energy Geopolitics
59:11 Europe's Energy Mistakes
1:00:17 Long-Term Commodity Supercycles
1:05:17 Cushing Crude Stocks Explained
1:06:31 Physical Markets vs Financial Markets
1:12:05 Why Markets Ignored The Signs?
1:18:09 Green Energy Realities vs Oil Demand
1:20:52 Why Oil Still Matters For Decades?
1:25:06 Economic Cost of Inaction
1:28:11 Lessons From Global Credit Crisis
1:32:18 Canada's Future Growth Potential
1:35 What Canada Needs To Do Next?
Disclaimer:
The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.
#LoonieHour #canada #macroeconomics
Fri, 26 Jun 2026 - 1h 39min - 247 - Ottawa’s War on Privacy and Internet Freedom- w/guest Sam Cooper
The Canadian government is rushing to pass sweeping regulations that will change privacy and social media forever. The US and Iran reach an agreement. Oil tumbles. The Fed signals rate hikes are coming.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
05:11 The Push for New Speech Laws
07:49 Bill C-2, Bill C-22 and Government Overreach
15:44 Sam Cooper Joins the Show
17:04 Canada's New Laws Lack of Coverage
20:39 China's Influence and Interference?
25:47 UK Speech Crackdown Comparison
30:32 Bill C-22's Data Collection Concerns
35:28 Canada's Strategic Position
41:25 Privacy Rights, Surveillance & Government Tracking
49:20 Charter Rights, Legal Costs & Unequal Justice
55:58 Chinese Organized Crime
58:16 Canada's Money Laundering Problem
1:02:44 Immigration, Politics & Public Sentiment
1:06:42 Global Conflict, Commodities & Inflation
1:10:47 Federal Reserve Communication Changes
1:15:01 What the Fed Is Really Signaling?
Disclaimer:
The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.
#LoonieHour #canada #carney
Fri, 19 Jun 2026 - 1h 16min - 246 - A New Cold War Is Reshaping the World- w/guest Michael Nicoletos
What's really happening in Iran? The European Central Bank is going to suffocate the economy. The future of money and Ai. Global inflation rips higher. The Bank of Canada is stuck in an uncomfortable dilemma.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
03:24 Episode 245 Recap & Ben Rabidoux Discussion
07:14 Cold War 2?
11:19 AI Infrastructure, Data Centers & Commoditization
16:15 Why AI Stocks May Face Pressure
21:07 The Energy Crisis Behind AI Growth
25:10 Stablecoins & Traditional Finance
30:17 The Future of Money
34:33 Crypto And Blockchain Adoption
38:53 Hidden Risks in Financial Systems
43:12 Oil, Inflation, and Global Markets
46:57 Why Politicians Keep Getting Economics Wrong?
51:16 Europe’s Economic Decline
55:59 Tesla, EVs, and Industrial Policy
01:00:05 Future Outlook: Markets, AI, and Geopolitics
01:04:14 Next 12–36 Months Outlook
01:08:05 Market Predictions!
01:12:05 Inflation, PMIs, and Economic Indicators
01:20:06 Canadian Housing and Mortgage Stress
01:24:31 Canada’s Economic Future
Disclaimer:
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#LoonieHour #canada #recession
Fri, 12 Jun 2026 - 1h 34min - 245 - When Will Canadian Real Estate Hit Bottom? w/ guest Ben Rabidoux
Credit delinquencies are still rising. The bull case for single family housing. The flood of rental supply, and the death of the pre-sale condo. Bonus episode with Ben Rabidoux of Edge Analytics.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
04:34 Canada's Technical Recession
6:24 Housing Weakness Spreads Through The Economy
8:25 Ontario's Economic Slowdown
12:00 Canada's Productivity Crisis
14:12 Why Do We Keep Falling Behind?
19:41 Delinuences, Defaults & Mortgage Stress
22:45 Canada's Oil Prices & Energy Markets
24:45 Why Alberta's So Resilient?
29:27 Mortgage Spreads & Lending Trends
32:38 First Nations Land Claims & Property Rights Debate
35:58 Consumer Spending Is Slowing
39:09 Canada's Population Growth Problem
45:50 Rental Market Correction Inbound
49:24 How Much Lower Can Home Prices Go?
52:42 Young Canadians Are Squeezed
56:01 Single-Family Homes Hits Historic Lows
01:04:10 Are We Near The Bottom?
1:06:01 Vancouver Real Estate Forecast
1:09:09 Consumer Sentiment & What's Next
Written, shot and produced by Unforgettable Studios (Adam “DC” Darvay-Canavor & Alvin Keung)
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Disclaimer:
The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.
#LoonieHour #macroeconomics #recession
Thu, 11 Jun 2026 - 1h 11min - 244 - The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession
Canada enters a "technical" recession. The curious case of the Bank of Canada's gold reserves. The Bitcoin bear market deepens. Canada has the second largest Natural Gas reserves in the world.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
05:31 Housing Market Bottomed?
10:14 Timing the Bond Market Crisis
11:53 Why Bond ETFs May Be Riskier Than Investors Think
14:06 Demographics, Labor Supply & Selling Pressure
15:59 Will Governments React Too Late?
19:23 Why Canada Sold Its Gold
20:58 Gold as a Strategic National Asset
23:03 Has Canada Entered a Technical Recession?
26:10 GDP, Productivity & Population Growth
27:22 Canada's Housing Crisis vs Population Crisis
28:22 Commodities, Debt & Government Spending
29:19 Is There Any Good News in Canada?
32:08 BC Hydro, Electricity Rates & Government Policy
34:01 BC's Looming Power Shortage
37:28 Energy Reality vs Political Narratives
38:54 Natural Gas, Emissions & Energy Security
40:28 Economic Weakness Is Starting to Show
41:13 Mortgage Renewals & Household Stress
42:03 Rising Delinquencies Across Canada
43:12 Distressed Sales Hit 25-Year High
44:19 Foreclosures, Courts & Forced Sales
45:09 What's Driving Financial Stress?
49:08 Why Investors Are Sleeping on Gold
50:24 Gold's Recent Weakness Creates Opportunity
51:14 Crypto, Currency Debasement & Market Cycles
52:16 Revisiting Crypto Risks
53:34 Investor Series Preview & Positioning for What's Next
54:30 Why Worrying Doesn't Help Investors
55:07 Strategic Oil Reserves Around the World
56:14 Oil Markets, Reserves & Supply Constraints
Disclaimer:
The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.
#LoonieHour #canada #recession
Fri, 05 Jun 2026 - 58min - 243 - Canada's State Surveillance Bill - w/ guest Michael Geist
Bill C22 threatens individual privacy rights and opens the door for state surveillance. Tim Hortons says that they'll abandon temporary foreign workers. Canada signs massive LNG deal with Germany. Has the Canada Pension Plan underperformed?
Tickets to The Loonie Hour Investor Series Toronto event are now SOLD OUT.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
05:15 Tickets Sold Out - See You Soon!
07:57 Bill C-11 Recap & Streaming Act Overview
10:30 Government Control, Privacy & Digital Rights
15:31 Why Netflix & Apple Object
24:15 Who Benefits From These Policies?
30:00 Online News Act Explained
32:24 Is The Online News Act Just A Tax?
40:17 Metadata Collection Creates A Surveillance Map
43:50 Do Canadians Have A Right To Privacy?
51:46 Why Governments Want More Control
55:42 What Can Canadians Do?
01:02:00 Germany's Energy Crisis
01:03:31 Nord Stream & European Natural Gas
01:05:08 Europe Quietly Returning To Fossil Fuels
01:07:47 Steven Guilbeault Steps Down
01:08:32 Tim Hortons & Temporary Foreign Workers
01:10:15 Canada's Immigration Policy Reversal
01:11:41 Immigration Fraud & Diploma Mills
01:23:03 Why Pension Funds Can't Just Buy ETFs
01:24:25 Career Risk In Pension Management
01:26:10 The Incentives Driving Pension Decisions
Disclaimer:
The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.
#LoonieHour #macroeconomics #canada
Fri, 29 May 2026 - 1h 29min - 242 - Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?
Global bond yields keep pushing higher. Inflation data shows little signs of easing. The future of Canada's electrical grid. Euphoria hits Korean stock market.
Join Us For The Loonie Hour Investor Series - With Ron Butler and Daniel Foch, Live In Toronto on June 3rd! Get Your Tickets Here! https://www.eventbrite.com/e/the-loonie-hour-investor-series-with-ron-butler-daniel-foch-june-3rd-tickets-1990129219067
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Fri, 22 May 2026 - 1h 09min - 241 - The Bond Market Could Crush Your Retirement Plans
Inflation ticks higher. Bond yields hit 19 year high. Bonds are no longer the safety hedge your retirement depends on. Another distressed condo fund emerges in Toronto.
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Disclaimer:
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#LoonieHour #macroeconomics #bondmarket
Fri, 15 May 2026 - 1h 06min - 240 - Energy Superpower? Canada Is Blowing It
Oil industry blasts Carney's carbon tax. Toronto real estate prices perk up. US tech earnings beat. UK bond yields surge to the highest level in 25 years.
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Fri, 08 May 2026 - 1h 05min - 239 - Canada's Sovereign Wealth Fund?
Is Canada creating a sovereign wealth fund, or a debt fund? Bank of Canada holds rates. Bond yields jump. The UAE pulls out of OPEC. Hormuz remains closed.
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Fri, 01 May 2026 - 1h 05min - 238 - Stocks Hit New Highs Despite Energy Crisis
The S&P 500 recovers and hits new highs. Inflation in Canada came in softer than expected. Europe poised to hike rates? Alberta to BC pipeline faces new objections. Bank of Canada on deck next week.
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Fri, 24 Apr 2026 - 1h 09min - 237 - The Largest Capital Exodus in Canadian History
More than $1 Trillion of investment left Canada last decade. National home prices fell in March. Labour market remains dismal for Canadian youth. Fuel shortages are squeezing airlines. Fed QE is ramping up slowly.
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Fri, 17 Apr 2026 - 1h 09min - 236 - We're Short One Billion Barrels of Oil - With Rory Johnston
Unproduced Gulf barrels is set to rise above one billion barrels over full oil shock. Which countries will turn off the lights first? What is Canada's role in the future of energy security? This week's podcast features Canadian commodity expert Rory Johnston.
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Fri, 10 Apr 2026 - 1h 20min - 235 - Oil Prices Soar to Highest Levels Since 2008
The Carney government chops development fees in half for Ontario. Energy prices surge on the prospect of a prolonged war. Markets shift from inflation to recession fears. Bond yields drop. Private credit crunch deepens.
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Fri, 03 Apr 2026 - 1h 05min - 234 - The Ontario Real Estate Bailout Has Begun- w/ guest Ben Rabidoux
Will the Bank of Canada raise rates three times this year? Stagflation risks are growing. Will energy prices provoke a global recession. Ontario government is throwing more tax dollars at Real Estate developers.
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Disclaimer:
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#LoonieHour #macroeconomics #canadianrealestate
Fri, 27 Mar 2026 - 1h 12min - 233 - Will Canada Ever Build Another Pipeline? W/ guest John Carruthers
We interview pipeline expert John Carruthers who spent 10 years and $600M only to have Northern Gateway pipeline cancelled. We also discuss the war in the Middle East and the damage to critical energy infrastructure, Central Banks and Canada's declining population.
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Fri, 20 Mar 2026 - 1h 30min - 232 - Oil Prices Are Surging — Is Inflation Next?
Oil tops $100, prompting fears of an energy crisis. Fertilizer prices have jumped nearly 80%. How bad will the next wave of inflation be?OSFI flags appraisal issues. Private credit crunch deepens.
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Fri, 13 Mar 2026 - 1h 06min - 231 - Are Property Rights in Vancouver at Risk? - w/ guest Tom Isaac
The Federal government enters into a rights agreement with the Musqueam First Nations covering most of Metro Vancouver. What are the implications? We discuss with expert lawyer Tom Isaac. We also discuss the ongoing housing slump, the war in Iran, energy and fertilizer prices.
Join Us For The Loonie Hour Investor Series - With Ben Rabidoux, Live In Calgary on March 23rd, and Vancouver on March 25th!
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Fri, 06 Mar 2026 - 1h 35min - 230 - A War of Attrition — Missiles, Oil, and Global Power
Doomberg joins the show to discuss the conflict in the Persian Gulf. We discuss the implications for defense systems, oil and gas markets, and the Chinese economy. We also discuss the future of energy projects in Canada under a Carney government.
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The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.
#LoonieHour #macroeconomics #canadianrealestate
Tue, 03 Mar 2026 - 1h 11min - 229 - From Condos to Credit: The Cracks Are Widening
Toronto new condo sales fall to lowest levels since 1981. The private credit crunch is accelerating with SAAS stocks plunging. Electricity consumption is surging, creating social frictions and challenges for new data centres. The bull case for commodities.
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The information within our videos is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.
#LoonieHour #macroeconomics #canadianrealestate
Fri, 27 Feb 2026 - 1h 08min - 228 - Canada's Productivity Crisis is Suffocating the Economy- w/guest Trevor Tombe
We are joined by economist and policy advisor Trevor Tombe to discuss Canada's productivity crisis, the urgency to harness our natural resources and eliminate interprovincial trade barriers. We also discuss the tensions in Iran and the problems brewing in the private credit market.
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Check out Trevor Tombe's work at The Hub! https://thehub.ca/author/trevortombe/
Fri, 20 Feb 2026 - 1h 34min - 227 - Canada Has Failed to Uphold Private Property Rights- w/ guest Tom Isaac
First Nations lawyer Tom Isaac joins the show to discuss the perils of DRIPA, and the missteps of the BC government in protecting private property rights. Does the country have the ability to approve major natural resource projects?
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Fri, 13 Feb 2026 - 1h 26min - 226 - Precious Metals, Crypto, and the SAAS Crash
Precious metals, and crypto are crashing. Ai is now threatening SAAS valuations. This is all putting pressure on private credit markets. Is the US economy entering deflation? Canada brings back EV rebates. Home sales tumble further in January.
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Fri, 06 Feb 2026 - 1h 08min - 225 - Central Banks Push Back Against Rate Cuts
The Bank of Canada holds rates. The Fed turns hawkish. Gold and commodities ripping higher as geopolitical risks intensify. The International Monetary Fund suggests Canada needs to fix its own internal trade barriers. US warship arrives in the Middle East.
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Pathways Alliance brings together six of Canada's largest oil sands companies working together to keep growing Canada's economy while providing the energy the world needs. Visit https://pathwaysalliance.ca/to learn more!
Units of Neighbourhood Holdings Income Trust I (“NHIT”) are sold primarily through third-party registered dealers. If you would like to learn more, please contact investors@neighbourhood.com.
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Fri, 30 Jan 2026 - 1h 18min - 224 - Canada Cuts Trade Deal with China
Carney cuts a deal with China, deviating away from US policy. The World Economic Forum kicks off with heated speeches. Canadian food inflation accelerates. The battle for Greenland and the race to secure critical minerals. Toronto pre-sales hit 40 year lows.
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Pathways Alliance brings together six of Canada's largest oil sands companies working together to keep growing Canada's economy while providing the energy the world needs. Visit https://pathwaysalliance.ca/ to learn more!
Units of Neighbourhood Holdings Income Trust I (“NHIT”) are sold primarily through third-party registered dealers. If you would like to learn more, please contact investors@neighbourhood.com.
Check out the Saretsky Group Real Estate Services: https://www.saretskygroup.com/
Fri, 23 Jan 2026 - 1h 09min - 223 - The Cost of Living Crisis- w/guest David Chilton
David Chilton, author of 'The Wealthy Barber' joins the pod. We discuss housing, the cost of living, and how Canadians can get ahead. Postgame includes the coercion of the Federal Reserve, China's whopping trade surplus, and Germany's failed energy policy.
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Pathways Alliance brings together six of Canada's largest oil sands companies working together to keep growing Canada's economy while providing the energy the world needs. Visit https://pathwaysalliance.ca/ to learn more!
Units of Neighbourhood Holdings Income Trust I (“NHIT”) are sold primarily through third-party registered dealers. If you would like to learn more, please contact investors@neighbourhood.com.
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Fri, 16 Jan 2026 - 1h 17min - 222 - Will Canadian Oil be Replaced by Venezuela?
Trump captures Maduro, plans to reinvigorate Venezuela oil. What are the impacts on Canadian oil? US National security implications, critical minerals, and the quest for Greenland.
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Pathways Alliance brings together six of Canada's largest oil sands companies working together to keep growing Canada's economy while providing the energy the world needs. Visit https://pathwaysalliance.ca/ to learn more!
Check out the Saretsky Group Real Estate Services: https://www.saretskygroup.com/
Fri, 09 Jan 2026 - 1h 04min - 221 - Precious Metals Screaming Higher into 2026
Gold jumped more than 60% over the past year, and silver is now ripping higher. A warning sign for 2026? Good intentions gone bad, First Nations reconciliation. Widespread fraud hits Minnesota.
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Pathways Alliance brings together six of Canada's largest oil sands companies working together to keep growing Canada's economy while providing the energy the world needs. Visit https://pathwaysalliance.ca/ to learn more!
Check out the Saretsky Group Real Estate Services: https://www.saretskygroup.com/
Fri, 02 Jan 2026 - 58min - 220 - Canada's House Price Declines Should Continue in 2026
Toronto new home sales fall to lowest levels on records for the year. The Federal Government wants to bring foreign buyers back. The boys make their 2026 predictions with guest Ben Rabidoux. Currency volatility, falling rents, and the rise of right wing governments.
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Pathways Alliance brings together six of Canada's largest oil sands companies working together to keep growing Canada's economy while providing the energy the world needs. Visit https://pathwaysalliance.ca/ to learn more!
Check out the Saretsky Group Real Estate Services: https://www.saretskygroup.com/
Fri, 26 Dec 2025 - 1h 04min - 219 - Canada Records Sharpest Population Decline in 80 Years
Canada's population shrinks for the first time in years. Vacancies surge. House prices are still falling, now down 21% from the peak. Private credit price discovery. Ford cancels EV push.
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Pathways Alliance brings together six of Canada's largest oil sands companies working together to keep growing Canada's economy while providing the energy the world needs. Visit https://pathwaysalliance.ca/to learn more!
Fundraiser by Running Night Club - Let's run together to raise funds for Moisson Laurentides and help local families! https://www.canadahelps.org/en/pages/courir-pour-nourrir/
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Fri, 19 Dec 2025 - 56min - 218 - Fed Cuts Rates, Brings Back QE Stimulus- w/ guest Jim Iuorio
Canada's largest brokerage calls for falling home prices in 2026. Fed starts buying short term treasuries and says it's not QE. We are joined by guest Jim Iuorio to discuss Fed rate cuts, fiscal bazookas and risk assets.
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Pathways Alliance brings together six of Canada's largest oil sands companies working together to keep growing Canada's economy while providing the energy the world needs. Visit https://pathwaysalliance.ca/ to learn more!
Fundraiser by Running Night Club - Let's run together to raise funds for Moisson Laurentides and help local families! https://www.canadahelps.org/en/pages/courir-pour-nourrir/
Check out Jim's podcast The Futures Edge: https://www.youtube.com/@futuresedgepodcast
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Fri, 12 Dec 2025 - 1h 08min - 217 - Is Canada on the Verge of a Commodities Boom? - w/ guest Heather Exner-Pirot
What does the Alberta MOU really mean? Tanker bans. Nutrien potash terminal derails BC’s Eby. Alberta poised for Ai power centers. Bank of Canada and the Fed on deck.
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Pathways Alliance brings together six of Canada's largest oil sands companies working together to keep growing Canada's economy while providing the energy the world needs. Visit https://pathwaysalliance.ca/to learn more!
Check out the Saretsky Group Real Estate Services: https://www.saretskygroup.com/
Fri, 05 Dec 2025 - 1h 26min - 216 - Carney & Alberta Reach a Deal for an Oil Pipeline
Carney and Smith sign a memorandum of understanding on a pipeline. Saskatchewan signs potash agreement. Toronto new home sales slow to near zero. Are government stats concealing the poverty line?
Join Us for The Loonie Hour Investor Series - with Ben Rabidoux, Live in Toronto on December 2nd, 2025! Get your tickets here! https://www.eventbrite.com/e/the-loonie-hour-investor-series-with-ben-rabidoux-dec-2nd-2025-tickets-1969989267931?aff=oddtdtcreator
Pathways Alliance brings together six of Canada's largest oil sands companies working together to keep growing Canada's economy while providing the energy the world needs. Visit https://pathwaysalliance.ca/ to learn more!
Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings. Visit https://www.neighbourhoodholdings.com/looniehour to learn more!
Check out the Saretsky Group Real Estate Services: https://www.saretskygroup.com/
Fri, 28 Nov 2025 - 1h 09min - 215 - The Housing Bust Isn't Over Yet
Home prices are still moving lower despite home sales improving. Canada inflation data steady. Risk assets selling off. Bond yields surging in Japan, the world's most indebted nation. BC cancels Net Zero auto sales target.
Join Us for The Loonie Hour Investor Series - with Ben Rabidoux, Live in Toronto on December 2nd, 2025! Get your tickets here! https://www.eventbrite.com/e/the-loonie-hour-investor-series-with-ben-rabidoux-dec-2nd-2025-tickets-1969989267931?aff=oddtdtcreator
Pathways Alliance brings together six of Canada's largest oil sands companies working together to keep growing Canada's economy while providing the energy the world needs. Visit https://pathwaysalliance.ca/ to learn more!
Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings. Visit https://www.neighbourhoodholdings.com/looniehour to learn more!
Check out the Saretsky Group Real Estate Services: https://www.saretskygroup.com/
Fri, 21 Nov 2025 - 1h 09min - 214 - Can Canada's Auto Sector Survive?
We are joined by guest Brian Kingston, President and CEO of the Canadian Vehicle Manufacturers’ Association. Tariffs, China EV's, and Canada's role in the EV race. What is the future of the Canadian auto sector?
Join Us for The Loonie Hour Investor Series - with Ben Rabidoux, Live in Toronto on December 2nd, 2025! Get your tickets here! https://www.eventbrite.com/e/the-loonie-hour-investor-series-with-ben-rabidoux-dec-2nd-2025-tickets-1969989267931?aff=oddtdtcreator
Pathways Alliance brings together six of Canada's largest oil sands companies working together to keep growing Canada's economy while providing the energy the world needs. Visit https://pathwaysalliance.ca/to learn more!
Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings. Visit https://www.neighbourhoodholdings.com/looniehour to learn more!
Check out the Saretsky Group Real Estate Services: https://www.saretskygroup.com/
Fri, 14 Nov 2025 - 1h 16min - 213 - Canada's $78B Fiscal Bazooka - w/ guest Sean Speer
Housing slump continues. Tensions flare over First Nations land claims. Carney's $78B fiscal bazooka drops. Can the budget fix what ails Canada? Emissions caps and pipelines. With guest and former economic policy advisor Sean Speer.
Pathways Alliance brings together six of Canada's largest oil sands companies working together to keep growing Canada's economy while providing the energy the world needs. Visit https://pathwaysalliance.ca/to learn more!
Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings. Visit https://www.neighbourhoodholdings.com/looniehour to learn more!
Check out the Saretsky Group Real Estate Services: https://www.saretskygroup.com/
Fri, 07 Nov 2025 - 1h 25min - 212 - Bank of Canada Warns of Structural Decline
Bank of Canada and the Fed cut rates by 25bps. BoC warns of lower living standards. Richmond First Nations dispute causing financing issues. Bill Gates pivots on climate change.
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Fri, 31 Oct 2025 - 1h 15min - 211 - Inflation Rebounds Ahead of Bank of Canada Decision
Inflation ticked higher than expected in September. Market odds favor another rate cut. First Nation land ruling. Layoff announcements accelerate. Global Carbon Tax.
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Sat, 25 Oct 2025 - 1h 07min - 210 - The Death Knell for the Canadian Auto Sector
Stellantis moves Jeep production to the US. Asking Rents continue to fall across Canada. The wealth gap widens. Powell suggests an end to quantitative tightening. Cities roll-back multiplex zoning.
Join The Loonie Hour and the Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast live in Vancouver on October 21st! Get your tickets here! https://www.eventbrite.ca/e/canadian-real-estate-global-macro-tickets-1716213644209?aff=Loonie
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Fri, 17 Oct 2025 - 1h 02min - 209 - The Great Debasement Trade Continues
Gold surges to new highs. Toronto home prices plunge 25%. New Zealand panic cuts. Germany proposes to boost the retirement age. French government turbulence could spillover. Young Candians are increasingly less satisfied.
Join The Loonie Hour and the Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast live in Vancouver on October 21st! Get your tickets here! https://www.eventbrite.ca/e/canadian-real-estate-global-macro-tickets-1716213644209?aff=Loonie
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Fri, 10 Oct 2025 - 1h 05min - 208 - Canada's Fiscal Bazooka Will Triple Budget Deficits
Development has slowed to zero in Toronto. Canada's cumulative deficits will exceed $360B over the next four years. Eby vows to block any new Alberta pipeline through BC. Power Demand set to Quadruple through Ai. The UK introduces a digital ID.
Join The Loonie Hour and the Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast live in Vancouver on October 21st! Get your tickets here! https://www.eventbrite.ca/e/canadian-real-estate-global-macro-tickets-1716213644209?aff=Loonie
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Fri, 03 Oct 2025 - 1h 05min - 207 - The Bull Market Isn't Over Yet- w/guest Michael Nicoletos
Global liquidity continues to ramp higher. Why the demand for US assets continues to grow. The growing role of stablecoins and crypto that could help fix the US debt crisis. The bull market isn't over yet, with guest and macro investor Michael Nicoletos.
Join The Loonie Hour and the Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast live in Vancouver on October 21st! Get your tickets here! https://www.eventbrite.ca/e/canadian-real-estate-global-macro-tickets-1716213644209?aff=Loonie
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Fri, 26 Sep 2025 - 58min - 206 - Bank of Canada Slashes Rates Ahead of Massive Federal Budget
The BoC and the Fed both cut rates this week, signalling more easing ahead. Housing troubles persist. Federal budget gets delayed. China coal consumption hits record highs. IEA revises oil demand higher.
Join The Loonie Hour and the Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast live in Vancouver on October 21st! Get your tickets here! https://www.eventbrite.ca/e/canadian-real-estate-global-macro-tickets-1716213644209?aff=Loonie
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Fri, 19 Sep 2025 - 1h 08min - 205 - The Race to Zero Resumes, Markets Bet on More Rate Cuts
Rate cuts coming next week in Canada and the US. Labour markets weakening. Backlash grows against temporary foreign workers. US inflation softens. No oil pipelines make the list for national projects of importance.
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Fri, 12 Sep 2025 - 1h 09min - 204 - Gold Surges on Looming Rate Cuts
Canada GDP contracts in Q2. Population growth slows to zero in BC & Ontario. Foreign workers face political backlash. Gold surges to new highs amidst looming rate cuts. Concerns mounting over the sovereign debt crisis.
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Fri, 05 Sep 2025 - 1h 04min - 203 - Elbows Down, IMF Bailouts Coming to a Country Near You?
Canada removes counter-tariffs on the US. The Bank of Canada says they will start looking at house price inflation. France and the UK warn of potential IMF bailouts as sovereign debt crisis looms. Stocks keep melting higher.
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Fri, 29 Aug 2025 - 1h 07min - 202 - Canada's Housing Markets are Flooded with Rental Supply
The Condo crash goes mainstream. Rental supply is flooding major metros across Canada. CPI inflation falls on lower gas prices and removal of carbon tax. Foreign investment fleeing the country. Vanguard recommends more bonds than stocks?
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Fri, 22 Aug 2025 - 1h 09min - 201 - The UK Debt Spiral—A Cautionary Tale for Canada w/guest Liam Halligan
The UK fiscal crisis is worsening, sending bond yields higher. Governments refuse to reduce spending, and are increasing taxes further. Is this a cautionary tale for other sovereign debt markets like Canada? Our guest Liam Hallagan explains the debt doom loop and his friendship with Mark Carney.
Check out Liam Halligan's When The Facts Change Substack! Visit https://substack.com/@liamhalligan today!
Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings. Visit https://www.neighbourhoodholdings.com/looniehour to learn more!
Check out Saily at https://www.saily.com/looniehour and use our promo code 'LOONIEHOUR' to get 15% off your first purchase!
Check out the Saretsky Group Real Estate Services: https://www.saretskygroup.com/
Fri, 15 Aug 2025 - 1h 17min - 200 - Is the US Economy Finally Rolling Over?
Trump fires the head of the BLS after job revisions. Weak data out of the US prompts further calls for rate cuts. Tariff revenue could match corporate income taxes. Toronto pre-sale market on the brink.
Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings. Visit https://www.neighbourhoodholdings.com/looniehour to learn more!
Check out Saily at https://www.saily.com/looniehour and use our promo code 'LOONIEHOUR' to get 15% off your first purchase!
Fri, 08 Aug 2025 - 56min - 199 - Governments Pleading With Central Banks to Cut Rates
Bank of Canada Holds rates again. Powell refuses to cut rates despite political pressures. US GDP comes in stronger than expected. Real Estate developers ask PM Carney to remove foreign buyer ban. Is Canadian media compromised by the CCP?
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The Loonie Hour team is currently looking for a full-time content manager / social media curator! Email your application to looniehourjobs@gmail.com if you're interested!
Fri, 01 Aug 2025 - 1h 10min - 198 - Another Wave of Inflation? w/ guest Pierre Poilievre
Big fiscal deficits, trade wars, immigration, and monetary debasement with guest Pierre Poilievre. We discuss the outlook for Canadian energy, taxes, and Tiff Macklem.
Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings. Visit https://www.neighbourhoodholdings.com/looniehour to learn more!
Check out Saily at https://www.saily.com/looniehour and use our promo code 'LOONIEHOUR' to get 15% off your first purchase!
Fri, 25 Jul 2025 - 1h 23min - 197 - Inflation Derails Further Rate Cuts from the Bank of Canada
Inflation trending higher. Bank of Canada on the sidelines. Bitcoin and Gold surge higher amidst fiat debasement. Sovereign debt markets in distress. House prices leak lower in June.
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Fri, 18 Jul 2025 - 1h 07min - 196 - Immigration Curbs Pushing Rents Lower Across the Country
Canada's housing agency flags falling rents, scales back construction financing. Ontario sheds 10,000 college jobs as immigration curbs bite. Carney seeks $25B in cuts, and fewer government jobs. Markets are pricing in more growth and inflation, bond yields tick higher.
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Fri, 11 Jul 2025 - 1h 15min - 195 - The Fiscal Bazooka is Coming
The big beautiful bill passes, ensuring the next wave of fiscal stimulus. Financial markets are betting on a much looser interest rate policy. Will governments impose financial repression? The federal government drops the digital services tax. Germany pivots to natural gas. US jobs data comes in stronger.
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Fri, 04 Jul 2025 - 1h 11min - 194 - Canada’s Energy Crossroads: A Deep Dive with Heather Exner-Pirot
Can Ottawa unleash Canada's energy sector? NATO and the race for rare earth metals. Bill C-5 and what it means for new energy projects. The Loonie Hour sits down with energy expert Heather Exner-Pirot to discuss the inflection point for the future of Canada's Natural Resources.
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Fri, 27 Jun 2025 - 1h 02min - 193 - Canada's Population Growth Falls to Zero
Canada just reported the third lowest quarter for population growth since the 1950s. Rents falling as rental housing construction remains elevated. National housing sales pickup in May. Elbows down, BC Ferries sell out to China. Gas cars are poised to get more expensive in Canada. Too late Powell, Fed holds rates.
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Fri, 20 Jun 2025 - 1h 08min - 192 - The Canadian Housing Bust- w/ Ben Rabidoux | Loonie Hour Road Trip Episode 192
Is Canada’s red-hot real-estate machine finally seizing up? In this road-trip edition of The Loonie Hour (Ep. 192) we roll with housing analyst Ben Rabidoux to unpack a $900 million mortgage-fraud scandal, the cracks spreading through Canada’s economy and property market, and what higher rates, shrinking household cash-flow, and souring construction loans really mean for Canadians in 2025. Buckle up - this one’s shot in Ontario on location, five-camera 4K, amid limestone cliffs and cottage-country calm, but the data is anything but chill.
Offers for Loonie Hour listeners:
Neighbourhood Holdings – Private mortgage solutions.
For Investors & Advisors: https://www.neighbourhoodholdings.com/looniehour
For Mortgage Brokers: https://www.neighbourhoodholdings.com/looniehour-brokers
BICI – Premium cycling gear designed in Canada. Use code looniehour10 for 10% off your next order: http://bit.ly/3Zt8wMB
Edge Analytics – The data platform Ben swears by. Regular price $50/mo— Loonie Hour listeners lock it in at $30/mo with code OG-30:
⸻
Meet the crew
Hosted by Steve Saretsky, Keith Dicker, & Richard Dias
Special guest Ben Rabidoux
Shot & produced by Unforgettable Studios (Adam “DC” Darvay-Canavor & Alvin Keung)
Subscribe To My Channel For More Videos Like This One: https://www.youtube.com/@saretsky?subscribe
Listen to The Loonie Hour on your favourite podcast platform:
The Loonie Hour on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4vA4m1d9RVo9KitszSHzN0
The Loonie Hour on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-loonie-hour/id1591470469
#TheLoonieHour #Macroeconomics #PersonalFinanceCanada
Fri, 13 Jun 2025 - 1h 20min - 191 - Bank of Canada Puts Rate Cuts on Hold
The Bank of Canada holds rates again, markets price out further cuts. Home sales tank in Vancouver, inventory surges in the GTA for the month of May. Bond Market concerns deepen.
Hang out with The Loonie Hour crew in Toronto on June 09! Grab your tickets
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/loonie-hour-toronto-june-09-tickets-1388615449189?aff=oddtdtcreator
Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings. Visit https://www.neighbourhoodholdings.com/looniehour to learn
Fri, 06 Jun 2025 - 1h 19min - 190 - We Have a Crisis in the Toronto Condo Market
Pre-sale condos slump to levels last seen in the 1990's. Job losses pick up momentum. Bank earnings suggest more credit losses expected. Will the Bank of Canada cut rates next week? Trump tariffs head to court. The Japanese government vows to contain bond gitters.
Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings. Visit https://www.neighbourhoodholdings.com/looniehour to learn more!
Loonie Hour in Toronto June 09. Grab your tickets https://www.eventbrite.com/e/loonie-hour-toronto-june-09-tickets-1388615449189?aff=oddtdtcreator
Fri, 30 May 2025 - 1h 05min - 189 - Governments Have Lost Control of the Bond Market
Core inflation jumps in Canada, potentially delaying rate cuts. Bond vigilantes take control of the bond market. Canada Pension Plan pulls the plug on Net Zero. Australia aims to tax unrealized capital gains.
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Fri, 23 May 2025 - 1h 11min - 188 - Job Layoffs Mounting in the Real Estate Sector
Carney's cabinet ministers spark controversy. Honda delays its $15B EV project in Canada, humiliating policy makers. Inflation falls, and bond yields are back on the rise. Western democracies close the door on immigration.
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Fri, 16 May 2025 - 1h 12min - 187 - Canadian Banks Forecast Steep Declines in the Condo Market
Price declines continue in Canada's condo market. Central Banks will have to do QE once again. Carney heads to the White House. The UK and China cut rates. Goodbye Warren Buffett.
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Fri, 09 May 2025 - 58min - 186 - Liberal Victory Sparks Alberta Separation Anxiety
Mark Carney elected as PM fuels speculation of Alberta separation. Trade agreement with Trump might come quicker than expected. Spain and Portugal become first countries to achieve Net Zero. US GDP contracts ahead of trade war. National house prices in Canada facing steepest correction in nearly four decades.
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Fri, 02 May 2025 - 59min - 185 - Canadians Head to the Polls in Record Numbers- w/guest Mainstreet Research
Record 7 million Canadians voted during advance polls. What are the key battleground areas? Can the Conservatives surprise pollsters and pull off a victory. The fiscal bazooka is coming, will the bond market revolt? We are joined by pollster Quito Maggi of Mainstreet Research.
Check out Mainstreet Research Polling & Services Here: Visit https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/ today to learn more!
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Fri, 25 Apr 2025 - 1h 17min - 184 - Building Canada Into an Energy Superpower- w/ guest Doomberg
Canada inflation cools in March. Bank of Canada holds rates, signaling more uncertainty ahead. Will Mark Carney really unleash the Canadian energy sector? Our guest, Doomberg chimes in on the upcoming elections, ESG, and the fate of Canada's natural resource sector.
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Fri, 18 Apr 2025 - 1h 27min - 183 - Financial Markets in Turmoil Ahead of Canadian Elections
Stocks and Bonds down. Trump panics and pauses tariffs for 90 days. Is a China currency devaluation imminent? We also cover the upcoming federal elections in Canada and are joined by John Manley and David Herle for political commentary.
Join the Ice Cap / Loonie Hour Webinar this April 21st!
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Fri, 11 Apr 2025 - 1h 27min - 182 - The Tariff War is Escalating Towards a New Monetary System
The tariff war goes global, what are the implications for various countries and the financial system? Stocks down, bonds up. Rate cut expectations increase. Mark Carney unveils his housing plan which includes paying for municipal development fees. Gas prices drop on removal of carbon tax. Pre-sale condo market unwinding.
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Fri, 04 Apr 2025 - 1h 24min - 181 - Canadian Business Confidence Plunges to Decade Lows
Small businesses in Canada have never been more downbeat. Tariffs hit the auto sector hard. Is a recession part of the Trump fiscal plan? Bond yields push higher in Europe. Concern around job losses growing.
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Fri, 28 Mar 2025 - 1h 15min - 180 - The Changing World Order is Here- w/ guest Brent Johnson
How President Trump upended the world order and his strategy behind it. PM Carney to call an election this week. Canada CPI surges more than expected. The Fed holds rates for now. Canadian Banks tighten credit.
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Fri, 21 Mar 2025 - 1h 26min - 179 - Bank of Canada Abandons Inflation Mandate
Bank of Canada cuts rates again citing new crisis, and expects higher prices. Mark Carney is anointed the next Prime Minister. The carbon tax isn't going away. The oil & gas emissions cap is expected to kill 50,000 jobs. Doug Ford threatens to turn off the power.
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Fri, 14 Mar 2025 - 1h 05min - 178 - Tariff Volatility Roils Markets
Tariff volatility continues, freezing business investment. Housing slump deepens in Vancouver & Toronto. Germany unveils the fiscal bazooka, along with China. Political tensions rise.
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Fri, 07 Mar 2025 - 1h 05min - 177 - Canadian Banks Brace for Mortgage Renewal Wall
Canadian bank earnings reported modestly higher loan loss provisions, despite a wave of renewals coming. Tariffs talks are ramping back up with the US expected to hit Canada next week. The bond market is worried about weaker growth. The EU pleads with India. Crypto market crashes.
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Fri, 28 Feb 2025 - 1h 12min - 176 - Bank of Canada Will Have to Choose Between Inflation or Housing
Canadian CPI moved higher, setting up a squeeze higher this summer. High Speed Rail to Quebec? Universal Basic Income making a comeback in Canada. Entrepreneurs fleeing Canada. Could the US demand that counties purchase zero coupon bonds for military protection? The changing world order is here.
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Visit https://incogni.com/looniehour to learn more!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Fri, 21 Feb 2025 - 1h 08min - 175 - Canadian Jobs Market is Weaker Than You Think
Immigration outflows are not being fully counted by stats Canada, making the labour market appear stronger than it is. Banks are now writing 100% LTV mortgages on new condos. US inflation is accelerating and the Fed is done cutting. Canada names their new Fentanyl Czar.
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See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Fri, 14 Feb 2025 - 1h 04min - 174 - Canada's Fentanyl Crisis & Corruption- w/guest Sam Cooper
Canada's top investigative reporter and fentanyl expert Sam Cooper joins the show. How bad is the fentanyl problem, what does Trump want to see, and who will become Canada's fentanyl Czar? Corruption runs deep as policy makers turn a blind eye to the deepening drug crisis.
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Fri, 07 Feb 2025 - 56min - 173 - Tariff Wars in Canada- w/ guest Danielle Smith
We are joined by Alberta Premier Danielle Smith to discuss trade negotiations, the currency, and our natural resources. The Bank of Canada cuts rates again. Policy makers preparing for helicopter money, and more global uncertainty.
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Fri, 31 Jan 2025 - 1h 22min - 172 - Political Turmoil as Public Sentiment Swings to the Right
Canada's CPI inflation slowed in December. Will inflation perk up again this year? The bond market says one more rate cut for the Bank of Canada. Policy makers are swinging to the right as public sentiment shifts. Scrapping the Carbon tax and Capital gains tax. The UK debt market barreling towards a crisis provides insights for other western countries on managing deficits.
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See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Fri, 24 Jan 2025 - 1h 06min - 171 - Are Tariffs Looming on Canadian Oil?
Alberta refuses to sign on with Trudeau's proposed retaliatory tariffs. Toronto new condo sales hit 28 year lows as property taxes surge. Is Mark Carney the next prime minister already? US CPI cools, bringing relief to the bond market.
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Fri, 17 Jan 2025 - 1h 06min - 170 - Trudeau Resigns, Leaving Parliament Frozen for Months- w/guest Kate Harrison
Unpacking the Trudeau prorogation. When will the next federal election be? Budget deficit is likely larger than $62B. Canadian oil exports to the US hit record highs. UK Gilt market having another crisis moment. China bond market forecasting more doom.
Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings. Visit www.neighbourhoodholdings.com/looniehour to learn more!
Check out Kate Harrison and her team's work at Summa Strategies here!
https://summastrategies.ca/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Fri, 10 Jan 2025 - 1h 14min - 169 - Wild & Unexpected Predictions for 2025
Bond yields will tumble amidst debt deflation in China, propelling lower mortgage rates in Canada and higher house prices. The US stock market will see a large correction and usher in a recession in the US. The Euro will crash as the German economy sinks.
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Fri, 03 Jan 2025 - 59min - 168 - Sovereign Debt Markets Facing Turmoil in 2025?
Bond yields rising as central banks cut rates. Canadian housing faces rising defaults in new construction space. China’s bond market flashes red, awaiting giant stimulus.
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Fri, 27 Dec 2024 - 1h 00min - 167 - Chaos in Ottawa! Budget Deficit Explodes to $62B
Finance minister Freeland resigns, Trudeau government hangs in the balance. Budget deficit explodes to $62B, surpassing the fiscal guardrails. The Loonie tumbles dropping to 69 cents. The US Fed cuts rates, says inflation target won't be hit until 2027. Coal usage hits record highs on Chinese demand.
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Fri, 20 Dec 2024 - 1h 12min - 166 - Bank of Canada will Keep Cutting Rates into Falling Loonie- w/ guest Ben Rabidoux
Bank of Canada slashes rates by another 50bps. The Labour market is getting worse. The Fed might be done cutting rates later this year but the BoC isn't. Rents continue to drop in major metros. Record supply under construction. Immigration system needs an overhaul as asylum claims surge.
Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings. Visit www.neighbourhoodholdings.com/looniehour to learn more!
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Fri, 13 Dec 2024 - 1h 07min - 165 - Toronto Condo Completions are Heading to Zero by 2030
Housing sales plunging means no new housing by 2030. Former BoC governor Poloz says we are in a recession. Canadian businesses struggling with Canada Post strikes. Powell at the Fed signals rate cuts might be over. Bank of Canada on deck next week.
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See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Fri, 06 Dec 2024 - 1h 02min - 164 - Canadian Energy Sector Faces Trump Tariffs - w/ guest Heather Exner-Pirot
Vibecession in Canada. Jobs not keeping pace with immigration. Emissions cap and Trump tariffs, what is the fate of the Canadian energy sector? GST holiday gets a boost in Ontario. The Eurozone continues to circle the drain in large part due to poor energy policy.
Check out Heather Exner-Pirot's Research Here:
https://heatherexnerpirot.com/aboutStart an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings. Visit www.neighbourhoodholdings.com/looniehour to learn more!
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Check out, Subscribe, and Support Rich's YouTube Channel for your weekly IceCap Canadian Market Wrap Here:
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Fri, 29 Nov 2024 - 1h 14min - 163 - Real Estate Developers are Failing at an Alarming Rate
Developer Insolvencies Surge to 10 year high. Private Credit funds shut the gates. Inflation ticks higher, stoking concerns for the Bank of Canada. No GST for the holidays, Trudeau opens up the cheque book. Budget deficit concerns increase.
Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings. Visit www.neighbourhoodholdings.com/looniehour to learn more!
Get your travel data sorted with Saily and enjoy smooth, safe, and reliable internet access while you're away in over 150 countries!
Check out Saily at https://saily.com/looniehour and use our promo code 'LOONIEHOUR' to get 15% off your first purchase!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Fri, 22 Nov 2024 - 1h 09min - 162 - Canadian Pensions Facing Financial Repression
The Canadian dollar continues to weaken. Canada Pension plans gets political, potentially locking capital in Canada. The German economy continues to sputter. Housing activity bounces on rate cut optimism.
Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings. Visit www.neighbourhoodholdings.com/looniehour to learn more!
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Fri, 15 Nov 2024 - 1h 06min - 161 - How Canada's Immigration System Imploded- w/ guest Mikal skuterud
Canada's immigration demise was years in the making. Trump gets back to the White House, what are the market implications? Stocks, crypto and bond yields surge higher. The Federal government continues to punish the Oil & gas sector, implementing defacto production caps.
Check Out BMO's S&P 500 Index ZSP ETF Here: https://bit.ly/3xzrAO8
BMO Global Asset Mgmt, November 2023. Based on $11billion in AUM in ZSP and ZSP.U.
BMO S&P 500 Index ETF ZSP | BMO Global Asset Management (bmogam.com)Get your travel data sorted with Saily and enjoy smooth, safe, and reliable internet access while you're away in over 150 countries!
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Fri, 08 Nov 2024 - 1h 17min
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